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$viewFile = '/var/www/vhosts/vcc_staging/app/View/Layouts/aarp_2023.ctp' $dataForView = array( 'content_for_layout' => '<div class="row twoColumnLayout"> <div class="col-md-8 left-rail"><div class="module clearfix"><div class="ar-basic-box"> <div> <div class="module-spacer"> <header><h1 class="article-headline">New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. Jon Tester in Senate Race</h1></header> <div class="posted-on"> Posted on 09/05/24 </div> </div> <div class="module-spacer"> <span class="blog-content"><p><div class="RichTextArticleBody"> <div class="RichTextArticleBody-body"><p><b>For Immediate Release: Sept. 5, 2024</b><br><br><b>Contact:</b> Stacia Dahl | sdahl@aarp.org | 406-457-4704<br><br><span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><span class="Link"><b>New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. Jon Tester in Senate Race</b></span></span></span><br><br><b><i>Former President Donald Trump leads Vice President Harris by 15 points among voters overall and by 23 points among voters over 50</i></b><br><br><b>Helena, Mont., Sep. 05, 2024</b> — Today, AARP Montana released a 2024 statewide <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/MTpolling" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">election survey</a></span></span> revealing that candidates for president, U.S. Senate, and state races should pay close attention to Montanans ages 50 and older, who make up an outsized portion of the electorate. In the 2020 elections, older voters accounted for 56% of all Montana voters and in the 2022 mid-terms, they made up 65% of the state’s voters. Ninety-two percent of voters ages 50 and older say they are “extremely motivated” to cast a ballot in November, compared with 77% of voters ages 18-49 saying the same.<br><br>In the U.S. Senate race, Tim Sheehy (R) leads Senator Jon Tester (D) by 49% - 41% on the full ballot, with 5% of voters supporting a third-party candidate and 4% undecided; Sheehy’s lead widens among older voters, 55% to 39%. In the head-to-head ballot, Sheehy leads Tester among voters overall, 51% - 45% and even more among older voters, 57% - 40%. <br><br>“Voters over age 50 are the biggest and most enthusiastic voting bloc this election, and their votes will make a difference in the U.S. Senate race,” said Tim Summers, State Director, AARP Montana. “The candidate who wants to win in November should focus on the issues older voters care about most, from protecting Social Security and Medicare to supporting family caregivers.” <br><br>In the presidential contest, former President Donald Trump (R) holds a strong lead over Vice President Harris (D) among voters overall, 56% - 41%, and among voters 50 and older, 60% - 37%. <br><br>On the issues, 78% of voters ages 50 and older say that candidate positions on Social Security are very important to making their decision in November, followed by Medicare (71%), the cost of housing (62%), and policies that help seniors live independently at home (61%). And the vast majority (79%) of older Montanans prefer a member of Congress who wants Medicare to continue negotiating for lower prescription drug prices. <br><br>Other key takeaways from the poll <b>among voters 50 and older</b> include:<br></p><ul><li>Ninety-five percent of Montana voters 50+ support the state legislature providing lasting property tax relief that would make it easier for older Montanans to remain in their homes as they age.</li><li>Three quarters of Montana voters 50+ favor renewing the Medicaid expansion program before it ends next June. This includes support from 64% of Republicans 50+.</li><li>Seventy-four percent also support Montana funding a state tax credit to help with out of pocket expenses for unpaid family caregivers taking care of aging loved ones.</li><li>Immigration and border security (40%) is the most important issue when deciding who to vote for in November, followed by inflation and rising prices (24%), and the economy and jobs (23%).</li><li>A majority (56%) say Social Security is or will be a major source of their income.</li><li>Twenty-five percent of older voters identify as family caregivers, with 29% of older women and 28% of rural residents over 50 saying the same. Older caregivers make up 14% of Montana’s electorate and support Sheehy over Tester by 17 points.</li><li>Sixty-one percent of older voters are worried about their personal financial situation, which is reflected in the issues that these voters care about: 53% rank personal economic issues as the most important issues in the election.</li><li>Twenty-five percent of voters over 50 are not straight ticket voters; Senator Tester leads narrowly among both these older swing and independent voters.</li></ul><p>AARP commissioned the bipartisan polling team of Fabrizio Ward (R) and David Binder Research (D) to conduct a survey of voters in Montana. The firms interviewed 1,064 likely voters, which includes a statewide representative sample of 600 likely voters, an oversample of 464 likely voters ages 50 and older. The survey was done between August 25-29, 2024. The interviews were conducted via live interviewer on landline (25%) and cellphone (35%), as well as SMS-to-web (40%). The sample was randomly drawn from the Montana voter list. The margin of sampling error at the 95% confidence level for the 600 statewide sample is ±4.0%; for the 800 total sample of voters 50+ is ±3.5%. <br><br>View the full survey results at <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/MTpolling" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">aarp.org/MTpolling</a></span></span> and find all of our state battleground polls at <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="https://www.aarp.org/voterpolls24" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">aarp.org/voterpolls24</a></span></span>. Read AARP’s coverage of the poll <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/MTpollresults" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">here</a></span></span>. <br><br>For more information on how, when, and where to vote in Montana, visit <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/mtvotes" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">aarp.org/MTvotes</a></span></span>.<br></p><p class="cms-textAlign-center"></p><p><b><u>Also of interest:</u></b><br></p><ul><li><span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="https://www.aarp.org/politics-society/government-elections/info-2024/montana-election-poll.html?cmp=RDRCT-MTPOLLRESULTS-09052024" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">AARP Poll: GOP Challenger Leads in Pivotal Montana U.S. Senate Race: Spotlight is on contest that could decide which party controls the Senate</a></span></span><br><br><b><u>📢)) </u></b><span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/d7/7b/1130dc614eb3a30c4699bba5b59d/voicesofmontanaseg1-friday.mp3" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer"><b><u>Listen to the Voices of Montana Segment - Q &A with the Pollsters 9/6/2024</u></b></a></span></span></li></ul><div class="Enhancement" > <div class="Enhancement-item"><figure class="Figure" data-alignment="left"> <img src="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/e8/2d/15d240f34cf9a0ee714c16570400/icon-voices-of-montana-poll.png" alt="Icon Voices of Montana - Poll.png" width="960" height="960" style="height: auto; max-width: 200px;"/> </figure> </div> </div><div class="Enhancement" > <div class="Enhancement-item"><audio controls> <source src="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/d7/7b/1130dc614eb3a30c4699bba5b59d/voicesofmontanaseg1-friday.mp3" type="audio/mpeg"> Your browser does not support the audio element. </audio></div> </div><p></p></div> </div> </p></span> </div> </div> <p><i>This story is provided by AARP Montana. Visit the <a href="https://states.aarp.org/region/montana/" target="_blank">AARP Montana</a> page for more news, events, and programs affecting retirement, health care, and more.</i></p> </div> </div><div class="module clearfix"><script src="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/resource/00000168-dd17-d487-a96e-df5fe3ee0000/styleguide/All.min.c85a242a55150cd195e494cd6e5b9c77.gz.js" async=""></script> <link rel="stylesheet" media="all" href="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/resource/00000168-dd17-d487-a96e-df5fe3ee0000/styleguide/All.min.bfe6eb5a8301841feef3af4e9bd1e26d.gz.css"> <!-- bypass --> <style> a:focus, a:hover { text-decoration: underline; } h1.article-headline { margin: 0 0 1rem; } </style> <!-- <style> .Enhancement-item .Figure { margin-bottom: 24px; } .RichTextArticleBody-body ul { margin-bottom: 24px; } .RichTextArticleBody-body p{ margin: 12px 0; } .RichTextModule-items { clear: both; display: table; width: 100%; margin-bottom: 12px; } .VideoEnhancement>* { color: var(--primaryTextColor); font-size: 13px; font-weight: 400; line-height: 1.4; font-style: italic; background: #f0efed } @media only screen and (min-width: 768px) { .VideoEnhancement>* { font-size:14px; font-weight: 400; line-height: 1.47 } } .VideoEnhancement-title { padding: 20px } @media only screen and (min-width: 768px) { .VideoEnhancement-title { padding:30px } } .VideoEnhancement-player>* { position: relative; width: 100%; height: 0; padding-bottom: 56.25% } .VideoEnhancement iframe { border: 0; position: absolute; top: 0; left: 0; width: 100%; height: 100% } [data-video-player] { display: block; padding-bottom: 56.25%; height: 0; margin: 0 auto; } [data-video-player][data-aspect-ratio="4x3"] { padding-bottom: 56.25%; } [data-video-player][data-aspect-ratio="16x9"] { padding-bottom: 56.25% } </style> --></div><div class="module clearfix"><div class="module-spacer tout-homefit-750"> <a data-formelementid="CSN-LOCAL-HC-NEWSSK-02272024" href="/james-city-pa/home-and-community/?intcmp=CSN-LOCAL-HC-NEWSSK-02272024"><img class="img-responsive" alt="Explore the free AARP HomeFit Guide" title="Explore the free AARP HomeFit Guide" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/touts/HomeFit_750x150.png"></a> </div></div></div> <div class="col-md-4 right-rail thin-rhs"><div class="module clearfix"><!--default--> <!-- module_RHS - AARP Events --> <pre class="cake-error"><a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74a511-trace').style.display = (document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74a511-trace').style.display == 'none' ? 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Controller::invokeAction() - CORE/Cake/Controller/Controller.php, line 491 Dispatcher::_invoke() - CORE/Cake/Routing/Dispatcher.php, line 193 Dispatcher::dispatch() - CORE/Cake/Routing/Dispatcher.php, line 167</pre></div></pre><style type="text/css"> .recommenationSection {font-family: Lato, sans-serif} .recommendationSection h3 {font-size:30px!important; text-transform:none; letter-spacing:0.03em} .recommendationSection .js-mvc-offer-recommended-article-pack-category {color:#dd1200; font-family:Lato, sans-serif; font-size:15px; font-weight:700; text-transform:uppercase; margin:0} .recommendationSection h4 a {color:#121212; font-size:20px; font-weight:700} .recommendationSection .uxdia-c-featured-tile__content-wrapper {padding: 0 0 .5em 0; margin-bottom: 1.25em; border-bottom: 1px solid #000} </style> <div aria-hidden="true" class="aarpe-ad-wrapper"> <div class="aarpe-ad en clearfix" id="300x250_53475" data-adsize="300x250"> <script type="text/javascript"> if(typeof AARP.ads !== 'undefined'){ AARP.ads.slots({ id:'300x250_53475', size:'300x250'}); } </script> </div> </div> <div class="card-tout card-dark membership-tout" style="margin:0 0 30px 0;"> <img class="img-responsive image" title="image of two AARP membership cards" alt="image of two AARP membership cards" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/tout-two-cards.png"> <div class="title">Only $12 your first year with Automatic Renewal</div> <ul class="list"> <li>Immediate access to your <a href="https://www.aarp.org/benefits-discounts/">member benefits</a></li> <li>Discounts on travel and everyday savings</li> <li>Subscription to AARP The Magazine</li> <li>FREE second membership</li> </ul> <div class="action"> <a class="btn" href="https://appsec.aarp.org/mem/join?campaignid=UAJFT3&intcmp=LNK-CSN-AARPLOCAL-JRTOUT-RR-A-JAMESCITY-PA">Join AARP</a> <div class="body">Already a member? <a href="https://appsec.aarp.org/mem/renew?campaignid= UARFT3&intcmp=LNK-CSN-AARPLOCAL-JRTOUT-RR-A-JAMESCITY-PA">Renew</a> or <a href="https://www.aarp.org/benefits-discounts/my-membership/print-your-card/">Print Card</a></div> </div> </div> <style> .membership-tout {padding:16px 20px;} .membership-tout .list li { margin: 0; } </style> <div aria-hidden="true" class="aarpe-ad-wrapper"> <div class="aarpe-ad en clearfix" id="300x250_93505" data-adsize="300x250"> <script type="text/javascript"> if(typeof AARP.ads !== 'undefined'){ AARP.ads.slots({ id:'300x250_93505', size:'300x250'}); } </script> </div> </div> <div class="module-spacer text-center"> <div class="fb-page" alt="Image of AARP Pennsylvania Facebook Page" title="Image of AARP Pennsylvania Facebook Page" data-href="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA" data-tabs="timeline" width="320" height="" data-small-header="false" data-adapt-container-width="true" data-hide-cover="false" data-show-facepile="true" lazy="true"> <blockquote cite="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA" class="fb-xfbml-parse-ignore"><a href="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA">Facebook</a></blockquote> </div> </div> <div class="ar-basic-box module-spacer"> <header> <h2>Contact AARP<br />Pennsylvania</h2> </header> <div class="wrap"> <div class="ar-quick-list module-spacer"> <ul class="list-unstyled"> <li><i class="list-icon fa fa-envelope" alt="Email icon" title="Email icon" aria-hidden="true"></i><a href="mailto:PAAARP@aarp.org" target="_blank" rel="noopener">PAAARP@aarp.org</a></li> <li><i class="list-icon fa fa-globe" alt="Globe icon" title="Globe icon" aria-hidden="true"></i><a href="https://states.aarp.org/region/pennsylvania/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AARP Pennsylvania</a></li> <li><i class="list-icon fa fa-map-marker" alt="Map Marker icon" title="Map Marker icon" aria-hidden="true"></i><a href="https://states.aarp.org/your-local-aarp-office/?intcmp=SNG-LNK-AARPLOCAL-CONTACT-20140101-JAMESCITY-PA" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Contact Us</a></li> </ul> </div> <a href="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA" target="_blank" rel="noopener" aria-label="Open Facebook"><img alt="Facebook icon" title="Facebook icon" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/responsive/icons/48/facebook-dreamstale25.png"></a> <a href="https://twitter.com/AARPPA" target="_blank" rel="noopener" aria-label="Open Twitter"><img alt="Twitter icon" title="Twitter icon" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/responsive/icons/48/x-logo-black.png"></a> </div> </div> </div></div> <div class="col-md-8 left-rail left-bot"></div> <div class="col-md-4 right-rail right-bot thin-rhs"></div> </div> <div class="row oneColumnLayout"> </div> <div class="row oneColumnLayout"> <div class="col-md-12"><!-- script to activate navbar --> <script type="text/javascript"> jQuery(".channelBarMain ul.left li a").click(function() { window.location = jQuery(this).attr('href'); }); </script> </div> </div> ', 'scripts_for_layout' => '<title>New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. 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Jon Tester in Senate Race</h1></header> <div class="posted-on"> Posted on 09/05/24 </div> </div> <div class="module-spacer"> <span class="blog-content"><p><div class="RichTextArticleBody"> <div class="RichTextArticleBody-body"><p><b>For Immediate Release: Sept. 5, 2024</b><br><br><b>Contact:</b> Stacia Dahl | sdahl@aarp.org | 406-457-4704<br><br><span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><span class="Link"><b>New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. Jon Tester in Senate Race</b></span></span></span><br><br><b><i>Former President Donald Trump leads Vice President Harris by 15 points among voters overall and by 23 points among voters over 50</i></b><br><br><b>Helena, Mont., Sep. 05, 2024</b> — Today, AARP Montana released a 2024 statewide <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/MTpolling" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">election survey</a></span></span> revealing that candidates for president, U.S. Senate, and state races should pay close attention to Montanans ages 50 and older, who make up an outsized portion of the electorate. In the 2020 elections, older voters accounted for 56% of all Montana voters and in the 2022 mid-terms, they made up 65% of the state’s voters. Ninety-two percent of voters ages 50 and older say they are “extremely motivated” to cast a ballot in November, compared with 77% of voters ages 18-49 saying the same.<br><br>In the U.S. Senate race, Tim Sheehy (R) leads Senator Jon Tester (D) by 49% - 41% on the full ballot, with 5% of voters supporting a third-party candidate and 4% undecided; Sheehy’s lead widens among older voters, 55% to 39%. In the head-to-head ballot, Sheehy leads Tester among voters overall, 51% - 45% and even more among older voters, 57% - 40%. <br><br>“Voters over age 50 are the biggest and most enthusiastic voting bloc this election, and their votes will make a difference in the U.S. Senate race,” said Tim Summers, State Director, AARP Montana. “The candidate who wants to win in November should focus on the issues older voters care about most, from protecting Social Security and Medicare to supporting family caregivers.” <br><br>In the presidential contest, former President Donald Trump (R) holds a strong lead over Vice President Harris (D) among voters overall, 56% - 41%, and among voters 50 and older, 60% - 37%. <br><br>On the issues, 78% of voters ages 50 and older say that candidate positions on Social Security are very important to making their decision in November, followed by Medicare (71%), the cost of housing (62%), and policies that help seniors live independently at home (61%). And the vast majority (79%) of older Montanans prefer a member of Congress who wants Medicare to continue negotiating for lower prescription drug prices. <br><br>Other key takeaways from the poll <b>among voters 50 and older</b> include:<br></p><ul><li>Ninety-five percent of Montana voters 50+ support the state legislature providing lasting property tax relief that would make it easier for older Montanans to remain in their homes as they age.</li><li>Three quarters of Montana voters 50+ favor renewing the Medicaid expansion program before it ends next June. This includes support from 64% of Republicans 50+.</li><li>Seventy-four percent also support Montana funding a state tax credit to help with out of pocket expenses for unpaid family caregivers taking care of aging loved ones.</li><li>Immigration and border security (40%) is the most important issue when deciding who to vote for in November, followed by inflation and rising prices (24%), and the economy and jobs (23%).</li><li>A majority (56%) say Social Security is or will be a major source of their income.</li><li>Twenty-five percent of older voters identify as family caregivers, with 29% of older women and 28% of rural residents over 50 saying the same. Older caregivers make up 14% of Montana’s electorate and support Sheehy over Tester by 17 points.</li><li>Sixty-one percent of older voters are worried about their personal financial situation, which is reflected in the issues that these voters care about: 53% rank personal economic issues as the most important issues in the election.</li><li>Twenty-five percent of voters over 50 are not straight ticket voters; Senator Tester leads narrowly among both these older swing and independent voters.</li></ul><p>AARP commissioned the bipartisan polling team of Fabrizio Ward (R) and David Binder Research (D) to conduct a survey of voters in Montana. The firms interviewed 1,064 likely voters, which includes a statewide representative sample of 600 likely voters, an oversample of 464 likely voters ages 50 and older. The survey was done between August 25-29, 2024. The interviews were conducted via live interviewer on landline (25%) and cellphone (35%), as well as SMS-to-web (40%). The sample was randomly drawn from the Montana voter list. The margin of sampling error at the 95% confidence level for the 600 statewide sample is ±4.0%; for the 800 total sample of voters 50+ is ±3.5%. <br><br>View the full survey results at <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/MTpolling" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">aarp.org/MTpolling</a></span></span> and find all of our state battleground polls at <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="https://www.aarp.org/voterpolls24" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">aarp.org/voterpolls24</a></span></span>. Read AARP’s coverage of the poll <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/MTpollresults" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">here</a></span></span>. <br><br>For more information on how, when, and where to vote in Montana, visit <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/mtvotes" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">aarp.org/MTvotes</a></span></span>.<br></p><p class="cms-textAlign-center"></p><p><b><u>Also of interest:</u></b><br></p><ul><li><span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="https://www.aarp.org/politics-society/government-elections/info-2024/montana-election-poll.html?cmp=RDRCT-MTPOLLRESULTS-09052024" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">AARP Poll: GOP Challenger Leads in Pivotal Montana U.S. Senate Race: Spotlight is on contest that could decide which party controls the Senate</a></span></span><br><br><b><u>📢)) </u></b><span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/d7/7b/1130dc614eb3a30c4699bba5b59d/voicesofmontanaseg1-friday.mp3" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer"><b><u>Listen to the Voices of Montana Segment - Q &A with the Pollsters 9/6/2024</u></b></a></span></span></li></ul><div class="Enhancement" > <div class="Enhancement-item"><figure class="Figure" data-alignment="left"> <img src="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/e8/2d/15d240f34cf9a0ee714c16570400/icon-voices-of-montana-poll.png" alt="Icon Voices of Montana - Poll.png" width="960" height="960" style="height: auto; max-width: 200px;"/> </figure> </div> </div><div class="Enhancement" > <div class="Enhancement-item"><audio controls> <source src="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/d7/7b/1130dc614eb3a30c4699bba5b59d/voicesofmontanaseg1-friday.mp3" type="audio/mpeg"> Your browser does not support the audio element. </audio></div> </div><p></p></div> </div> </p></span> </div> </div> <p><i>This story is provided by AARP Montana. Visit the <a href="https://states.aarp.org/region/montana/" target="_blank">AARP Montana</a> page for more news, events, and programs affecting retirement, health care, and more.</i></p> </div> </div><div class="module clearfix"><script src="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/resource/00000168-dd17-d487-a96e-df5fe3ee0000/styleguide/All.min.c85a242a55150cd195e494cd6e5b9c77.gz.js" async=""></script> <link rel="stylesheet" media="all" href="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/resource/00000168-dd17-d487-a96e-df5fe3ee0000/styleguide/All.min.bfe6eb5a8301841feef3af4e9bd1e26d.gz.css"> <!-- bypass --> <style> a:focus, a:hover { text-decoration: underline; } h1.article-headline { margin: 0 0 1rem; } </style> <!-- <style> .Enhancement-item .Figure { margin-bottom: 24px; } .RichTextArticleBody-body ul { margin-bottom: 24px; } .RichTextArticleBody-body p{ margin: 12px 0; } .RichTextModule-items { clear: both; display: table; width: 100%; margin-bottom: 12px; } .VideoEnhancement>* { color: var(--primaryTextColor); font-size: 13px; font-weight: 400; line-height: 1.4; font-style: italic; background: #f0efed } @media only screen and (min-width: 768px) { .VideoEnhancement>* { font-size:14px; font-weight: 400; line-height: 1.47 } } .VideoEnhancement-title { padding: 20px } @media only screen and (min-width: 768px) { .VideoEnhancement-title { padding:30px } } .VideoEnhancement-player>* { position: relative; width: 100%; height: 0; padding-bottom: 56.25% } .VideoEnhancement iframe { border: 0; position: absolute; top: 0; left: 0; width: 100%; height: 100% } [data-video-player] { display: block; padding-bottom: 56.25%; height: 0; margin: 0 auto; } [data-video-player][data-aspect-ratio="4x3"] { padding-bottom: 56.25%; } [data-video-player][data-aspect-ratio="16x9"] { padding-bottom: 56.25% } </style> --></div><div class="module clearfix"><div class="module-spacer tout-homefit-750"> <a data-formelementid="CSN-LOCAL-HC-NEWSSK-02272024" href="/james-city-pa/home-and-community/?intcmp=CSN-LOCAL-HC-NEWSSK-02272024"><img class="img-responsive" alt="Explore the free AARP HomeFit Guide" title="Explore the free AARP HomeFit Guide" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/touts/HomeFit_750x150.png"></a> </div></div></div> <div class="col-md-4 right-rail thin-rhs"><div class="module clearfix"><!--default--> <!-- module_RHS - AARP Events --> <pre class="cake-error"><a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74a511-trace').style.display = (document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74a511-trace').style.display == 'none' ? 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Controller::invokeAction() - CORE/Cake/Controller/Controller.php, line 491 Dispatcher::_invoke() - CORE/Cake/Routing/Dispatcher.php, line 193 Dispatcher::dispatch() - CORE/Cake/Routing/Dispatcher.php, line 167</pre></div></pre><style type="text/css"> .recommenationSection {font-family: Lato, sans-serif} .recommendationSection h3 {font-size:30px!important; text-transform:none; letter-spacing:0.03em} .recommendationSection .js-mvc-offer-recommended-article-pack-category {color:#dd1200; font-family:Lato, sans-serif; font-size:15px; font-weight:700; text-transform:uppercase; margin:0} .recommendationSection h4 a {color:#121212; font-size:20px; font-weight:700} .recommendationSection .uxdia-c-featured-tile__content-wrapper {padding: 0 0 .5em 0; margin-bottom: 1.25em; border-bottom: 1px solid #000} </style> <div aria-hidden="true" class="aarpe-ad-wrapper"> <div class="aarpe-ad en clearfix" id="300x250_53475" data-adsize="300x250"> <script type="text/javascript"> if(typeof AARP.ads !== 'undefined'){ AARP.ads.slots({ id:'300x250_53475', size:'300x250'}); } </script> </div> </div> <div class="card-tout card-dark membership-tout" style="margin:0 0 30px 0;"> <img class="img-responsive image" title="image of two AARP membership cards" alt="image of two AARP membership cards" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/tout-two-cards.png"> <div class="title">Only $12 your first year with Automatic Renewal</div> <ul class="list"> <li>Immediate access to your <a href="https://www.aarp.org/benefits-discounts/">member benefits</a></li> <li>Discounts on travel and everyday savings</li> <li>Subscription to AARP The Magazine</li> <li>FREE second membership</li> </ul> <div class="action"> <a class="btn" href="https://appsec.aarp.org/mem/join?campaignid=UAJFT3&intcmp=LNK-CSN-AARPLOCAL-JRTOUT-RR-A-JAMESCITY-PA">Join AARP</a> <div class="body">Already a member? <a href="https://appsec.aarp.org/mem/renew?campaignid= UARFT3&intcmp=LNK-CSN-AARPLOCAL-JRTOUT-RR-A-JAMESCITY-PA">Renew</a> or <a href="https://www.aarp.org/benefits-discounts/my-membership/print-your-card/">Print Card</a></div> </div> </div> <style> .membership-tout {padding:16px 20px;} .membership-tout .list li { margin: 0; } </style> <div aria-hidden="true" class="aarpe-ad-wrapper"> <div class="aarpe-ad en clearfix" id="300x250_93505" data-adsize="300x250"> <script type="text/javascript"> if(typeof AARP.ads !== 'undefined'){ AARP.ads.slots({ id:'300x250_93505', size:'300x250'}); } </script> </div> </div> <div class="module-spacer text-center"> <div class="fb-page" alt="Image of AARP Pennsylvania Facebook Page" title="Image of AARP Pennsylvania Facebook Page" data-href="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA" data-tabs="timeline" width="320" height="" data-small-header="false" data-adapt-container-width="true" data-hide-cover="false" data-show-facepile="true" lazy="true"> <blockquote cite="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA" class="fb-xfbml-parse-ignore"><a href="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA">Facebook</a></blockquote> </div> </div> <div class="ar-basic-box module-spacer"> <header> <h2>Contact AARP<br />Pennsylvania</h2> </header> <div class="wrap"> <div class="ar-quick-list module-spacer"> <ul class="list-unstyled"> <li><i class="list-icon fa fa-envelope" alt="Email icon" title="Email icon" aria-hidden="true"></i><a href="mailto:PAAARP@aarp.org" target="_blank" rel="noopener">PAAARP@aarp.org</a></li> <li><i class="list-icon fa fa-globe" alt="Globe icon" title="Globe icon" aria-hidden="true"></i><a href="https://states.aarp.org/region/pennsylvania/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AARP Pennsylvania</a></li> <li><i class="list-icon fa fa-map-marker" alt="Map Marker icon" title="Map Marker icon" aria-hidden="true"></i><a href="https://states.aarp.org/your-local-aarp-office/?intcmp=SNG-LNK-AARPLOCAL-CONTACT-20140101-JAMESCITY-PA" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Contact Us</a></li> </ul> </div> <a href="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA" target="_blank" rel="noopener" aria-label="Open Facebook"><img alt="Facebook icon" title="Facebook icon" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/responsive/icons/48/facebook-dreamstale25.png"></a> <a href="https://twitter.com/AARPPA" target="_blank" rel="noopener" aria-label="Open Twitter"><img alt="Twitter icon" title="Twitter icon" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/responsive/icons/48/x-logo-black.png"></a> </div> </div> </div></div> <div class="col-md-8 left-rail left-bot"></div> <div class="col-md-4 right-rail right-bot thin-rhs"></div> </div> <div class="row oneColumnLayout"> </div> <div class="row oneColumnLayout"> <div class="col-md-12"><!-- script to activate navbar --> <script type="text/javascript"> jQuery(".channelBarMain ul.left li a").click(function() { window.location = jQuery(this).attr('href'); }); </script> </div> </div> ' $scripts_for_layout = '<title>New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. 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$viewFile = '/var/www/vhosts/vcc_staging/app/View/Layouts/aarp_2023.ctp' $dataForView = array( 'content_for_layout' => '<div class="row twoColumnLayout"> <div class="col-md-8 left-rail"><div class="module clearfix"><div class="ar-basic-box"> <div> <div class="module-spacer"> <header><h1 class="article-headline">New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. Jon Tester in Senate Race</h1></header> <div class="posted-on"> Posted on 09/05/24 </div> </div> <div class="module-spacer"> <span class="blog-content"><p><div class="RichTextArticleBody"> <div class="RichTextArticleBody-body"><p><b>For Immediate Release: Sept. 5, 2024</b><br><br><b>Contact:</b> Stacia Dahl | sdahl@aarp.org | 406-457-4704<br><br><span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><span class="Link"><b>New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. Jon Tester in Senate Race</b></span></span></span><br><br><b><i>Former President Donald Trump leads Vice President Harris by 15 points among voters overall and by 23 points among voters over 50</i></b><br><br><b>Helena, Mont., Sep. 05, 2024</b> — Today, AARP Montana released a 2024 statewide <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/MTpolling" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">election survey</a></span></span> revealing that candidates for president, U.S. Senate, and state races should pay close attention to Montanans ages 50 and older, who make up an outsized portion of the electorate. In the 2020 elections, older voters accounted for 56% of all Montana voters and in the 2022 mid-terms, they made up 65% of the state’s voters. Ninety-two percent of voters ages 50 and older say they are “extremely motivated” to cast a ballot in November, compared with 77% of voters ages 18-49 saying the same.<br><br>In the U.S. Senate race, Tim Sheehy (R) leads Senator Jon Tester (D) by 49% - 41% on the full ballot, with 5% of voters supporting a third-party candidate and 4% undecided; Sheehy’s lead widens among older voters, 55% to 39%. In the head-to-head ballot, Sheehy leads Tester among voters overall, 51% - 45% and even more among older voters, 57% - 40%. <br><br>“Voters over age 50 are the biggest and most enthusiastic voting bloc this election, and their votes will make a difference in the U.S. Senate race,” said Tim Summers, State Director, AARP Montana. “The candidate who wants to win in November should focus on the issues older voters care about most, from protecting Social Security and Medicare to supporting family caregivers.” <br><br>In the presidential contest, former President Donald Trump (R) holds a strong lead over Vice President Harris (D) among voters overall, 56% - 41%, and among voters 50 and older, 60% - 37%. <br><br>On the issues, 78% of voters ages 50 and older say that candidate positions on Social Security are very important to making their decision in November, followed by Medicare (71%), the cost of housing (62%), and policies that help seniors live independently at home (61%). And the vast majority (79%) of older Montanans prefer a member of Congress who wants Medicare to continue negotiating for lower prescription drug prices. <br><br>Other key takeaways from the poll <b>among voters 50 and older</b> include:<br></p><ul><li>Ninety-five percent of Montana voters 50+ support the state legislature providing lasting property tax relief that would make it easier for older Montanans to remain in their homes as they age.</li><li>Three quarters of Montana voters 50+ favor renewing the Medicaid expansion program before it ends next June. This includes support from 64% of Republicans 50+.</li><li>Seventy-four percent also support Montana funding a state tax credit to help with out of pocket expenses for unpaid family caregivers taking care of aging loved ones.</li><li>Immigration and border security (40%) is the most important issue when deciding who to vote for in November, followed by inflation and rising prices (24%), and the economy and jobs (23%).</li><li>A majority (56%) say Social Security is or will be a major source of their income.</li><li>Twenty-five percent of older voters identify as family caregivers, with 29% of older women and 28% of rural residents over 50 saying the same. Older caregivers make up 14% of Montana’s electorate and support Sheehy over Tester by 17 points.</li><li>Sixty-one percent of older voters are worried about their personal financial situation, which is reflected in the issues that these voters care about: 53% rank personal economic issues as the most important issues in the election.</li><li>Twenty-five percent of voters over 50 are not straight ticket voters; Senator Tester leads narrowly among both these older swing and independent voters.</li></ul><p>AARP commissioned the bipartisan polling team of Fabrizio Ward (R) and David Binder Research (D) to conduct a survey of voters in Montana. The firms interviewed 1,064 likely voters, which includes a statewide representative sample of 600 likely voters, an oversample of 464 likely voters ages 50 and older. The survey was done between August 25-29, 2024. The interviews were conducted via live interviewer on landline (25%) and cellphone (35%), as well as SMS-to-web (40%). The sample was randomly drawn from the Montana voter list. The margin of sampling error at the 95% confidence level for the 600 statewide sample is ±4.0%; for the 800 total sample of voters 50+ is ±3.5%. <br><br>View the full survey results at <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/MTpolling" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">aarp.org/MTpolling</a></span></span> and find all of our state battleground polls at <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="https://www.aarp.org/voterpolls24" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">aarp.org/voterpolls24</a></span></span>. Read AARP’s coverage of the poll <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/MTpollresults" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">here</a></span></span>. <br><br>For more information on how, when, and where to vote in Montana, visit <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/mtvotes" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">aarp.org/MTvotes</a></span></span>.<br></p><p class="cms-textAlign-center"></p><p><b><u>Also of interest:</u></b><br></p><ul><li><span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="https://www.aarp.org/politics-society/government-elections/info-2024/montana-election-poll.html?cmp=RDRCT-MTPOLLRESULTS-09052024" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">AARP Poll: GOP Challenger Leads in Pivotal Montana U.S. Senate Race: Spotlight is on contest that could decide which party controls the Senate</a></span></span><br><br><b><u>📢)) </u></b><span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/d7/7b/1130dc614eb3a30c4699bba5b59d/voicesofmontanaseg1-friday.mp3" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer"><b><u>Listen to the Voices of Montana Segment - Q &A with the Pollsters 9/6/2024</u></b></a></span></span></li></ul><div class="Enhancement" > <div class="Enhancement-item"><figure class="Figure" data-alignment="left"> <img src="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/e8/2d/15d240f34cf9a0ee714c16570400/icon-voices-of-montana-poll.png" alt="Icon Voices of Montana - Poll.png" width="960" height="960" style="height: auto; max-width: 200px;"/> </figure> </div> </div><div class="Enhancement" > <div class="Enhancement-item"><audio controls> <source src="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/d7/7b/1130dc614eb3a30c4699bba5b59d/voicesofmontanaseg1-friday.mp3" type="audio/mpeg"> Your browser does not support the audio element. </audio></div> </div><p></p></div> </div> </p></span> </div> </div> <p><i>This story is provided by AARP Montana. Visit the <a href="https://states.aarp.org/region/montana/" target="_blank">AARP Montana</a> page for more news, events, and programs affecting retirement, health care, and more.</i></p> </div> </div><div class="module clearfix"><script src="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/resource/00000168-dd17-d487-a96e-df5fe3ee0000/styleguide/All.min.c85a242a55150cd195e494cd6e5b9c77.gz.js" async=""></script> <link rel="stylesheet" media="all" href="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/resource/00000168-dd17-d487-a96e-df5fe3ee0000/styleguide/All.min.bfe6eb5a8301841feef3af4e9bd1e26d.gz.css"> <!-- bypass --> <style> a:focus, a:hover { text-decoration: underline; } h1.article-headline { margin: 0 0 1rem; } </style> <!-- <style> .Enhancement-item .Figure { margin-bottom: 24px; } .RichTextArticleBody-body ul { margin-bottom: 24px; } .RichTextArticleBody-body p{ margin: 12px 0; } .RichTextModule-items { clear: both; display: table; width: 100%; margin-bottom: 12px; } .VideoEnhancement>* { color: var(--primaryTextColor); font-size: 13px; font-weight: 400; line-height: 1.4; font-style: italic; background: #f0efed } @media only screen and (min-width: 768px) { .VideoEnhancement>* { font-size:14px; font-weight: 400; line-height: 1.47 } } .VideoEnhancement-title { padding: 20px } @media only screen and (min-width: 768px) { .VideoEnhancement-title { padding:30px } } .VideoEnhancement-player>* { position: relative; width: 100%; height: 0; padding-bottom: 56.25% } .VideoEnhancement iframe { border: 0; position: absolute; top: 0; left: 0; width: 100%; height: 100% } [data-video-player] { display: block; padding-bottom: 56.25%; height: 0; margin: 0 auto; } [data-video-player][data-aspect-ratio="4x3"] { padding-bottom: 56.25%; } [data-video-player][data-aspect-ratio="16x9"] { padding-bottom: 56.25% } </style> --></div><div class="module clearfix"><div class="module-spacer tout-homefit-750"> <a data-formelementid="CSN-LOCAL-HC-NEWSSK-02272024" href="/james-city-pa/home-and-community/?intcmp=CSN-LOCAL-HC-NEWSSK-02272024"><img class="img-responsive" alt="Explore the free AARP HomeFit Guide" title="Explore the free AARP HomeFit Guide" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/touts/HomeFit_750x150.png"></a> </div></div></div> <div class="col-md-4 right-rail thin-rhs"><div class="module clearfix"><!--default--> <!-- module_RHS - AARP Events --> <pre class="cake-error"><a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74a511-trace').style.display = (document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74a511-trace').style.display == 'none' ? 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'' : 'none')">Context</a><pre id="cakeErr66e7cfd74bcdc-context" class="cake-context" style="display: none;">$module = array( '_id' => '66158db0e9dff2b1fd9cafcd', 'module_id' => '1098', 'name' => 'RHS - Events Experience', 'type' => 'php', 'data' => '<?php include(APP . "/Resource/experience.master.resource.root.html"); ?> <style type="text/css"> .recommenationSection {font-family: Lato, sans-serif} .recommendationSection h3 {font-size:30px!important; text-transform:none; letter-spacing:0.03em} .recommendationSection .js-mvc-offer-recommended-article-pack-category {color:#dd1200; font-family:Lato, sans-serif; font-size:15px; font-weight:700; text-transform:uppercase; margin:0} .recommendationSection h4 a {color:#121212; font-size:20px; font-weight:700} .recommendationSection .uxdia-c-featured-tile__content-wrapper {padding: 0 0 .5em 0; margin-bottom: 1.25em; border-bottom: 1px solid #000} </style>', 'css' => '.recommendationSection h3 {font-size:30px} .recommenadationSection .js-mvc-offer-recommended-article-pack-category {color:rgb(221,18,0); font-size:12px} .recommendationSection h4 a {color:#121212; font-size:20px} ', 'script' => '', 'cache_time' => '', 'localize' => '0' ) $obj = false</pre><pre class="stack-trace">include - APP/Lib/Modules.php(13) : eval()'d code, line 1 eval - APP/Lib/Modules.php(13) : eval()'d code, line 1 Modules::render() - APP/Lib/Modules.php, line 13 Modules::load() - APP/Lib/Modules.php, line 29 Localize::getModule() - APP/Lib/Localize.php, line 294 Localize::replace() - APP/Lib/Localize.php, line 219 Modules::render() - APP/Lib/Modules.php, line 9 include - APP/View/Elements/display.ctp, line 13 View::_evaluate() - CORE/Cake/View/View.php, line 971 View::_render() - CORE/Cake/View/View.php, line 933 View::render() - CORE/Cake/View/View.php, line 473 Controller::render() - CORE/Cake/Controller/Controller.php, line 963 AppController::renderPage() - APP/Controller/AppController.php, line 136 BlogsController::display() - APP/Controller/BlogsController.php, line 81 ReflectionMethod::invokeArgs() - [internal], line ?? Controller::invokeAction() - CORE/Cake/Controller/Controller.php, line 491 Dispatcher::_invoke() - CORE/Cake/Routing/Dispatcher.php, line 193 Dispatcher::dispatch() - CORE/Cake/Routing/Dispatcher.php, line 167</pre></div></pre><style type="text/css"> .recommenationSection {font-family: Lato, sans-serif} .recommendationSection h3 {font-size:30px!important; text-transform:none; letter-spacing:0.03em} .recommendationSection .js-mvc-offer-recommended-article-pack-category {color:#dd1200; font-family:Lato, sans-serif; font-size:15px; font-weight:700; text-transform:uppercase; margin:0} .recommendationSection h4 a {color:#121212; font-size:20px; font-weight:700} .recommendationSection .uxdia-c-featured-tile__content-wrapper {padding: 0 0 .5em 0; margin-bottom: 1.25em; border-bottom: 1px solid #000} </style> <div aria-hidden="true" class="aarpe-ad-wrapper"> <div class="aarpe-ad en clearfix" id="300x250_53475" data-adsize="300x250"> <script type="text/javascript"> if(typeof AARP.ads !== 'undefined'){ AARP.ads.slots({ id:'300x250_53475', size:'300x250'}); } </script> </div> </div> <div class="card-tout card-dark membership-tout" style="margin:0 0 30px 0;"> <img class="img-responsive image" title="image of two AARP membership cards" alt="image of two AARP membership cards" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/tout-two-cards.png"> <div class="title">Only $12 your first year with Automatic Renewal</div> <ul class="list"> <li>Immediate access to your <a href="https://www.aarp.org/benefits-discounts/">member benefits</a></li> <li>Discounts on travel and everyday savings</li> <li>Subscription to AARP The Magazine</li> <li>FREE second membership</li> </ul> <div class="action"> <a class="btn" href="https://appsec.aarp.org/mem/join?campaignid=UAJFT3&intcmp=LNK-CSN-AARPLOCAL-JRTOUT-RR-A-JAMESCITY-PA">Join AARP</a> <div class="body">Already a member? <a href="https://appsec.aarp.org/mem/renew?campaignid= UARFT3&intcmp=LNK-CSN-AARPLOCAL-JRTOUT-RR-A-JAMESCITY-PA">Renew</a> or <a href="https://www.aarp.org/benefits-discounts/my-membership/print-your-card/">Print Card</a></div> </div> </div> <style> .membership-tout {padding:16px 20px;} .membership-tout .list li { margin: 0; } </style> <div aria-hidden="true" class="aarpe-ad-wrapper"> <div class="aarpe-ad en clearfix" id="300x250_93505" data-adsize="300x250"> <script type="text/javascript"> if(typeof AARP.ads !== 'undefined'){ AARP.ads.slots({ id:'300x250_93505', size:'300x250'}); } </script> </div> </div> <div class="module-spacer text-center"> <div class="fb-page" alt="Image of AARP Pennsylvania Facebook Page" title="Image of AARP Pennsylvania Facebook Page" data-href="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA" data-tabs="timeline" width="320" height="" data-small-header="false" data-adapt-container-width="true" data-hide-cover="false" data-show-facepile="true" lazy="true"> <blockquote cite="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA" class="fb-xfbml-parse-ignore"><a href="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA">Facebook</a></blockquote> </div> </div> <div class="ar-basic-box module-spacer"> <header> <h2>Contact AARP<br />Pennsylvania</h2> </header> <div class="wrap"> <div class="ar-quick-list module-spacer"> <ul class="list-unstyled"> <li><i class="list-icon fa fa-envelope" alt="Email icon" title="Email icon" aria-hidden="true"></i><a href="mailto:PAAARP@aarp.org" target="_blank" rel="noopener">PAAARP@aarp.org</a></li> <li><i class="list-icon fa fa-globe" alt="Globe icon" title="Globe icon" aria-hidden="true"></i><a href="https://states.aarp.org/region/pennsylvania/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AARP Pennsylvania</a></li> <li><i class="list-icon fa fa-map-marker" alt="Map Marker icon" title="Map Marker icon" aria-hidden="true"></i><a href="https://states.aarp.org/your-local-aarp-office/?intcmp=SNG-LNK-AARPLOCAL-CONTACT-20140101-JAMESCITY-PA" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Contact Us</a></li> </ul> </div> <a href="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA" target="_blank" rel="noopener" aria-label="Open Facebook"><img alt="Facebook icon" title="Facebook icon" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/responsive/icons/48/facebook-dreamstale25.png"></a> <a href="https://twitter.com/AARPPA" target="_blank" rel="noopener" aria-label="Open Twitter"><img alt="Twitter icon" title="Twitter icon" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/responsive/icons/48/x-logo-black.png"></a> </div> </div> </div></div> <div class="col-md-8 left-rail left-bot"></div> <div class="col-md-4 right-rail right-bot thin-rhs"></div> </div> <div class="row oneColumnLayout"> </div> <div class="row oneColumnLayout"> <div class="col-md-12"><!-- script to activate navbar --> <script type="text/javascript"> jQuery(".channelBarMain ul.left li a").click(function() { window.location = jQuery(this).attr('href'); }); </script> </div> </div> ', 'scripts_for_layout' => '<title>New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. Jon Tester in Senate Race</title> <meta name="page_title" content="New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. Jon Tester in Senate Race"/> <meta name="robots" content="noindex, nofollow"/> <meta content="For Immediate Release: Sept. 5, 2024Contact: Stacia Dahl | sdahl@aarp.org | 406-457-4704New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. Jon Tester in Senate" name="description"/> <meta content="New, AARP, Montana, Poll, Tim, Sheehy, Leads, Sen, Jon, Tester, in, Senate, Race" name="keywords"/> <link rel="canonical" href="https://states.aarp.org/montana/mtpoll" /> <meta property="og:url" content="https://vccstaging.local.aarp.org/news/new-aarp-montana-poll-tim-sheehy-leads-sen-jon-tester-in-senate-race-mt-2024-09-05.html"/> <meta name="twitter:card" content="summary_large_image"/> <meta name="twitter:title" content="New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. 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Jon Tester in Senate Race"/> <meta property="og:description" content="For Immediate Release: Sept. 5, 2024"/> <meta property="og:image" content="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/dims4/default/7f41879/2147483647/strip/true/crop/1019x655+61+0/resize/420x270!/quality/90/?url=http%3A%2F%2Faarp-brightspot.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fstates%2Fc6%2F3f%2Fbc2cc85240349193e041f5e25380%2Fmontana-issues.png"/> :root { --primaryColor: #ff1e3c; --primaryTextColor: #2a2a2a; --linkTextColor: #1f66bd; --linkHoverColor: #1f66bd; --secondaryTextColor: #000000; --secondaryColor2: #000000; --secondaryColor3: #000000; --secondaryColor4: #000000; --secondaryColor5: #000000; --black: #000000; --white: #ffffff; --grey: #f0efed; --gridGutters: 30px; --modulePadding: 60px; --pageWidth: 86.11%; --maxPageWidth: 1240px; --horizontalAlignment: center; --fontFamily: 'Roboto', sans-serif; --headerBackgroundColor:#000000; --headerTextColor:#FFFFFF; --headerHeight:50px; --footerbackgroundColor:#000000; --footerTextColor:#918883; }', 'title_for_layout' => '{local_city_c}, {local_state} Happenings - AARP' ) $content_for_layout = '<div class="row twoColumnLayout"> <div class="col-md-8 left-rail"><div class="module clearfix"><div class="ar-basic-box"> <div> <div class="module-spacer"> <header><h1 class="article-headline">New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. Jon Tester in Senate Race</h1></header> <div class="posted-on"> Posted on 09/05/24 </div> </div> <div class="module-spacer"> <span class="blog-content"><p><div class="RichTextArticleBody"> <div class="RichTextArticleBody-body"><p><b>For Immediate Release: Sept. 5, 2024</b><br><br><b>Contact:</b> Stacia Dahl | sdahl@aarp.org | 406-457-4704<br><br><span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><span class="Link"><b>New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. Jon Tester in Senate Race</b></span></span></span><br><br><b><i>Former President Donald Trump leads Vice President Harris by 15 points among voters overall and by 23 points among voters over 50</i></b><br><br><b>Helena, Mont., Sep. 05, 2024</b> — Today, AARP Montana released a 2024 statewide <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/MTpolling" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">election survey</a></span></span> revealing that candidates for president, U.S. Senate, and state races should pay close attention to Montanans ages 50 and older, who make up an outsized portion of the electorate. In the 2020 elections, older voters accounted for 56% of all Montana voters and in the 2022 mid-terms, they made up 65% of the state’s voters. Ninety-two percent of voters ages 50 and older say they are “extremely motivated” to cast a ballot in November, compared with 77% of voters ages 18-49 saying the same.<br><br>In the U.S. Senate race, Tim Sheehy (R) leads Senator Jon Tester (D) by 49% - 41% on the full ballot, with 5% of voters supporting a third-party candidate and 4% undecided; Sheehy’s lead widens among older voters, 55% to 39%. In the head-to-head ballot, Sheehy leads Tester among voters overall, 51% - 45% and even more among older voters, 57% - 40%. <br><br>“Voters over age 50 are the biggest and most enthusiastic voting bloc this election, and their votes will make a difference in the U.S. Senate race,” said Tim Summers, State Director, AARP Montana. “The candidate who wants to win in November should focus on the issues older voters care about most, from protecting Social Security and Medicare to supporting family caregivers.” <br><br>In the presidential contest, former President Donald Trump (R) holds a strong lead over Vice President Harris (D) among voters overall, 56% - 41%, and among voters 50 and older, 60% - 37%. <br><br>On the issues, 78% of voters ages 50 and older say that candidate positions on Social Security are very important to making their decision in November, followed by Medicare (71%), the cost of housing (62%), and policies that help seniors live independently at home (61%). And the vast majority (79%) of older Montanans prefer a member of Congress who wants Medicare to continue negotiating for lower prescription drug prices. <br><br>Other key takeaways from the poll <b>among voters 50 and older</b> include:<br></p><ul><li>Ninety-five percent of Montana voters 50+ support the state legislature providing lasting property tax relief that would make it easier for older Montanans to remain in their homes as they age.</li><li>Three quarters of Montana voters 50+ favor renewing the Medicaid expansion program before it ends next June. This includes support from 64% of Republicans 50+.</li><li>Seventy-four percent also support Montana funding a state tax credit to help with out of pocket expenses for unpaid family caregivers taking care of aging loved ones.</li><li>Immigration and border security (40%) is the most important issue when deciding who to vote for in November, followed by inflation and rising prices (24%), and the economy and jobs (23%).</li><li>A majority (56%) say Social Security is or will be a major source of their income.</li><li>Twenty-five percent of older voters identify as family caregivers, with 29% of older women and 28% of rural residents over 50 saying the same. Older caregivers make up 14% of Montana’s electorate and support Sheehy over Tester by 17 points.</li><li>Sixty-one percent of older voters are worried about their personal financial situation, which is reflected in the issues that these voters care about: 53% rank personal economic issues as the most important issues in the election.</li><li>Twenty-five percent of voters over 50 are not straight ticket voters; Senator Tester leads narrowly among both these older swing and independent voters.</li></ul><p>AARP commissioned the bipartisan polling team of Fabrizio Ward (R) and David Binder Research (D) to conduct a survey of voters in Montana. The firms interviewed 1,064 likely voters, which includes a statewide representative sample of 600 likely voters, an oversample of 464 likely voters ages 50 and older. The survey was done between August 25-29, 2024. The interviews were conducted via live interviewer on landline (25%) and cellphone (35%), as well as SMS-to-web (40%). The sample was randomly drawn from the Montana voter list. The margin of sampling error at the 95% confidence level for the 600 statewide sample is ±4.0%; for the 800 total sample of voters 50+ is ±3.5%. <br><br>View the full survey results at <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/MTpolling" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">aarp.org/MTpolling</a></span></span> and find all of our state battleground polls at <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="https://www.aarp.org/voterpolls24" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">aarp.org/voterpolls24</a></span></span>. Read AARP’s coverage of the poll <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/MTpollresults" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">here</a></span></span>. <br><br>For more information on how, when, and where to vote in Montana, visit <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/mtvotes" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">aarp.org/MTvotes</a></span></span>.<br></p><p class="cms-textAlign-center"></p><p><b><u>Also of interest:</u></b><br></p><ul><li><span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="https://www.aarp.org/politics-society/government-elections/info-2024/montana-election-poll.html?cmp=RDRCT-MTPOLLRESULTS-09052024" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">AARP Poll: GOP Challenger Leads in Pivotal Montana U.S. Senate Race: Spotlight is on contest that could decide which party controls the Senate</a></span></span><br><br><b><u>📢)) </u></b><span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/d7/7b/1130dc614eb3a30c4699bba5b59d/voicesofmontanaseg1-friday.mp3" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer"><b><u>Listen to the Voices of Montana Segment - Q &A with the Pollsters 9/6/2024</u></b></a></span></span></li></ul><div class="Enhancement" > <div class="Enhancement-item"><figure class="Figure" data-alignment="left"> <img src="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/e8/2d/15d240f34cf9a0ee714c16570400/icon-voices-of-montana-poll.png" alt="Icon Voices of Montana - Poll.png" width="960" height="960" style="height: auto; max-width: 200px;"/> </figure> </div> </div><div class="Enhancement" > <div class="Enhancement-item"><audio controls> <source src="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/d7/7b/1130dc614eb3a30c4699bba5b59d/voicesofmontanaseg1-friday.mp3" type="audio/mpeg"> Your browser does not support the audio element. </audio></div> </div><p></p></div> </div> </p></span> </div> </div> <p><i>This story is provided by AARP Montana. Visit the <a href="https://states.aarp.org/region/montana/" target="_blank">AARP Montana</a> page for more news, events, and programs affecting retirement, health care, and more.</i></p> </div> </div><div class="module clearfix"><script src="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/resource/00000168-dd17-d487-a96e-df5fe3ee0000/styleguide/All.min.c85a242a55150cd195e494cd6e5b9c77.gz.js" async=""></script> <link rel="stylesheet" media="all" href="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/resource/00000168-dd17-d487-a96e-df5fe3ee0000/styleguide/All.min.bfe6eb5a8301841feef3af4e9bd1e26d.gz.css"> <!-- bypass --> <style> a:focus, a:hover { text-decoration: underline; } h1.article-headline { margin: 0 0 1rem; } </style> <!-- <style> .Enhancement-item .Figure { margin-bottom: 24px; } .RichTextArticleBody-body ul { margin-bottom: 24px; } .RichTextArticleBody-body p{ margin: 12px 0; } .RichTextModule-items { clear: both; display: table; width: 100%; margin-bottom: 12px; } .VideoEnhancement>* { color: var(--primaryTextColor); font-size: 13px; font-weight: 400; line-height: 1.4; font-style: italic; background: #f0efed } @media only screen and (min-width: 768px) { .VideoEnhancement>* { font-size:14px; font-weight: 400; line-height: 1.47 } } .VideoEnhancement-title { padding: 20px } @media only screen and (min-width: 768px) { .VideoEnhancement-title { padding:30px } } .VideoEnhancement-player>* { position: relative; width: 100%; height: 0; padding-bottom: 56.25% } .VideoEnhancement iframe { border: 0; position: absolute; top: 0; left: 0; width: 100%; height: 100% } [data-video-player] { display: block; padding-bottom: 56.25%; height: 0; margin: 0 auto; } [data-video-player][data-aspect-ratio="4x3"] { padding-bottom: 56.25%; } [data-video-player][data-aspect-ratio="16x9"] { padding-bottom: 56.25% } </style> --></div><div class="module clearfix"><div class="module-spacer tout-homefit-750"> <a data-formelementid="CSN-LOCAL-HC-NEWSSK-02272024" href="/james-city-pa/home-and-community/?intcmp=CSN-LOCAL-HC-NEWSSK-02272024"><img class="img-responsive" alt="Explore the free AARP HomeFit Guide" title="Explore the free AARP HomeFit Guide" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/touts/HomeFit_750x150.png"></a> </div></div></div> <div class="col-md-4 right-rail thin-rhs"><div class="module clearfix"><!--default--> <!-- module_RHS - AARP Events --> <pre class="cake-error"><a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74a511-trace').style.display = (document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74a511-trace').style.display == 'none' ? '' : 'none');"><b>Warning</b> (2)</a>: include(/var/www/vhosts/vcc_staging/app//Resource/experience.master.resource.root.html): failed to open stream: No such file or directory [<b>APP/Lib/Modules.php(13) : eval()'d code</b>, line <b>1</b>]<div id="cakeErr66e7cfd74a511-trace" class="cake-stack-trace" style="display: none;"><a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74a511-code').style.display = (document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74a511-code').style.display == 'none' ? '' : 'none')">Code</a> <a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74a511-context').style.display = (document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74a511-context').style.display == 'none' ? '' : 'none')">Context</a><pre id="cakeErr66e7cfd74a511-context" class="cake-context" style="display: none;">$module = array( '_id' => '66158db0e9dff2b1fd9cafcd', 'module_id' => '1098', 'name' => 'RHS - Events Experience', 'type' => 'php', 'data' => '<?php include(APP . "/Resource/experience.master.resource.root.html"); ?> <style type="text/css"> .recommenationSection {font-family: Lato, sans-serif} .recommendationSection h3 {font-size:30px!important; text-transform:none; letter-spacing:0.03em} .recommendationSection .js-mvc-offer-recommended-article-pack-category {color:#dd1200; font-family:Lato, sans-serif; font-size:15px; font-weight:700; text-transform:uppercase; margin:0} .recommendationSection h4 a {color:#121212; font-size:20px; font-weight:700} .recommendationSection .uxdia-c-featured-tile__content-wrapper {padding: 0 0 .5em 0; margin-bottom: 1.25em; border-bottom: 1px solid #000} </style>', 'css' => '.recommendationSection h3 {font-size:30px} .recommenadationSection .js-mvc-offer-recommended-article-pack-category {color:rgb(221,18,0); font-size:12px} .recommendationSection h4 a {color:#121212; font-size:20px} ', 'script' => '', 'cache_time' => '', 'localize' => '0' ) $obj = false</pre><pre class="stack-trace">include - APP/Lib/Modules.php(13) : eval()'d code, line 1 eval - APP/Lib/Modules.php(13) : eval()'d code, line 1 Modules::render() - APP/Lib/Modules.php, line 13 Modules::load() - APP/Lib/Modules.php, line 29 Localize::getModule() - APP/Lib/Localize.php, line 294 Localize::replace() - APP/Lib/Localize.php, line 219 Modules::render() - APP/Lib/Modules.php, line 9 include - APP/View/Elements/display.ctp, line 13 View::_evaluate() - CORE/Cake/View/View.php, line 971 View::_render() - CORE/Cake/View/View.php, line 933 View::render() - CORE/Cake/View/View.php, line 473 Controller::render() - CORE/Cake/Controller/Controller.php, line 963 AppController::renderPage() - APP/Controller/AppController.php, line 136 BlogsController::display() - APP/Controller/BlogsController.php, line 81 ReflectionMethod::invokeArgs() - [internal], line ?? Controller::invokeAction() - CORE/Cake/Controller/Controller.php, line 491 Dispatcher::_invoke() - CORE/Cake/Routing/Dispatcher.php, line 193 Dispatcher::dispatch() - CORE/Cake/Routing/Dispatcher.php, line 167</pre></div></pre><pre class="cake-error"><a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74bcdc-trace').style.display = (document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74bcdc-trace').style.display == 'none' ? '' : 'none');"><b>Warning</b> (2)</a>: include() [<a href='http://php.net/function.include'>function.include</a>]: Failed opening '/var/www/vhosts/vcc_staging/app//Resource/experience.master.resource.root.html' for inclusion (include_path='/var/www/vhosts/vcc_staging/lib:.:/usr/share/pear:/usr/share/php') [<b>APP/Lib/Modules.php(13) : eval()'d code</b>, line <b>1</b>]<div id="cakeErr66e7cfd74bcdc-trace" class="cake-stack-trace" style="display: none;"><a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74bcdc-code').style.display = (document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74bcdc-code').style.display == 'none' ? '' : 'none')">Code</a> <a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74bcdc-context').style.display = (document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74bcdc-context').style.display == 'none' ? 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Controller::invokeAction() - CORE/Cake/Controller/Controller.php, line 491 Dispatcher::_invoke() - CORE/Cake/Routing/Dispatcher.php, line 193 Dispatcher::dispatch() - CORE/Cake/Routing/Dispatcher.php, line 167</pre></div></pre><style type="text/css"> .recommenationSection {font-family: Lato, sans-serif} .recommendationSection h3 {font-size:30px!important; text-transform:none; letter-spacing:0.03em} .recommendationSection .js-mvc-offer-recommended-article-pack-category {color:#dd1200; font-family:Lato, sans-serif; font-size:15px; font-weight:700; text-transform:uppercase; margin:0} .recommendationSection h4 a {color:#121212; font-size:20px; font-weight:700} .recommendationSection .uxdia-c-featured-tile__content-wrapper {padding: 0 0 .5em 0; margin-bottom: 1.25em; border-bottom: 1px solid #000} </style> <div aria-hidden="true" class="aarpe-ad-wrapper"> <div class="aarpe-ad en clearfix" id="300x250_53475" data-adsize="300x250"> <script type="text/javascript"> if(typeof AARP.ads !== 'undefined'){ AARP.ads.slots({ id:'300x250_53475', size:'300x250'}); } </script> </div> </div> <div class="card-tout card-dark membership-tout" style="margin:0 0 30px 0;"> <img class="img-responsive image" title="image of two AARP membership cards" alt="image of two AARP membership cards" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/tout-two-cards.png"> <div class="title">Only $12 your first year with Automatic Renewal</div> <ul class="list"> <li>Immediate access to your <a href="https://www.aarp.org/benefits-discounts/">member benefits</a></li> <li>Discounts on travel and everyday savings</li> <li>Subscription to AARP The Magazine</li> <li>FREE second membership</li> </ul> <div class="action"> <a class="btn" href="https://appsec.aarp.org/mem/join?campaignid=UAJFT3&intcmp=LNK-CSN-AARPLOCAL-JRTOUT-RR-A-JAMESCITY-PA">Join AARP</a> <div class="body">Already a member? <a href="https://appsec.aarp.org/mem/renew?campaignid= UARFT3&intcmp=LNK-CSN-AARPLOCAL-JRTOUT-RR-A-JAMESCITY-PA">Renew</a> or <a href="https://www.aarp.org/benefits-discounts/my-membership/print-your-card/">Print Card</a></div> </div> </div> <style> .membership-tout {padding:16px 20px;} .membership-tout .list li { margin: 0; } </style> <div aria-hidden="true" class="aarpe-ad-wrapper"> <div class="aarpe-ad en clearfix" id="300x250_93505" data-adsize="300x250"> <script type="text/javascript"> if(typeof AARP.ads !== 'undefined'){ AARP.ads.slots({ id:'300x250_93505', size:'300x250'}); } </script> </div> </div> <div class="module-spacer text-center"> <div class="fb-page" alt="Image of AARP Pennsylvania Facebook Page" title="Image of AARP Pennsylvania Facebook Page" data-href="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA" data-tabs="timeline" width="320" height="" data-small-header="false" data-adapt-container-width="true" data-hide-cover="false" data-show-facepile="true" lazy="true"> <blockquote cite="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA" class="fb-xfbml-parse-ignore"><a href="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA">Facebook</a></blockquote> </div> </div> <div class="ar-basic-box module-spacer"> <header> <h2>Contact AARP<br />Pennsylvania</h2> </header> <div class="wrap"> <div class="ar-quick-list module-spacer"> <ul class="list-unstyled"> <li><i class="list-icon fa fa-envelope" alt="Email icon" title="Email icon" aria-hidden="true"></i><a href="mailto:PAAARP@aarp.org" target="_blank" rel="noopener">PAAARP@aarp.org</a></li> <li><i class="list-icon fa fa-globe" alt="Globe icon" title="Globe icon" aria-hidden="true"></i><a href="https://states.aarp.org/region/pennsylvania/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AARP Pennsylvania</a></li> <li><i class="list-icon fa fa-map-marker" alt="Map Marker icon" title="Map Marker icon" aria-hidden="true"></i><a href="https://states.aarp.org/your-local-aarp-office/?intcmp=SNG-LNK-AARPLOCAL-CONTACT-20140101-JAMESCITY-PA" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Contact Us</a></li> </ul> </div> <a href="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA" target="_blank" rel="noopener" aria-label="Open Facebook"><img alt="Facebook icon" title="Facebook icon" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/responsive/icons/48/facebook-dreamstale25.png"></a> <a href="https://twitter.com/AARPPA" target="_blank" rel="noopener" aria-label="Open Twitter"><img alt="Twitter icon" title="Twitter icon" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/responsive/icons/48/x-logo-black.png"></a> </div> </div> </div></div> <div class="col-md-8 left-rail left-bot"></div> <div class="col-md-4 right-rail right-bot thin-rhs"></div> </div> <div class="row oneColumnLayout"> </div> <div class="row oneColumnLayout"> <div class="col-md-12"><!-- script to activate navbar --> <script type="text/javascript"> jQuery(".channelBarMain ul.left li a").click(function() { window.location = jQuery(this).attr('href'); }); </script> </div> </div> ' $scripts_for_layout = '<title>New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. 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$viewFile = '/var/www/vhosts/vcc_staging/app/View/Layouts/aarp_2023.ctp' $dataForView = array( 'content_for_layout' => '<div class="row twoColumnLayout"> <div class="col-md-8 left-rail"><div class="module clearfix"><div class="ar-basic-box"> <div> <div class="module-spacer"> <header><h1 class="article-headline">New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. Jon Tester in Senate Race</h1></header> <div class="posted-on"> Posted on 09/05/24 </div> </div> <div class="module-spacer"> <span class="blog-content"><p><div class="RichTextArticleBody"> <div class="RichTextArticleBody-body"><p><b>For Immediate Release: Sept. 5, 2024</b><br><br><b>Contact:</b> Stacia Dahl | sdahl@aarp.org | 406-457-4704<br><br><span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><span class="Link"><b>New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. Jon Tester in Senate Race</b></span></span></span><br><br><b><i>Former President Donald Trump leads Vice President Harris by 15 points among voters overall and by 23 points among voters over 50</i></b><br><br><b>Helena, Mont., Sep. 05, 2024</b> — Today, AARP Montana released a 2024 statewide <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/MTpolling" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">election survey</a></span></span> revealing that candidates for president, U.S. Senate, and state races should pay close attention to Montanans ages 50 and older, who make up an outsized portion of the electorate. In the 2020 elections, older voters accounted for 56% of all Montana voters and in the 2022 mid-terms, they made up 65% of the state’s voters. Ninety-two percent of voters ages 50 and older say they are “extremely motivated” to cast a ballot in November, compared with 77% of voters ages 18-49 saying the same.<br><br>In the U.S. Senate race, Tim Sheehy (R) leads Senator Jon Tester (D) by 49% - 41% on the full ballot, with 5% of voters supporting a third-party candidate and 4% undecided; Sheehy’s lead widens among older voters, 55% to 39%. In the head-to-head ballot, Sheehy leads Tester among voters overall, 51% - 45% and even more among older voters, 57% - 40%. <br><br>“Voters over age 50 are the biggest and most enthusiastic voting bloc this election, and their votes will make a difference in the U.S. Senate race,” said Tim Summers, State Director, AARP Montana. “The candidate who wants to win in November should focus on the issues older voters care about most, from protecting Social Security and Medicare to supporting family caregivers.” <br><br>In the presidential contest, former President Donald Trump (R) holds a strong lead over Vice President Harris (D) among voters overall, 56% - 41%, and among voters 50 and older, 60% - 37%. <br><br>On the issues, 78% of voters ages 50 and older say that candidate positions on Social Security are very important to making their decision in November, followed by Medicare (71%), the cost of housing (62%), and policies that help seniors live independently at home (61%). And the vast majority (79%) of older Montanans prefer a member of Congress who wants Medicare to continue negotiating for lower prescription drug prices. <br><br>Other key takeaways from the poll <b>among voters 50 and older</b> include:<br></p><ul><li>Ninety-five percent of Montana voters 50+ support the state legislature providing lasting property tax relief that would make it easier for older Montanans to remain in their homes as they age.</li><li>Three quarters of Montana voters 50+ favor renewing the Medicaid expansion program before it ends next June. This includes support from 64% of Republicans 50+.</li><li>Seventy-four percent also support Montana funding a state tax credit to help with out of pocket expenses for unpaid family caregivers taking care of aging loved ones.</li><li>Immigration and border security (40%) is the most important issue when deciding who to vote for in November, followed by inflation and rising prices (24%), and the economy and jobs (23%).</li><li>A majority (56%) say Social Security is or will be a major source of their income.</li><li>Twenty-five percent of older voters identify as family caregivers, with 29% of older women and 28% of rural residents over 50 saying the same. Older caregivers make up 14% of Montana’s electorate and support Sheehy over Tester by 17 points.</li><li>Sixty-one percent of older voters are worried about their personal financial situation, which is reflected in the issues that these voters care about: 53% rank personal economic issues as the most important issues in the election.</li><li>Twenty-five percent of voters over 50 are not straight ticket voters; Senator Tester leads narrowly among both these older swing and independent voters.</li></ul><p>AARP commissioned the bipartisan polling team of Fabrizio Ward (R) and David Binder Research (D) to conduct a survey of voters in Montana. The firms interviewed 1,064 likely voters, which includes a statewide representative sample of 600 likely voters, an oversample of 464 likely voters ages 50 and older. The survey was done between August 25-29, 2024. The interviews were conducted via live interviewer on landline (25%) and cellphone (35%), as well as SMS-to-web (40%). The sample was randomly drawn from the Montana voter list. The margin of sampling error at the 95% confidence level for the 600 statewide sample is ±4.0%; for the 800 total sample of voters 50+ is ±3.5%. <br><br>View the full survey results at <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/MTpolling" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">aarp.org/MTpolling</a></span></span> and find all of our state battleground polls at <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="https://www.aarp.org/voterpolls24" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">aarp.org/voterpolls24</a></span></span>. Read AARP’s coverage of the poll <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/MTpollresults" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">here</a></span></span>. <br><br>For more information on how, when, and where to vote in Montana, visit <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/mtvotes" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">aarp.org/MTvotes</a></span></span>.<br></p><p class="cms-textAlign-center"></p><p><b><u>Also of interest:</u></b><br></p><ul><li><span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="https://www.aarp.org/politics-society/government-elections/info-2024/montana-election-poll.html?cmp=RDRCT-MTPOLLRESULTS-09052024" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">AARP Poll: GOP Challenger Leads in Pivotal Montana U.S. Senate Race: Spotlight is on contest that could decide which party controls the Senate</a></span></span><br><br><b><u>📢)) </u></b><span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/d7/7b/1130dc614eb3a30c4699bba5b59d/voicesofmontanaseg1-friday.mp3" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer"><b><u>Listen to the Voices of Montana Segment - Q &A with the Pollsters 9/6/2024</u></b></a></span></span></li></ul><div class="Enhancement" > <div class="Enhancement-item"><figure class="Figure" data-alignment="left"> <img src="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/e8/2d/15d240f34cf9a0ee714c16570400/icon-voices-of-montana-poll.png" alt="Icon Voices of Montana - Poll.png" width="960" height="960" style="height: auto; max-width: 200px;"/> </figure> </div> </div><div class="Enhancement" > <div class="Enhancement-item"><audio controls> <source src="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/d7/7b/1130dc614eb3a30c4699bba5b59d/voicesofmontanaseg1-friday.mp3" type="audio/mpeg"> Your browser does not support the audio element. </audio></div> </div><p></p></div> </div> </p></span> </div> </div> <p><i>This story is provided by AARP Montana. Visit the <a href="https://states.aarp.org/region/montana/" target="_blank">AARP Montana</a> page for more news, events, and programs affecting retirement, health care, and more.</i></p> </div> </div><div class="module clearfix"><script src="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/resource/00000168-dd17-d487-a96e-df5fe3ee0000/styleguide/All.min.c85a242a55150cd195e494cd6e5b9c77.gz.js" async=""></script> <link rel="stylesheet" media="all" href="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/resource/00000168-dd17-d487-a96e-df5fe3ee0000/styleguide/All.min.bfe6eb5a8301841feef3af4e9bd1e26d.gz.css"> <!-- bypass --> <style> a:focus, a:hover { text-decoration: underline; } h1.article-headline { margin: 0 0 1rem; } </style> <!-- <style> .Enhancement-item .Figure { margin-bottom: 24px; } .RichTextArticleBody-body ul { margin-bottom: 24px; } .RichTextArticleBody-body p{ margin: 12px 0; } .RichTextModule-items { clear: both; display: table; width: 100%; margin-bottom: 12px; } .VideoEnhancement>* { color: var(--primaryTextColor); font-size: 13px; font-weight: 400; line-height: 1.4; font-style: italic; background: #f0efed } @media only screen and (min-width: 768px) { .VideoEnhancement>* { font-size:14px; font-weight: 400; line-height: 1.47 } } .VideoEnhancement-title { padding: 20px } @media only screen and (min-width: 768px) { .VideoEnhancement-title { padding:30px } } .VideoEnhancement-player>* { position: relative; width: 100%; height: 0; padding-bottom: 56.25% } .VideoEnhancement iframe { border: 0; position: absolute; top: 0; left: 0; width: 100%; height: 100% } [data-video-player] { display: block; padding-bottom: 56.25%; height: 0; margin: 0 auto; } [data-video-player][data-aspect-ratio="4x3"] { padding-bottom: 56.25%; } [data-video-player][data-aspect-ratio="16x9"] { padding-bottom: 56.25% } </style> --></div><div class="module clearfix"><div class="module-spacer tout-homefit-750"> <a data-formelementid="CSN-LOCAL-HC-NEWSSK-02272024" href="/james-city-pa/home-and-community/?intcmp=CSN-LOCAL-HC-NEWSSK-02272024"><img class="img-responsive" alt="Explore the free AARP HomeFit Guide" title="Explore the free AARP HomeFit Guide" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/touts/HomeFit_750x150.png"></a> </div></div></div> <div class="col-md-4 right-rail thin-rhs"><div class="module clearfix"><!--default--> <!-- module_RHS - AARP Events --> <pre class="cake-error"><a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74a511-trace').style.display = (document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74a511-trace').style.display == 'none' ? 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Controller::invokeAction() - CORE/Cake/Controller/Controller.php, line 491 Dispatcher::_invoke() - CORE/Cake/Routing/Dispatcher.php, line 193 Dispatcher::dispatch() - CORE/Cake/Routing/Dispatcher.php, line 167</pre></div></pre><pre class="cake-error"><a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74bcdc-trace').style.display = (document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74bcdc-trace').style.display == 'none' ? '' : 'none');"><b>Warning</b> (2)</a>: include() [<a href='http://php.net/function.include'>function.include</a>]: Failed opening '/var/www/vhosts/vcc_staging/app//Resource/experience.master.resource.root.html' for inclusion (include_path='/var/www/vhosts/vcc_staging/lib:.:/usr/share/pear:/usr/share/php') [<b>APP/Lib/Modules.php(13) : eval()'d code</b>, line <b>1</b>]<div id="cakeErr66e7cfd74bcdc-trace" class="cake-stack-trace" style="display: none;"><a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74bcdc-code').style.display = (document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74bcdc-code').style.display == 'none' ? '' : 'none')">Code</a> <a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74bcdc-context').style.display = (document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74bcdc-context').style.display == 'none' ? '' : 'none')">Context</a><pre id="cakeErr66e7cfd74bcdc-context" class="cake-context" style="display: none;">$module = array( '_id' => '66158db0e9dff2b1fd9cafcd', 'module_id' => '1098', 'name' => 'RHS - Events Experience', 'type' => 'php', 'data' => '<?php include(APP . "/Resource/experience.master.resource.root.html"); ?> <style type="text/css"> .recommenationSection {font-family: Lato, sans-serif} .recommendationSection h3 {font-size:30px!important; text-transform:none; letter-spacing:0.03em} .recommendationSection .js-mvc-offer-recommended-article-pack-category {color:#dd1200; font-family:Lato, sans-serif; font-size:15px; font-weight:700; text-transform:uppercase; margin:0} .recommendationSection h4 a {color:#121212; font-size:20px; font-weight:700} .recommendationSection .uxdia-c-featured-tile__content-wrapper {padding: 0 0 .5em 0; margin-bottom: 1.25em; border-bottom: 1px solid #000} </style>', 'css' => '.recommendationSection h3 {font-size:30px} .recommenadationSection .js-mvc-offer-recommended-article-pack-category {color:rgb(221,18,0); font-size:12px} .recommendationSection h4 a {color:#121212; font-size:20px} ', 'script' => '', 'cache_time' => '', 'localize' => '0' ) $obj = false</pre><pre class="stack-trace">include - APP/Lib/Modules.php(13) : eval()'d code, line 1 eval - APP/Lib/Modules.php(13) : eval()'d code, line 1 Modules::render() - APP/Lib/Modules.php, line 13 Modules::load() - APP/Lib/Modules.php, line 29 Localize::getModule() - APP/Lib/Localize.php, line 294 Localize::replace() - APP/Lib/Localize.php, line 219 Modules::render() - APP/Lib/Modules.php, line 9 include - APP/View/Elements/display.ctp, line 13 View::_evaluate() - CORE/Cake/View/View.php, line 971 View::_render() - CORE/Cake/View/View.php, line 933 View::render() - CORE/Cake/View/View.php, line 473 Controller::render() - CORE/Cake/Controller/Controller.php, line 963 AppController::renderPage() - APP/Controller/AppController.php, line 136 BlogsController::display() - APP/Controller/BlogsController.php, line 81 ReflectionMethod::invokeArgs() - [internal], line ?? Controller::invokeAction() - CORE/Cake/Controller/Controller.php, line 491 Dispatcher::_invoke() - CORE/Cake/Routing/Dispatcher.php, line 193 Dispatcher::dispatch() - CORE/Cake/Routing/Dispatcher.php, line 167</pre></div></pre><style type="text/css"> .recommenationSection {font-family: Lato, sans-serif} .recommendationSection h3 {font-size:30px!important; text-transform:none; letter-spacing:0.03em} .recommendationSection .js-mvc-offer-recommended-article-pack-category {color:#dd1200; font-family:Lato, sans-serif; font-size:15px; font-weight:700; text-transform:uppercase; margin:0} .recommendationSection h4 a {color:#121212; font-size:20px; font-weight:700} .recommendationSection .uxdia-c-featured-tile__content-wrapper {padding: 0 0 .5em 0; margin-bottom: 1.25em; border-bottom: 1px solid #000} </style> <div aria-hidden="true" class="aarpe-ad-wrapper"> <div class="aarpe-ad en clearfix" id="300x250_53475" data-adsize="300x250"> <script type="text/javascript"> if(typeof AARP.ads !== 'undefined'){ AARP.ads.slots({ id:'300x250_53475', size:'300x250'}); } </script> </div> </div> <div class="card-tout card-dark membership-tout" style="margin:0 0 30px 0;"> <img class="img-responsive image" title="image of two AARP membership cards" alt="image of two AARP membership cards" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/tout-two-cards.png"> <div class="title">Only $12 your first year with Automatic Renewal</div> <ul class="list"> <li>Immediate access to your <a href="https://www.aarp.org/benefits-discounts/">member benefits</a></li> <li>Discounts on travel and everyday savings</li> <li>Subscription to AARP The Magazine</li> <li>FREE second membership</li> </ul> <div class="action"> <a class="btn" href="https://appsec.aarp.org/mem/join?campaignid=UAJFT3&intcmp=LNK-CSN-AARPLOCAL-JRTOUT-RR-A-JAMESCITY-PA">Join AARP</a> <div class="body">Already a member? <a href="https://appsec.aarp.org/mem/renew?campaignid= UARFT3&intcmp=LNK-CSN-AARPLOCAL-JRTOUT-RR-A-JAMESCITY-PA">Renew</a> or <a href="https://www.aarp.org/benefits-discounts/my-membership/print-your-card/">Print Card</a></div> </div> </div> <style> .membership-tout {padding:16px 20px;} .membership-tout .list li { margin: 0; } </style> <div aria-hidden="true" class="aarpe-ad-wrapper"> <div class="aarpe-ad en clearfix" id="300x250_93505" data-adsize="300x250"> <script type="text/javascript"> if(typeof AARP.ads !== 'undefined'){ AARP.ads.slots({ id:'300x250_93505', size:'300x250'}); } </script> </div> </div> <div class="module-spacer text-center"> <div class="fb-page" alt="Image of AARP Pennsylvania Facebook Page" title="Image of AARP Pennsylvania Facebook Page" data-href="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA" data-tabs="timeline" width="320" height="" data-small-header="false" data-adapt-container-width="true" data-hide-cover="false" data-show-facepile="true" lazy="true"> <blockquote cite="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA" class="fb-xfbml-parse-ignore"><a href="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA">Facebook</a></blockquote> </div> </div> <div class="ar-basic-box module-spacer"> <header> <h2>Contact AARP<br />Pennsylvania</h2> </header> <div class="wrap"> <div class="ar-quick-list module-spacer"> <ul class="list-unstyled"> <li><i class="list-icon fa fa-envelope" alt="Email icon" title="Email icon" aria-hidden="true"></i><a href="mailto:PAAARP@aarp.org" target="_blank" rel="noopener">PAAARP@aarp.org</a></li> <li><i class="list-icon fa fa-globe" alt="Globe icon" title="Globe icon" aria-hidden="true"></i><a href="https://states.aarp.org/region/pennsylvania/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AARP Pennsylvania</a></li> <li><i class="list-icon fa fa-map-marker" alt="Map Marker icon" title="Map Marker icon" aria-hidden="true"></i><a href="https://states.aarp.org/your-local-aarp-office/?intcmp=SNG-LNK-AARPLOCAL-CONTACT-20140101-JAMESCITY-PA" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Contact Us</a></li> </ul> </div> <a href="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA" target="_blank" rel="noopener" aria-label="Open Facebook"><img alt="Facebook icon" title="Facebook icon" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/responsive/icons/48/facebook-dreamstale25.png"></a> <a href="https://twitter.com/AARPPA" target="_blank" rel="noopener" aria-label="Open Twitter"><img alt="Twitter icon" title="Twitter icon" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/responsive/icons/48/x-logo-black.png"></a> </div> </div> </div></div> <div class="col-md-8 left-rail left-bot"></div> <div class="col-md-4 right-rail right-bot thin-rhs"></div> </div> <div class="row oneColumnLayout"> </div> <div class="row oneColumnLayout"> <div class="col-md-12"><!-- script to activate navbar --> <script type="text/javascript"> jQuery(".channelBarMain ul.left li a").click(function() { window.location = jQuery(this).attr('href'); }); </script> </div> </div> ', 'scripts_for_layout' => '<title>New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. Jon Tester in Senate Race</title> <meta name="page_title" content="New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. Jon Tester in Senate Race"/> <meta name="robots" content="noindex, nofollow"/> <meta content="For Immediate Release: Sept. 5, 2024Contact: Stacia Dahl | sdahl@aarp.org | 406-457-4704New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. Jon Tester in Senate" name="description"/> <meta content="New, AARP, Montana, Poll, Tim, Sheehy, Leads, Sen, Jon, Tester, in, Senate, Race" name="keywords"/> <link rel="canonical" href="https://states.aarp.org/montana/mtpoll" /> <meta property="og:url" content="https://vccstaging.local.aarp.org/news/new-aarp-montana-poll-tim-sheehy-leads-sen-jon-tester-in-senate-race-mt-2024-09-05.html"/> <meta name="twitter:card" content="summary_large_image"/> <meta name="twitter:title" content="New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. 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Jon Tester in Senate Race</h1></header> <div class="posted-on"> Posted on 09/05/24 </div> </div> <div class="module-spacer"> <span class="blog-content"><p><div class="RichTextArticleBody"> <div class="RichTextArticleBody-body"><p><b>For Immediate Release: Sept. 5, 2024</b><br><br><b>Contact:</b> Stacia Dahl | sdahl@aarp.org | 406-457-4704<br><br><span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><span class="Link"><b>New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. Jon Tester in Senate Race</b></span></span></span><br><br><b><i>Former President Donald Trump leads Vice President Harris by 15 points among voters overall and by 23 points among voters over 50</i></b><br><br><b>Helena, Mont., Sep. 05, 2024</b> — Today, AARP Montana released a 2024 statewide <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/MTpolling" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">election survey</a></span></span> revealing that candidates for president, U.S. Senate, and state races should pay close attention to Montanans ages 50 and older, who make up an outsized portion of the electorate. In the 2020 elections, older voters accounted for 56% of all Montana voters and in the 2022 mid-terms, they made up 65% of the state’s voters. Ninety-two percent of voters ages 50 and older say they are “extremely motivated” to cast a ballot in November, compared with 77% of voters ages 18-49 saying the same.<br><br>In the U.S. Senate race, Tim Sheehy (R) leads Senator Jon Tester (D) by 49% - 41% on the full ballot, with 5% of voters supporting a third-party candidate and 4% undecided; Sheehy’s lead widens among older voters, 55% to 39%. In the head-to-head ballot, Sheehy leads Tester among voters overall, 51% - 45% and even more among older voters, 57% - 40%. <br><br>“Voters over age 50 are the biggest and most enthusiastic voting bloc this election, and their votes will make a difference in the U.S. Senate race,” said Tim Summers, State Director, AARP Montana. “The candidate who wants to win in November should focus on the issues older voters care about most, from protecting Social Security and Medicare to supporting family caregivers.” <br><br>In the presidential contest, former President Donald Trump (R) holds a strong lead over Vice President Harris (D) among voters overall, 56% - 41%, and among voters 50 and older, 60% - 37%. <br><br>On the issues, 78% of voters ages 50 and older say that candidate positions on Social Security are very important to making their decision in November, followed by Medicare (71%), the cost of housing (62%), and policies that help seniors live independently at home (61%). And the vast majority (79%) of older Montanans prefer a member of Congress who wants Medicare to continue negotiating for lower prescription drug prices. <br><br>Other key takeaways from the poll <b>among voters 50 and older</b> include:<br></p><ul><li>Ninety-five percent of Montana voters 50+ support the state legislature providing lasting property tax relief that would make it easier for older Montanans to remain in their homes as they age.</li><li>Three quarters of Montana voters 50+ favor renewing the Medicaid expansion program before it ends next June. This includes support from 64% of Republicans 50+.</li><li>Seventy-four percent also support Montana funding a state tax credit to help with out of pocket expenses for unpaid family caregivers taking care of aging loved ones.</li><li>Immigration and border security (40%) is the most important issue when deciding who to vote for in November, followed by inflation and rising prices (24%), and the economy and jobs (23%).</li><li>A majority (56%) say Social Security is or will be a major source of their income.</li><li>Twenty-five percent of older voters identify as family caregivers, with 29% of older women and 28% of rural residents over 50 saying the same. Older caregivers make up 14% of Montana’s electorate and support Sheehy over Tester by 17 points.</li><li>Sixty-one percent of older voters are worried about their personal financial situation, which is reflected in the issues that these voters care about: 53% rank personal economic issues as the most important issues in the election.</li><li>Twenty-five percent of voters over 50 are not straight ticket voters; Senator Tester leads narrowly among both these older swing and independent voters.</li></ul><p>AARP commissioned the bipartisan polling team of Fabrizio Ward (R) and David Binder Research (D) to conduct a survey of voters in Montana. The firms interviewed 1,064 likely voters, which includes a statewide representative sample of 600 likely voters, an oversample of 464 likely voters ages 50 and older. The survey was done between August 25-29, 2024. The interviews were conducted via live interviewer on landline (25%) and cellphone (35%), as well as SMS-to-web (40%). The sample was randomly drawn from the Montana voter list. The margin of sampling error at the 95% confidence level for the 600 statewide sample is ±4.0%; for the 800 total sample of voters 50+ is ±3.5%. <br><br>View the full survey results at <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/MTpolling" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">aarp.org/MTpolling</a></span></span> and find all of our state battleground polls at <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="https://www.aarp.org/voterpolls24" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">aarp.org/voterpolls24</a></span></span>. Read AARP’s coverage of the poll <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/MTpollresults" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">here</a></span></span>. <br><br>For more information on how, when, and where to vote in Montana, visit <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/mtvotes" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">aarp.org/MTvotes</a></span></span>.<br></p><p class="cms-textAlign-center"></p><p><b><u>Also of interest:</u></b><br></p><ul><li><span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="https://www.aarp.org/politics-society/government-elections/info-2024/montana-election-poll.html?cmp=RDRCT-MTPOLLRESULTS-09052024" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">AARP Poll: GOP Challenger Leads in Pivotal Montana U.S. Senate Race: Spotlight is on contest that could decide which party controls the Senate</a></span></span><br><br><b><u>📢)) </u></b><span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/d7/7b/1130dc614eb3a30c4699bba5b59d/voicesofmontanaseg1-friday.mp3" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer"><b><u>Listen to the Voices of Montana Segment - Q &A with the Pollsters 9/6/2024</u></b></a></span></span></li></ul><div class="Enhancement" > <div class="Enhancement-item"><figure class="Figure" data-alignment="left"> <img src="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/e8/2d/15d240f34cf9a0ee714c16570400/icon-voices-of-montana-poll.png" alt="Icon Voices of Montana - Poll.png" width="960" height="960" style="height: auto; max-width: 200px;"/> </figure> </div> </div><div class="Enhancement" > <div class="Enhancement-item"><audio controls> <source src="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/d7/7b/1130dc614eb3a30c4699bba5b59d/voicesofmontanaseg1-friday.mp3" type="audio/mpeg"> Your browser does not support the audio element. </audio></div> </div><p></p></div> </div> </p></span> </div> </div> <p><i>This story is provided by AARP Montana. Visit the <a href="https://states.aarp.org/region/montana/" target="_blank">AARP Montana</a> page for more news, events, and programs affecting retirement, health care, and more.</i></p> </div> </div><div class="module clearfix"><script src="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/resource/00000168-dd17-d487-a96e-df5fe3ee0000/styleguide/All.min.c85a242a55150cd195e494cd6e5b9c77.gz.js" async=""></script> <link rel="stylesheet" media="all" href="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/resource/00000168-dd17-d487-a96e-df5fe3ee0000/styleguide/All.min.bfe6eb5a8301841feef3af4e9bd1e26d.gz.css"> <!-- bypass --> <style> a:focus, a:hover { text-decoration: underline; } h1.article-headline { margin: 0 0 1rem; } </style> <!-- <style> .Enhancement-item .Figure { margin-bottom: 24px; } .RichTextArticleBody-body ul { margin-bottom: 24px; } .RichTextArticleBody-body p{ margin: 12px 0; } .RichTextModule-items { clear: both; display: table; width: 100%; margin-bottom: 12px; } .VideoEnhancement>* { color: var(--primaryTextColor); font-size: 13px; font-weight: 400; line-height: 1.4; font-style: italic; background: #f0efed } @media only screen and (min-width: 768px) { .VideoEnhancement>* { font-size:14px; font-weight: 400; line-height: 1.47 } } .VideoEnhancement-title { padding: 20px } @media only screen and (min-width: 768px) { .VideoEnhancement-title { padding:30px } } .VideoEnhancement-player>* { position: relative; width: 100%; height: 0; padding-bottom: 56.25% } .VideoEnhancement iframe { border: 0; position: absolute; top: 0; left: 0; width: 100%; height: 100% } [data-video-player] { display: block; padding-bottom: 56.25%; height: 0; margin: 0 auto; } [data-video-player][data-aspect-ratio="4x3"] { padding-bottom: 56.25%; } [data-video-player][data-aspect-ratio="16x9"] { padding-bottom: 56.25% } </style> --></div><div class="module clearfix"><div class="module-spacer tout-homefit-750"> <a data-formelementid="CSN-LOCAL-HC-NEWSSK-02272024" href="/james-city-pa/home-and-community/?intcmp=CSN-LOCAL-HC-NEWSSK-02272024"><img class="img-responsive" alt="Explore the free AARP HomeFit Guide" title="Explore the free AARP HomeFit Guide" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/touts/HomeFit_750x150.png"></a> </div></div></div> <div class="col-md-4 right-rail thin-rhs"><div class="module clearfix"><!--default--> <!-- module_RHS - AARP Events --> <pre class="cake-error"><a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74a511-trace').style.display = (document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74a511-trace').style.display == 'none' ? 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Controller::invokeAction() - CORE/Cake/Controller/Controller.php, line 491 Dispatcher::_invoke() - CORE/Cake/Routing/Dispatcher.php, line 193 Dispatcher::dispatch() - CORE/Cake/Routing/Dispatcher.php, line 167</pre></div></pre><style type="text/css"> .recommenationSection {font-family: Lato, sans-serif} .recommendationSection h3 {font-size:30px!important; text-transform:none; letter-spacing:0.03em} .recommendationSection .js-mvc-offer-recommended-article-pack-category {color:#dd1200; font-family:Lato, sans-serif; font-size:15px; font-weight:700; text-transform:uppercase; margin:0} .recommendationSection h4 a {color:#121212; font-size:20px; font-weight:700} .recommendationSection .uxdia-c-featured-tile__content-wrapper {padding: 0 0 .5em 0; margin-bottom: 1.25em; border-bottom: 1px solid #000} </style> <div aria-hidden="true" class="aarpe-ad-wrapper"> <div class="aarpe-ad en clearfix" id="300x250_53475" data-adsize="300x250"> <script type="text/javascript"> if(typeof AARP.ads !== 'undefined'){ AARP.ads.slots({ id:'300x250_53475', size:'300x250'}); } </script> </div> </div> <div class="card-tout card-dark membership-tout" style="margin:0 0 30px 0;"> <img class="img-responsive image" title="image of two AARP membership cards" alt="image of two AARP membership cards" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/tout-two-cards.png"> <div class="title">Only $12 your first year with Automatic Renewal</div> <ul class="list"> <li>Immediate access to your <a href="https://www.aarp.org/benefits-discounts/">member benefits</a></li> <li>Discounts on travel and everyday savings</li> <li>Subscription to AARP The Magazine</li> <li>FREE second membership</li> </ul> <div class="action"> <a class="btn" href="https://appsec.aarp.org/mem/join?campaignid=UAJFT3&intcmp=LNK-CSN-AARPLOCAL-JRTOUT-RR-A-JAMESCITY-PA">Join AARP</a> <div class="body">Already a member? <a href="https://appsec.aarp.org/mem/renew?campaignid= UARFT3&intcmp=LNK-CSN-AARPLOCAL-JRTOUT-RR-A-JAMESCITY-PA">Renew</a> or <a href="https://www.aarp.org/benefits-discounts/my-membership/print-your-card/">Print Card</a></div> </div> </div> <style> .membership-tout {padding:16px 20px;} .membership-tout .list li { margin: 0; } </style> <div aria-hidden="true" class="aarpe-ad-wrapper"> <div class="aarpe-ad en clearfix" id="300x250_93505" data-adsize="300x250"> <script type="text/javascript"> if(typeof AARP.ads !== 'undefined'){ AARP.ads.slots({ id:'300x250_93505', size:'300x250'}); } </script> </div> </div> <div class="module-spacer text-center"> <div class="fb-page" alt="Image of AARP Pennsylvania Facebook Page" title="Image of AARP Pennsylvania Facebook Page" data-href="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA" data-tabs="timeline" width="320" height="" data-small-header="false" data-adapt-container-width="true" data-hide-cover="false" data-show-facepile="true" lazy="true"> <blockquote cite="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA" class="fb-xfbml-parse-ignore"><a href="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA">Facebook</a></blockquote> </div> </div> <div class="ar-basic-box module-spacer"> <header> <h2>Contact AARP<br />Pennsylvania</h2> </header> <div class="wrap"> <div class="ar-quick-list module-spacer"> <ul class="list-unstyled"> <li><i class="list-icon fa fa-envelope" alt="Email icon" title="Email icon" aria-hidden="true"></i><a href="mailto:PAAARP@aarp.org" target="_blank" rel="noopener">PAAARP@aarp.org</a></li> <li><i class="list-icon fa fa-globe" alt="Globe icon" title="Globe icon" aria-hidden="true"></i><a href="https://states.aarp.org/region/pennsylvania/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AARP Pennsylvania</a></li> <li><i class="list-icon fa fa-map-marker" alt="Map Marker icon" title="Map Marker icon" aria-hidden="true"></i><a href="https://states.aarp.org/your-local-aarp-office/?intcmp=SNG-LNK-AARPLOCAL-CONTACT-20140101-JAMESCITY-PA" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Contact Us</a></li> </ul> </div> <a href="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA" target="_blank" rel="noopener" aria-label="Open Facebook"><img alt="Facebook icon" title="Facebook icon" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/responsive/icons/48/facebook-dreamstale25.png"></a> <a href="https://twitter.com/AARPPA" target="_blank" rel="noopener" aria-label="Open Twitter"><img alt="Twitter icon" title="Twitter icon" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/responsive/icons/48/x-logo-black.png"></a> </div> </div> </div></div> <div class="col-md-8 left-rail left-bot"></div> <div class="col-md-4 right-rail right-bot thin-rhs"></div> </div> <div class="row oneColumnLayout"> </div> <div class="row oneColumnLayout"> <div class="col-md-12"><!-- script to activate navbar --> <script type="text/javascript"> jQuery(".channelBarMain ul.left li a").click(function() { window.location = jQuery(this).attr('href'); }); </script> </div> </div> ' $scripts_for_layout = '<title>New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. Jon Tester in Senate Race</title> <meta name="page_title" content="New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. Jon Tester in Senate Race"/> <meta name="robots" content="noindex, nofollow"/> <meta content="For Immediate Release: Sept. 5, 2024Contact: Stacia Dahl | sdahl@aarp.org | 406-457-4704New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. Jon Tester in Senate" name="description"/> <meta content="New, AARP, Montana, Poll, Tim, Sheehy, Leads, Sen, Jon, Tester, in, Senate, Race" name="keywords"/> <link rel="canonical" href="https://states.aarp.org/montana/mtpoll" /> <meta property="og:url" content="https://vccstaging.local.aarp.org/news/new-aarp-montana-poll-tim-sheehy-leads-sen-jon-tester-in-senate-race-mt-2024-09-05.html"/> <meta name="twitter:card" content="summary_large_image"/> <meta name="twitter:title" content="New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. 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Warning (2): include() [<a href='http://php.net/function.include'>function.include</a>]: Failed opening '/var/www/vhosts/vcc_staging/app/Resource/aarp2_master.resource.root.html' for inclusion (include_path='/var/www/vhosts/vcc_staging/lib:.:/usr/share/pear:/usr/share/php') [APP/View/Layouts/aarp_2023.ctp, line 54]Code Context<?php if (!$nowrapper): // MLW - Spanish wrappers TBD
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$viewFile = '/var/www/vhosts/vcc_staging/app/View/Layouts/aarp_2023.ctp' $dataForView = array( 'content_for_layout' => '<div class="row twoColumnLayout"> <div class="col-md-8 left-rail"><div class="module clearfix"><div class="ar-basic-box"> <div> <div class="module-spacer"> <header><h1 class="article-headline">New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. Jon Tester in Senate Race</h1></header> <div class="posted-on"> Posted on 09/05/24 </div> </div> <div class="module-spacer"> <span class="blog-content"><p><div class="RichTextArticleBody"> <div class="RichTextArticleBody-body"><p><b>For Immediate Release: Sept. 5, 2024</b><br><br><b>Contact:</b> Stacia Dahl | sdahl@aarp.org | 406-457-4704<br><br><span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><span class="Link"><b>New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. Jon Tester in Senate Race</b></span></span></span><br><br><b><i>Former President Donald Trump leads Vice President Harris by 15 points among voters overall and by 23 points among voters over 50</i></b><br><br><b>Helena, Mont., Sep. 05, 2024</b> — Today, AARP Montana released a 2024 statewide <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/MTpolling" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">election survey</a></span></span> revealing that candidates for president, U.S. Senate, and state races should pay close attention to Montanans ages 50 and older, who make up an outsized portion of the electorate. In the 2020 elections, older voters accounted for 56% of all Montana voters and in the 2022 mid-terms, they made up 65% of the state’s voters. Ninety-two percent of voters ages 50 and older say they are “extremely motivated” to cast a ballot in November, compared with 77% of voters ages 18-49 saying the same.<br><br>In the U.S. Senate race, Tim Sheehy (R) leads Senator Jon Tester (D) by 49% - 41% on the full ballot, with 5% of voters supporting a third-party candidate and 4% undecided; Sheehy’s lead widens among older voters, 55% to 39%. In the head-to-head ballot, Sheehy leads Tester among voters overall, 51% - 45% and even more among older voters, 57% - 40%. <br><br>“Voters over age 50 are the biggest and most enthusiastic voting bloc this election, and their votes will make a difference in the U.S. Senate race,” said Tim Summers, State Director, AARP Montana. “The candidate who wants to win in November should focus on the issues older voters care about most, from protecting Social Security and Medicare to supporting family caregivers.” <br><br>In the presidential contest, former President Donald Trump (R) holds a strong lead over Vice President Harris (D) among voters overall, 56% - 41%, and among voters 50 and older, 60% - 37%. <br><br>On the issues, 78% of voters ages 50 and older say that candidate positions on Social Security are very important to making their decision in November, followed by Medicare (71%), the cost of housing (62%), and policies that help seniors live independently at home (61%). And the vast majority (79%) of older Montanans prefer a member of Congress who wants Medicare to continue negotiating for lower prescription drug prices. <br><br>Other key takeaways from the poll <b>among voters 50 and older</b> include:<br></p><ul><li>Ninety-five percent of Montana voters 50+ support the state legislature providing lasting property tax relief that would make it easier for older Montanans to remain in their homes as they age.</li><li>Three quarters of Montana voters 50+ favor renewing the Medicaid expansion program before it ends next June. This includes support from 64% of Republicans 50+.</li><li>Seventy-four percent also support Montana funding a state tax credit to help with out of pocket expenses for unpaid family caregivers taking care of aging loved ones.</li><li>Immigration and border security (40%) is the most important issue when deciding who to vote for in November, followed by inflation and rising prices (24%), and the economy and jobs (23%).</li><li>A majority (56%) say Social Security is or will be a major source of their income.</li><li>Twenty-five percent of older voters identify as family caregivers, with 29% of older women and 28% of rural residents over 50 saying the same. Older caregivers make up 14% of Montana’s electorate and support Sheehy over Tester by 17 points.</li><li>Sixty-one percent of older voters are worried about their personal financial situation, which is reflected in the issues that these voters care about: 53% rank personal economic issues as the most important issues in the election.</li><li>Twenty-five percent of voters over 50 are not straight ticket voters; Senator Tester leads narrowly among both these older swing and independent voters.</li></ul><p>AARP commissioned the bipartisan polling team of Fabrizio Ward (R) and David Binder Research (D) to conduct a survey of voters in Montana. The firms interviewed 1,064 likely voters, which includes a statewide representative sample of 600 likely voters, an oversample of 464 likely voters ages 50 and older. The survey was done between August 25-29, 2024. The interviews were conducted via live interviewer on landline (25%) and cellphone (35%), as well as SMS-to-web (40%). The sample was randomly drawn from the Montana voter list. The margin of sampling error at the 95% confidence level for the 600 statewide sample is ±4.0%; for the 800 total sample of voters 50+ is ±3.5%. <br><br>View the full survey results at <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/MTpolling" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">aarp.org/MTpolling</a></span></span> and find all of our state battleground polls at <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="https://www.aarp.org/voterpolls24" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">aarp.org/voterpolls24</a></span></span>. Read AARP’s coverage of the poll <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/MTpollresults" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">here</a></span></span>. <br><br>For more information on how, when, and where to vote in Montana, visit <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/mtvotes" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">aarp.org/MTvotes</a></span></span>.<br></p><p class="cms-textAlign-center"></p><p><b><u>Also of interest:</u></b><br></p><ul><li><span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="https://www.aarp.org/politics-society/government-elections/info-2024/montana-election-poll.html?cmp=RDRCT-MTPOLLRESULTS-09052024" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">AARP Poll: GOP Challenger Leads in Pivotal Montana U.S. Senate Race: Spotlight is on contest that could decide which party controls the Senate</a></span></span><br><br><b><u>📢)) </u></b><span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/d7/7b/1130dc614eb3a30c4699bba5b59d/voicesofmontanaseg1-friday.mp3" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer"><b><u>Listen to the Voices of Montana Segment - Q &A with the Pollsters 9/6/2024</u></b></a></span></span></li></ul><div class="Enhancement" > <div class="Enhancement-item"><figure class="Figure" data-alignment="left"> <img src="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/e8/2d/15d240f34cf9a0ee714c16570400/icon-voices-of-montana-poll.png" alt="Icon Voices of Montana - Poll.png" width="960" height="960" style="height: auto; max-width: 200px;"/> </figure> </div> </div><div class="Enhancement" > <div class="Enhancement-item"><audio controls> <source src="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/d7/7b/1130dc614eb3a30c4699bba5b59d/voicesofmontanaseg1-friday.mp3" type="audio/mpeg"> Your browser does not support the audio element. </audio></div> </div><p></p></div> </div> </p></span> </div> </div> <p><i>This story is provided by AARP Montana. Visit the <a href="https://states.aarp.org/region/montana/" target="_blank">AARP Montana</a> page for more news, events, and programs affecting retirement, health care, and more.</i></p> </div> </div><div class="module clearfix"><script src="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/resource/00000168-dd17-d487-a96e-df5fe3ee0000/styleguide/All.min.c85a242a55150cd195e494cd6e5b9c77.gz.js" async=""></script> <link rel="stylesheet" media="all" href="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/resource/00000168-dd17-d487-a96e-df5fe3ee0000/styleguide/All.min.bfe6eb5a8301841feef3af4e9bd1e26d.gz.css"> <!-- bypass --> <style> a:focus, a:hover { text-decoration: underline; } h1.article-headline { margin: 0 0 1rem; } </style> <!-- <style> .Enhancement-item .Figure { margin-bottom: 24px; } .RichTextArticleBody-body ul { margin-bottom: 24px; } .RichTextArticleBody-body p{ margin: 12px 0; } .RichTextModule-items { clear: both; display: table; width: 100%; margin-bottom: 12px; } .VideoEnhancement>* { color: var(--primaryTextColor); font-size: 13px; font-weight: 400; line-height: 1.4; font-style: italic; background: #f0efed } @media only screen and (min-width: 768px) { .VideoEnhancement>* { font-size:14px; font-weight: 400; line-height: 1.47 } } .VideoEnhancement-title { padding: 20px } @media only screen and (min-width: 768px) { .VideoEnhancement-title { padding:30px } } .VideoEnhancement-player>* { position: relative; width: 100%; height: 0; padding-bottom: 56.25% } .VideoEnhancement iframe { border: 0; position: absolute; top: 0; left: 0; width: 100%; height: 100% } [data-video-player] { display: block; padding-bottom: 56.25%; height: 0; margin: 0 auto; } [data-video-player][data-aspect-ratio="4x3"] { padding-bottom: 56.25%; } [data-video-player][data-aspect-ratio="16x9"] { padding-bottom: 56.25% } </style> --></div><div class="module clearfix"><div class="module-spacer tout-homefit-750"> <a data-formelementid="CSN-LOCAL-HC-NEWSSK-02272024" href="/james-city-pa/home-and-community/?intcmp=CSN-LOCAL-HC-NEWSSK-02272024"><img class="img-responsive" alt="Explore the free AARP HomeFit Guide" title="Explore the free AARP HomeFit Guide" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/touts/HomeFit_750x150.png"></a> </div></div></div> <div class="col-md-4 right-rail thin-rhs"><div class="module clearfix"><!--default--> <!-- module_RHS - AARP Events --> <pre class="cake-error"><a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74a511-trace').style.display = (document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74a511-trace').style.display == 'none' ? 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Controller::invokeAction() - CORE/Cake/Controller/Controller.php, line 491 Dispatcher::_invoke() - CORE/Cake/Routing/Dispatcher.php, line 193 Dispatcher::dispatch() - CORE/Cake/Routing/Dispatcher.php, line 167</pre></div></pre><style type="text/css"> .recommenationSection {font-family: Lato, sans-serif} .recommendationSection h3 {font-size:30px!important; text-transform:none; letter-spacing:0.03em} .recommendationSection .js-mvc-offer-recommended-article-pack-category {color:#dd1200; font-family:Lato, sans-serif; font-size:15px; font-weight:700; text-transform:uppercase; margin:0} .recommendationSection h4 a {color:#121212; font-size:20px; font-weight:700} .recommendationSection .uxdia-c-featured-tile__content-wrapper {padding: 0 0 .5em 0; margin-bottom: 1.25em; border-bottom: 1px solid #000} </style> <div aria-hidden="true" class="aarpe-ad-wrapper"> <div class="aarpe-ad en clearfix" id="300x250_53475" data-adsize="300x250"> <script type="text/javascript"> if(typeof AARP.ads !== 'undefined'){ AARP.ads.slots({ id:'300x250_53475', size:'300x250'}); } </script> </div> </div> <div class="card-tout card-dark membership-tout" style="margin:0 0 30px 0;"> <img class="img-responsive image" title="image of two AARP membership cards" alt="image of two AARP membership cards" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/tout-two-cards.png"> <div class="title">Only $12 your first year with Automatic Renewal</div> <ul class="list"> <li>Immediate access to your <a href="https://www.aarp.org/benefits-discounts/">member benefits</a></li> <li>Discounts on travel and everyday savings</li> <li>Subscription to AARP The Magazine</li> <li>FREE second membership</li> </ul> <div class="action"> <a class="btn" href="https://appsec.aarp.org/mem/join?campaignid=UAJFT3&intcmp=LNK-CSN-AARPLOCAL-JRTOUT-RR-A-JAMESCITY-PA">Join AARP</a> <div class="body">Already a member? <a href="https://appsec.aarp.org/mem/renew?campaignid= UARFT3&intcmp=LNK-CSN-AARPLOCAL-JRTOUT-RR-A-JAMESCITY-PA">Renew</a> or <a href="https://www.aarp.org/benefits-discounts/my-membership/print-your-card/">Print Card</a></div> </div> </div> <style> .membership-tout {padding:16px 20px;} .membership-tout .list li { margin: 0; } </style> <div aria-hidden="true" class="aarpe-ad-wrapper"> <div class="aarpe-ad en clearfix" id="300x250_93505" data-adsize="300x250"> <script type="text/javascript"> if(typeof AARP.ads !== 'undefined'){ AARP.ads.slots({ id:'300x250_93505', size:'300x250'}); } </script> </div> </div> <div class="module-spacer text-center"> <div class="fb-page" alt="Image of AARP Pennsylvania Facebook Page" title="Image of AARP Pennsylvania Facebook Page" data-href="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA" data-tabs="timeline" width="320" height="" data-small-header="false" data-adapt-container-width="true" data-hide-cover="false" data-show-facepile="true" lazy="true"> <blockquote cite="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA" class="fb-xfbml-parse-ignore"><a href="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA">Facebook</a></blockquote> </div> </div> <div class="ar-basic-box module-spacer"> <header> <h2>Contact AARP<br />Pennsylvania</h2> </header> <div class="wrap"> <div class="ar-quick-list module-spacer"> <ul class="list-unstyled"> <li><i class="list-icon fa fa-envelope" alt="Email icon" title="Email icon" aria-hidden="true"></i><a href="mailto:PAAARP@aarp.org" target="_blank" rel="noopener">PAAARP@aarp.org</a></li> <li><i class="list-icon fa fa-globe" alt="Globe icon" title="Globe icon" aria-hidden="true"></i><a href="https://states.aarp.org/region/pennsylvania/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AARP Pennsylvania</a></li> <li><i class="list-icon fa fa-map-marker" alt="Map Marker icon" title="Map Marker icon" aria-hidden="true"></i><a href="https://states.aarp.org/your-local-aarp-office/?intcmp=SNG-LNK-AARPLOCAL-CONTACT-20140101-JAMESCITY-PA" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Contact Us</a></li> </ul> </div> <a href="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA" target="_blank" rel="noopener" aria-label="Open Facebook"><img alt="Facebook icon" title="Facebook icon" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/responsive/icons/48/facebook-dreamstale25.png"></a> <a href="https://twitter.com/AARPPA" target="_blank" rel="noopener" aria-label="Open Twitter"><img alt="Twitter icon" title="Twitter icon" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/responsive/icons/48/x-logo-black.png"></a> </div> </div> </div></div> <div class="col-md-8 left-rail left-bot"></div> <div class="col-md-4 right-rail right-bot thin-rhs"></div> </div> <div class="row oneColumnLayout"> </div> <div class="row oneColumnLayout"> <div class="col-md-12"><!-- script to activate navbar --> <script type="text/javascript"> jQuery(".channelBarMain ul.left li a").click(function() { window.location = jQuery(this).attr('href'); }); </script> </div> </div> ', 'scripts_for_layout' => '<title>New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. Jon Tester in Senate Race</title> <meta name="page_title" content="New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. Jon Tester in Senate Race"/> <meta name="robots" content="noindex, nofollow"/> <meta content="For Immediate Release: Sept. 5, 2024Contact: Stacia Dahl | sdahl@aarp.org | 406-457-4704New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. Jon Tester in Senate" name="description"/> <meta content="New, AARP, Montana, Poll, Tim, Sheehy, Leads, Sen, Jon, Tester, in, Senate, Race" name="keywords"/> <link rel="canonical" href="https://states.aarp.org/montana/mtpoll" /> <meta property="og:url" content="https://vccstaging.local.aarp.org/news/new-aarp-montana-poll-tim-sheehy-leads-sen-jon-tester-in-senate-race-mt-2024-09-05.html"/> <meta name="twitter:card" content="summary_large_image"/> <meta name="twitter:title" content="New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. 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Jon Tester in Senate Race</h1></header> <div class="posted-on"> Posted on 09/05/24 </div> </div> <div class="module-spacer"> <span class="blog-content"><p><div class="RichTextArticleBody"> <div class="RichTextArticleBody-body"><p><b>For Immediate Release: Sept. 5, 2024</b><br><br><b>Contact:</b> Stacia Dahl | sdahl@aarp.org | 406-457-4704<br><br><span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><span class="Link"><b>New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. Jon Tester in Senate Race</b></span></span></span><br><br><b><i>Former President Donald Trump leads Vice President Harris by 15 points among voters overall and by 23 points among voters over 50</i></b><br><br><b>Helena, Mont., Sep. 05, 2024</b> — Today, AARP Montana released a 2024 statewide <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/MTpolling" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">election survey</a></span></span> revealing that candidates for president, U.S. Senate, and state races should pay close attention to Montanans ages 50 and older, who make up an outsized portion of the electorate. In the 2020 elections, older voters accounted for 56% of all Montana voters and in the 2022 mid-terms, they made up 65% of the state’s voters. Ninety-two percent of voters ages 50 and older say they are “extremely motivated” to cast a ballot in November, compared with 77% of voters ages 18-49 saying the same.<br><br>In the U.S. Senate race, Tim Sheehy (R) leads Senator Jon Tester (D) by 49% - 41% on the full ballot, with 5% of voters supporting a third-party candidate and 4% undecided; Sheehy’s lead widens among older voters, 55% to 39%. In the head-to-head ballot, Sheehy leads Tester among voters overall, 51% - 45% and even more among older voters, 57% - 40%. <br><br>“Voters over age 50 are the biggest and most enthusiastic voting bloc this election, and their votes will make a difference in the U.S. Senate race,” said Tim Summers, State Director, AARP Montana. “The candidate who wants to win in November should focus on the issues older voters care about most, from protecting Social Security and Medicare to supporting family caregivers.” <br><br>In the presidential contest, former President Donald Trump (R) holds a strong lead over Vice President Harris (D) among voters overall, 56% - 41%, and among voters 50 and older, 60% - 37%. <br><br>On the issues, 78% of voters ages 50 and older say that candidate positions on Social Security are very important to making their decision in November, followed by Medicare (71%), the cost of housing (62%), and policies that help seniors live independently at home (61%). And the vast majority (79%) of older Montanans prefer a member of Congress who wants Medicare to continue negotiating for lower prescription drug prices. <br><br>Other key takeaways from the poll <b>among voters 50 and older</b> include:<br></p><ul><li>Ninety-five percent of Montana voters 50+ support the state legislature providing lasting property tax relief that would make it easier for older Montanans to remain in their homes as they age.</li><li>Three quarters of Montana voters 50+ favor renewing the Medicaid expansion program before it ends next June. This includes support from 64% of Republicans 50+.</li><li>Seventy-four percent also support Montana funding a state tax credit to help with out of pocket expenses for unpaid family caregivers taking care of aging loved ones.</li><li>Immigration and border security (40%) is the most important issue when deciding who to vote for in November, followed by inflation and rising prices (24%), and the economy and jobs (23%).</li><li>A majority (56%) say Social Security is or will be a major source of their income.</li><li>Twenty-five percent of older voters identify as family caregivers, with 29% of older women and 28% of rural residents over 50 saying the same. Older caregivers make up 14% of Montana’s electorate and support Sheehy over Tester by 17 points.</li><li>Sixty-one percent of older voters are worried about their personal financial situation, which is reflected in the issues that these voters care about: 53% rank personal economic issues as the most important issues in the election.</li><li>Twenty-five percent of voters over 50 are not straight ticket voters; Senator Tester leads narrowly among both these older swing and independent voters.</li></ul><p>AARP commissioned the bipartisan polling team of Fabrizio Ward (R) and David Binder Research (D) to conduct a survey of voters in Montana. The firms interviewed 1,064 likely voters, which includes a statewide representative sample of 600 likely voters, an oversample of 464 likely voters ages 50 and older. The survey was done between August 25-29, 2024. The interviews were conducted via live interviewer on landline (25%) and cellphone (35%), as well as SMS-to-web (40%). The sample was randomly drawn from the Montana voter list. The margin of sampling error at the 95% confidence level for the 600 statewide sample is ±4.0%; for the 800 total sample of voters 50+ is ±3.5%. <br><br>View the full survey results at <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/MTpolling" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">aarp.org/MTpolling</a></span></span> and find all of our state battleground polls at <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="https://www.aarp.org/voterpolls24" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">aarp.org/voterpolls24</a></span></span>. Read AARP’s coverage of the poll <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/MTpollresults" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">here</a></span></span>. <br><br>For more information on how, when, and where to vote in Montana, visit <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/mtvotes" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">aarp.org/MTvotes</a></span></span>.<br></p><p class="cms-textAlign-center"></p><p><b><u>Also of interest:</u></b><br></p><ul><li><span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="https://www.aarp.org/politics-society/government-elections/info-2024/montana-election-poll.html?cmp=RDRCT-MTPOLLRESULTS-09052024" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">AARP Poll: GOP Challenger Leads in Pivotal Montana U.S. Senate Race: Spotlight is on contest that could decide which party controls the Senate</a></span></span><br><br><b><u>📢)) </u></b><span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/d7/7b/1130dc614eb3a30c4699bba5b59d/voicesofmontanaseg1-friday.mp3" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer"><b><u>Listen to the Voices of Montana Segment - Q &A with the Pollsters 9/6/2024</u></b></a></span></span></li></ul><div class="Enhancement" > <div class="Enhancement-item"><figure class="Figure" data-alignment="left"> <img src="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/e8/2d/15d240f34cf9a0ee714c16570400/icon-voices-of-montana-poll.png" alt="Icon Voices of Montana - Poll.png" width="960" height="960" style="height: auto; max-width: 200px;"/> </figure> </div> </div><div class="Enhancement" > <div class="Enhancement-item"><audio controls> <source src="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/d7/7b/1130dc614eb3a30c4699bba5b59d/voicesofmontanaseg1-friday.mp3" type="audio/mpeg"> Your browser does not support the audio element. </audio></div> </div><p></p></div> </div> </p></span> </div> </div> <p><i>This story is provided by AARP Montana. Visit the <a href="https://states.aarp.org/region/montana/" target="_blank">AARP Montana</a> page for more news, events, and programs affecting retirement, health care, and more.</i></p> </div> </div><div class="module clearfix"><script src="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/resource/00000168-dd17-d487-a96e-df5fe3ee0000/styleguide/All.min.c85a242a55150cd195e494cd6e5b9c77.gz.js" async=""></script> <link rel="stylesheet" media="all" href="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/resource/00000168-dd17-d487-a96e-df5fe3ee0000/styleguide/All.min.bfe6eb5a8301841feef3af4e9bd1e26d.gz.css"> <!-- bypass --> <style> a:focus, a:hover { text-decoration: underline; } h1.article-headline { margin: 0 0 1rem; } </style> <!-- <style> .Enhancement-item .Figure { margin-bottom: 24px; } .RichTextArticleBody-body ul { margin-bottom: 24px; } .RichTextArticleBody-body p{ margin: 12px 0; } .RichTextModule-items { clear: both; display: table; width: 100%; margin-bottom: 12px; } .VideoEnhancement>* { color: var(--primaryTextColor); font-size: 13px; font-weight: 400; line-height: 1.4; font-style: italic; background: #f0efed } @media only screen and (min-width: 768px) { .VideoEnhancement>* { font-size:14px; font-weight: 400; line-height: 1.47 } } .VideoEnhancement-title { padding: 20px } @media only screen and (min-width: 768px) { .VideoEnhancement-title { padding:30px } } .VideoEnhancement-player>* { position: relative; width: 100%; height: 0; padding-bottom: 56.25% } .VideoEnhancement iframe { border: 0; position: absolute; top: 0; left: 0; width: 100%; height: 100% } [data-video-player] { display: block; padding-bottom: 56.25%; height: 0; margin: 0 auto; } [data-video-player][data-aspect-ratio="4x3"] { padding-bottom: 56.25%; } [data-video-player][data-aspect-ratio="16x9"] { padding-bottom: 56.25% } </style> --></div><div class="module clearfix"><div class="module-spacer tout-homefit-750"> <a data-formelementid="CSN-LOCAL-HC-NEWSSK-02272024" href="/james-city-pa/home-and-community/?intcmp=CSN-LOCAL-HC-NEWSSK-02272024"><img class="img-responsive" alt="Explore the free AARP HomeFit Guide" title="Explore the free AARP HomeFit Guide" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/touts/HomeFit_750x150.png"></a> </div></div></div> <div class="col-md-4 right-rail thin-rhs"><div class="module clearfix"><!--default--> <!-- module_RHS - AARP Events --> <pre class="cake-error"><a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74a511-trace').style.display = (document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74a511-trace').style.display == 'none' ? 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For Immediate Release: Sept. 5, 2024
Contact: Stacia Dahl | sdahl@aarp.org | 406-457-4704
New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. Jon Tester in Senate Race
Former President Donald Trump leads Vice President Harris by 15 points among voters overall and by 23 points among voters over 50
Helena, Mont., Sep. 05, 2024 — Today, AARP Montana released a 2024 statewide election survey revealing that candidates for president, U.S. Senate, and state races should pay close attention to Montanans ages 50 and older, who make up an outsized portion of the electorate. In the 2020 elections, older voters accounted for 56% of all Montana voters and in the 2022 mid-terms, they made up 65% of the state’s voters. Ninety-two percent of voters ages 50 and older say they are “extremely motivated” to cast a ballot in November, compared with 77% of voters ages 18-49 saying the same.
In the U.S. Senate race, Tim Sheehy (R) leads Senator Jon Tester (D) by 49% - 41% on the full ballot, with 5% of voters supporting a third-party candidate and 4% undecided; Sheehy’s lead widens among older voters, 55% to 39%. In the head-to-head ballot, Sheehy leads Tester among voters overall, 51% - 45% and even more among older voters, 57% - 40%.
“Voters over age 50 are the biggest and most enthusiastic voting bloc this election, and their votes will make a difference in the U.S. Senate race,” said Tim Summers, State Director, AARP Montana. “The candidate who wants to win in November should focus on the issues older voters care about most, from protecting Social Security and Medicare to supporting family caregivers.”
In the presidential contest, former President Donald Trump (R) holds a strong lead over Vice President Harris (D) among voters overall, 56% - 41%, and among voters 50 and older, 60% - 37%.
On the issues, 78% of voters ages 50 and older say that candidate positions on Social Security are very important to making their decision in November, followed by Medicare (71%), the cost of housing (62%), and policies that help seniors live independently at home (61%). And the vast majority (79%) of older Montanans prefer a member of Congress who wants Medicare to continue negotiating for lower prescription drug prices.
Other key takeaways from the poll among voters 50 and older include:
AARP commissioned the bipartisan polling team of Fabrizio Ward (R) and David Binder Research (D) to conduct a survey of voters in Montana. The firms interviewed 1,064 likely voters, which includes a statewide representative sample of 600 likely voters, an oversample of 464 likely voters ages 50 and older. The survey was done between August 25-29, 2024. The interviews were conducted via live interviewer on landline (25%) and cellphone (35%), as well as SMS-to-web (40%). The sample was randomly drawn from the Montana voter list. The margin of sampling error at the 95% confidence level for the 600 statewide sample is ±4.0%; for the 800 total sample of voters 50+ is ±3.5%.
View the full survey results at aarp.org/MTpolling and find all of our state battleground polls at aarp.org/voterpolls24. Read AARP’s coverage of the poll here.
For more information on how, when, and where to vote in Montana, visit aarp.org/MTvotes.
Also of interest:
This story is provided by AARP Montana. Visit the AARP Montana page for more news, events, and programs affecting retirement, health care, and more.
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$viewFile = '/var/www/vhosts/vcc_staging/app/View/Layouts/aarp_2023.ctp' $dataForView = array( 'content_for_layout' => '<div class="row twoColumnLayout"> <div class="col-md-8 left-rail"><div class="module clearfix"><div class="ar-basic-box"> <div> <div class="module-spacer"> <header><h1 class="article-headline">New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. Jon Tester in Senate Race</h1></header> <div class="posted-on"> Posted on 09/05/24 </div> </div> <div class="module-spacer"> <span class="blog-content"><p><div class="RichTextArticleBody"> <div class="RichTextArticleBody-body"><p><b>For Immediate Release: Sept. 5, 2024</b><br><br><b>Contact:</b> Stacia Dahl | sdahl@aarp.org | 406-457-4704<br><br><span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><span class="Link"><b>New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. Jon Tester in Senate Race</b></span></span></span><br><br><b><i>Former President Donald Trump leads Vice President Harris by 15 points among voters overall and by 23 points among voters over 50</i></b><br><br><b>Helena, Mont., Sep. 05, 2024</b> — Today, AARP Montana released a 2024 statewide <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/MTpolling" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">election survey</a></span></span> revealing that candidates for president, U.S. Senate, and state races should pay close attention to Montanans ages 50 and older, who make up an outsized portion of the electorate. In the 2020 elections, older voters accounted for 56% of all Montana voters and in the 2022 mid-terms, they made up 65% of the state’s voters. Ninety-two percent of voters ages 50 and older say they are “extremely motivated” to cast a ballot in November, compared with 77% of voters ages 18-49 saying the same.<br><br>In the U.S. Senate race, Tim Sheehy (R) leads Senator Jon Tester (D) by 49% - 41% on the full ballot, with 5% of voters supporting a third-party candidate and 4% undecided; Sheehy’s lead widens among older voters, 55% to 39%. In the head-to-head ballot, Sheehy leads Tester among voters overall, 51% - 45% and even more among older voters, 57% - 40%. <br><br>“Voters over age 50 are the biggest and most enthusiastic voting bloc this election, and their votes will make a difference in the U.S. Senate race,” said Tim Summers, State Director, AARP Montana. “The candidate who wants to win in November should focus on the issues older voters care about most, from protecting Social Security and Medicare to supporting family caregivers.” <br><br>In the presidential contest, former President Donald Trump (R) holds a strong lead over Vice President Harris (D) among voters overall, 56% - 41%, and among voters 50 and older, 60% - 37%. <br><br>On the issues, 78% of voters ages 50 and older say that candidate positions on Social Security are very important to making their decision in November, followed by Medicare (71%), the cost of housing (62%), and policies that help seniors live independently at home (61%). And the vast majority (79%) of older Montanans prefer a member of Congress who wants Medicare to continue negotiating for lower prescription drug prices. <br><br>Other key takeaways from the poll <b>among voters 50 and older</b> include:<br></p><ul><li>Ninety-five percent of Montana voters 50+ support the state legislature providing lasting property tax relief that would make it easier for older Montanans to remain in their homes as they age.</li><li>Three quarters of Montana voters 50+ favor renewing the Medicaid expansion program before it ends next June. This includes support from 64% of Republicans 50+.</li><li>Seventy-four percent also support Montana funding a state tax credit to help with out of pocket expenses for unpaid family caregivers taking care of aging loved ones.</li><li>Immigration and border security (40%) is the most important issue when deciding who to vote for in November, followed by inflation and rising prices (24%), and the economy and jobs (23%).</li><li>A majority (56%) say Social Security is or will be a major source of their income.</li><li>Twenty-five percent of older voters identify as family caregivers, with 29% of older women and 28% of rural residents over 50 saying the same. Older caregivers make up 14% of Montana’s electorate and support Sheehy over Tester by 17 points.</li><li>Sixty-one percent of older voters are worried about their personal financial situation, which is reflected in the issues that these voters care about: 53% rank personal economic issues as the most important issues in the election.</li><li>Twenty-five percent of voters over 50 are not straight ticket voters; Senator Tester leads narrowly among both these older swing and independent voters.</li></ul><p>AARP commissioned the bipartisan polling team of Fabrizio Ward (R) and David Binder Research (D) to conduct a survey of voters in Montana. The firms interviewed 1,064 likely voters, which includes a statewide representative sample of 600 likely voters, an oversample of 464 likely voters ages 50 and older. The survey was done between August 25-29, 2024. The interviews were conducted via live interviewer on landline (25%) and cellphone (35%), as well as SMS-to-web (40%). The sample was randomly drawn from the Montana voter list. The margin of sampling error at the 95% confidence level for the 600 statewide sample is ±4.0%; for the 800 total sample of voters 50+ is ±3.5%. <br><br>View the full survey results at <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/MTpolling" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">aarp.org/MTpolling</a></span></span> and find all of our state battleground polls at <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="https://www.aarp.org/voterpolls24" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">aarp.org/voterpolls24</a></span></span>. Read AARP’s coverage of the poll <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/MTpollresults" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">here</a></span></span>. <br><br>For more information on how, when, and where to vote in Montana, visit <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/mtvotes" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">aarp.org/MTvotes</a></span></span>.<br></p><p class="cms-textAlign-center"></p><p><b><u>Also of interest:</u></b><br></p><ul><li><span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="https://www.aarp.org/politics-society/government-elections/info-2024/montana-election-poll.html?cmp=RDRCT-MTPOLLRESULTS-09052024" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">AARP Poll: GOP Challenger Leads in Pivotal Montana U.S. Senate Race: Spotlight is on contest that could decide which party controls the Senate</a></span></span><br><br><b><u>📢)) </u></b><span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/d7/7b/1130dc614eb3a30c4699bba5b59d/voicesofmontanaseg1-friday.mp3" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer"><b><u>Listen to the Voices of Montana Segment - Q &A with the Pollsters 9/6/2024</u></b></a></span></span></li></ul><div class="Enhancement" > <div class="Enhancement-item"><figure class="Figure" data-alignment="left"> <img src="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/e8/2d/15d240f34cf9a0ee714c16570400/icon-voices-of-montana-poll.png" alt="Icon Voices of Montana - Poll.png" width="960" height="960" style="height: auto; max-width: 200px;"/> </figure> </div> </div><div class="Enhancement" > <div class="Enhancement-item"><audio controls> <source src="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/d7/7b/1130dc614eb3a30c4699bba5b59d/voicesofmontanaseg1-friday.mp3" type="audio/mpeg"> Your browser does not support the audio element. </audio></div> </div><p></p></div> </div> </p></span> </div> </div> <p><i>This story is provided by AARP Montana. Visit the <a href="https://states.aarp.org/region/montana/" target="_blank">AARP Montana</a> page for more news, events, and programs affecting retirement, health care, and more.</i></p> </div> </div><div class="module clearfix"><script src="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/resource/00000168-dd17-d487-a96e-df5fe3ee0000/styleguide/All.min.c85a242a55150cd195e494cd6e5b9c77.gz.js" async=""></script> <link rel="stylesheet" media="all" href="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/resource/00000168-dd17-d487-a96e-df5fe3ee0000/styleguide/All.min.bfe6eb5a8301841feef3af4e9bd1e26d.gz.css"> <!-- bypass --> <style> a:focus, a:hover { text-decoration: underline; } h1.article-headline { margin: 0 0 1rem; } </style> <!-- <style> .Enhancement-item .Figure { margin-bottom: 24px; } .RichTextArticleBody-body ul { margin-bottom: 24px; } .RichTextArticleBody-body p{ margin: 12px 0; } .RichTextModule-items { clear: both; display: table; width: 100%; margin-bottom: 12px; } .VideoEnhancement>* { color: var(--primaryTextColor); font-size: 13px; font-weight: 400; line-height: 1.4; font-style: italic; background: #f0efed } @media only screen and (min-width: 768px) { .VideoEnhancement>* { font-size:14px; font-weight: 400; line-height: 1.47 } } .VideoEnhancement-title { padding: 20px } @media only screen and (min-width: 768px) { .VideoEnhancement-title { padding:30px } } .VideoEnhancement-player>* { position: relative; width: 100%; height: 0; padding-bottom: 56.25% } .VideoEnhancement iframe { border: 0; position: absolute; top: 0; left: 0; width: 100%; height: 100% } [data-video-player] { display: block; padding-bottom: 56.25%; height: 0; margin: 0 auto; } [data-video-player][data-aspect-ratio="4x3"] { padding-bottom: 56.25%; } [data-video-player][data-aspect-ratio="16x9"] { padding-bottom: 56.25% } </style> --></div><div class="module clearfix"><div class="module-spacer tout-homefit-750"> <a data-formelementid="CSN-LOCAL-HC-NEWSSK-02272024" href="/james-city-pa/home-and-community/?intcmp=CSN-LOCAL-HC-NEWSSK-02272024"><img class="img-responsive" alt="Explore the free AARP HomeFit Guide" title="Explore the free AARP HomeFit Guide" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/touts/HomeFit_750x150.png"></a> </div></div></div> <div class="col-md-4 right-rail thin-rhs"><div class="module clearfix"><!--default--> <!-- module_RHS - AARP Events --> <pre class="cake-error"><a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74a511-trace').style.display = (document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74a511-trace').style.display == 'none' ? 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'' : 'none')">Context</a><pre id="cakeErr66e7cfd74bcdc-context" class="cake-context" style="display: none;">$module = array( '_id' => '66158db0e9dff2b1fd9cafcd', 'module_id' => '1098', 'name' => 'RHS - Events Experience', 'type' => 'php', 'data' => '<?php include(APP . "/Resource/experience.master.resource.root.html"); ?> <style type="text/css"> .recommenationSection {font-family: Lato, sans-serif} .recommendationSection h3 {font-size:30px!important; text-transform:none; letter-spacing:0.03em} .recommendationSection .js-mvc-offer-recommended-article-pack-category {color:#dd1200; font-family:Lato, sans-serif; font-size:15px; font-weight:700; text-transform:uppercase; margin:0} .recommendationSection h4 a {color:#121212; font-size:20px; font-weight:700} .recommendationSection .uxdia-c-featured-tile__content-wrapper {padding: 0 0 .5em 0; margin-bottom: 1.25em; border-bottom: 1px solid #000} </style>', 'css' => '.recommendationSection h3 {font-size:30px} .recommenadationSection .js-mvc-offer-recommended-article-pack-category {color:rgb(221,18,0); font-size:12px} .recommendationSection h4 a {color:#121212; font-size:20px} ', 'script' => '', 'cache_time' => '', 'localize' => '0' ) $obj = false</pre><pre class="stack-trace">include - APP/Lib/Modules.php(13) : eval()'d code, line 1 eval - APP/Lib/Modules.php(13) : eval()'d code, line 1 Modules::render() - APP/Lib/Modules.php, line 13 Modules::load() - APP/Lib/Modules.php, line 29 Localize::getModule() - APP/Lib/Localize.php, line 294 Localize::replace() - APP/Lib/Localize.php, line 219 Modules::render() - APP/Lib/Modules.php, line 9 include - APP/View/Elements/display.ctp, line 13 View::_evaluate() - CORE/Cake/View/View.php, line 971 View::_render() - CORE/Cake/View/View.php, line 933 View::render() - CORE/Cake/View/View.php, line 473 Controller::render() - CORE/Cake/Controller/Controller.php, line 963 AppController::renderPage() - APP/Controller/AppController.php, line 136 BlogsController::display() - APP/Controller/BlogsController.php, line 81 ReflectionMethod::invokeArgs() - [internal], line ?? Controller::invokeAction() - CORE/Cake/Controller/Controller.php, line 491 Dispatcher::_invoke() - CORE/Cake/Routing/Dispatcher.php, line 193 Dispatcher::dispatch() - CORE/Cake/Routing/Dispatcher.php, line 167</pre></div></pre><style type="text/css"> .recommenationSection {font-family: Lato, sans-serif} .recommendationSection h3 {font-size:30px!important; text-transform:none; letter-spacing:0.03em} .recommendationSection .js-mvc-offer-recommended-article-pack-category {color:#dd1200; font-family:Lato, sans-serif; font-size:15px; font-weight:700; text-transform:uppercase; margin:0} .recommendationSection h4 a {color:#121212; font-size:20px; font-weight:700} .recommendationSection .uxdia-c-featured-tile__content-wrapper {padding: 0 0 .5em 0; margin-bottom: 1.25em; border-bottom: 1px solid #000} </style> <div aria-hidden="true" class="aarpe-ad-wrapper"> <div class="aarpe-ad en clearfix" id="300x250_53475" data-adsize="300x250"> <script type="text/javascript"> if(typeof AARP.ads !== 'undefined'){ AARP.ads.slots({ id:'300x250_53475', size:'300x250'}); } </script> </div> </div> <div class="card-tout card-dark membership-tout" style="margin:0 0 30px 0;"> <img class="img-responsive image" title="image of two AARP membership cards" alt="image of two AARP membership cards" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/tout-two-cards.png"> <div class="title">Only $12 your first year with Automatic Renewal</div> <ul class="list"> <li>Immediate access to your <a href="https://www.aarp.org/benefits-discounts/">member benefits</a></li> <li>Discounts on travel and everyday savings</li> <li>Subscription to AARP The Magazine</li> <li>FREE second membership</li> </ul> <div class="action"> <a class="btn" href="https://appsec.aarp.org/mem/join?campaignid=UAJFT3&intcmp=LNK-CSN-AARPLOCAL-JRTOUT-RR-A-JAMESCITY-PA">Join AARP</a> <div class="body">Already a member? <a href="https://appsec.aarp.org/mem/renew?campaignid= UARFT3&intcmp=LNK-CSN-AARPLOCAL-JRTOUT-RR-A-JAMESCITY-PA">Renew</a> or <a href="https://www.aarp.org/benefits-discounts/my-membership/print-your-card/">Print Card</a></div> </div> </div> <style> .membership-tout {padding:16px 20px;} .membership-tout .list li { margin: 0; } </style> <div aria-hidden="true" class="aarpe-ad-wrapper"> <div class="aarpe-ad en clearfix" id="300x250_93505" data-adsize="300x250"> <script type="text/javascript"> if(typeof AARP.ads !== 'undefined'){ AARP.ads.slots({ id:'300x250_93505', size:'300x250'}); } </script> </div> </div> <div class="module-spacer text-center"> <div class="fb-page" alt="Image of AARP Pennsylvania Facebook Page" title="Image of AARP Pennsylvania Facebook Page" data-href="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA" data-tabs="timeline" width="320" height="" data-small-header="false" data-adapt-container-width="true" data-hide-cover="false" data-show-facepile="true" lazy="true"> <blockquote cite="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA" class="fb-xfbml-parse-ignore"><a href="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA">Facebook</a></blockquote> </div> </div> <div class="ar-basic-box module-spacer"> <header> <h2>Contact AARP<br />Pennsylvania</h2> </header> <div class="wrap"> <div class="ar-quick-list module-spacer"> <ul class="list-unstyled"> <li><i class="list-icon fa fa-envelope" alt="Email icon" title="Email icon" aria-hidden="true"></i><a href="mailto:PAAARP@aarp.org" target="_blank" rel="noopener">PAAARP@aarp.org</a></li> <li><i class="list-icon fa fa-globe" alt="Globe icon" title="Globe icon" aria-hidden="true"></i><a href="https://states.aarp.org/region/pennsylvania/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AARP Pennsylvania</a></li> <li><i class="list-icon fa fa-map-marker" alt="Map Marker icon" title="Map Marker icon" aria-hidden="true"></i><a href="https://states.aarp.org/your-local-aarp-office/?intcmp=SNG-LNK-AARPLOCAL-CONTACT-20140101-JAMESCITY-PA" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Contact Us</a></li> </ul> </div> <a href="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA" target="_blank" rel="noopener" aria-label="Open Facebook"><img alt="Facebook icon" title="Facebook icon" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/responsive/icons/48/facebook-dreamstale25.png"></a> <a href="https://twitter.com/AARPPA" target="_blank" rel="noopener" aria-label="Open Twitter"><img alt="Twitter icon" title="Twitter icon" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/responsive/icons/48/x-logo-black.png"></a> </div> </div> </div></div> <div class="col-md-8 left-rail left-bot"></div> <div class="col-md-4 right-rail right-bot thin-rhs"></div> </div> <div class="row oneColumnLayout"> </div> <div class="row oneColumnLayout"> <div class="col-md-12"><!-- script to activate navbar --> <script type="text/javascript"> jQuery(".channelBarMain ul.left li a").click(function() { window.location = jQuery(this).attr('href'); }); </script> </div> </div> ', 'scripts_for_layout' => '<title>New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. Jon Tester in Senate Race</title> <meta name="page_title" content="New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. Jon Tester in Senate Race"/> <meta name="robots" content="noindex, nofollow"/> <meta content="For Immediate Release: Sept. 5, 2024Contact: Stacia Dahl | sdahl@aarp.org | 406-457-4704New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. Jon Tester in Senate" name="description"/> <meta content="New, AARP, Montana, Poll, Tim, Sheehy, Leads, Sen, Jon, Tester, in, Senate, Race" name="keywords"/> <link rel="canonical" href="https://states.aarp.org/montana/mtpoll" /> <meta property="og:url" content="https://vccstaging.local.aarp.org/news/new-aarp-montana-poll-tim-sheehy-leads-sen-jon-tester-in-senate-race-mt-2024-09-05.html"/> <meta name="twitter:card" content="summary_large_image"/> <meta name="twitter:title" content="New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. 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Jon Tester in Senate Race"/> <meta property="og:description" content="For Immediate Release: Sept. 5, 2024"/> <meta property="og:image" content="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/dims4/default/7f41879/2147483647/strip/true/crop/1019x655+61+0/resize/420x270!/quality/90/?url=http%3A%2F%2Faarp-brightspot.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fstates%2Fc6%2F3f%2Fbc2cc85240349193e041f5e25380%2Fmontana-issues.png"/> :root { --primaryColor: #ff1e3c; --primaryTextColor: #2a2a2a; --linkTextColor: #1f66bd; --linkHoverColor: #1f66bd; --secondaryTextColor: #000000; --secondaryColor2: #000000; --secondaryColor3: #000000; --secondaryColor4: #000000; --secondaryColor5: #000000; --black: #000000; --white: #ffffff; --grey: #f0efed; --gridGutters: 30px; --modulePadding: 60px; --pageWidth: 86.11%; --maxPageWidth: 1240px; --horizontalAlignment: center; --fontFamily: 'Roboto', sans-serif; --headerBackgroundColor:#000000; --headerTextColor:#FFFFFF; --headerHeight:50px; --footerbackgroundColor:#000000; --footerTextColor:#918883; }', 'title_for_layout' => '{local_city_c}, {local_state} Happenings - AARP' ) $content_for_layout = '<div class="row twoColumnLayout"> <div class="col-md-8 left-rail"><div class="module clearfix"><div class="ar-basic-box"> <div> <div class="module-spacer"> <header><h1 class="article-headline">New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. Jon Tester in Senate Race</h1></header> <div class="posted-on"> Posted on 09/05/24 </div> </div> <div class="module-spacer"> <span class="blog-content"><p><div class="RichTextArticleBody"> <div class="RichTextArticleBody-body"><p><b>For Immediate Release: Sept. 5, 2024</b><br><br><b>Contact:</b> Stacia Dahl | sdahl@aarp.org | 406-457-4704<br><br><span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><span class="Link"><b>New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. Jon Tester in Senate Race</b></span></span></span><br><br><b><i>Former President Donald Trump leads Vice President Harris by 15 points among voters overall and by 23 points among voters over 50</i></b><br><br><b>Helena, Mont., Sep. 05, 2024</b> — Today, AARP Montana released a 2024 statewide <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/MTpolling" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">election survey</a></span></span> revealing that candidates for president, U.S. Senate, and state races should pay close attention to Montanans ages 50 and older, who make up an outsized portion of the electorate. In the 2020 elections, older voters accounted for 56% of all Montana voters and in the 2022 mid-terms, they made up 65% of the state’s voters. Ninety-two percent of voters ages 50 and older say they are “extremely motivated” to cast a ballot in November, compared with 77% of voters ages 18-49 saying the same.<br><br>In the U.S. Senate race, Tim Sheehy (R) leads Senator Jon Tester (D) by 49% - 41% on the full ballot, with 5% of voters supporting a third-party candidate and 4% undecided; Sheehy’s lead widens among older voters, 55% to 39%. In the head-to-head ballot, Sheehy leads Tester among voters overall, 51% - 45% and even more among older voters, 57% - 40%. <br><br>“Voters over age 50 are the biggest and most enthusiastic voting bloc this election, and their votes will make a difference in the U.S. Senate race,” said Tim Summers, State Director, AARP Montana. “The candidate who wants to win in November should focus on the issues older voters care about most, from protecting Social Security and Medicare to supporting family caregivers.” <br><br>In the presidential contest, former President Donald Trump (R) holds a strong lead over Vice President Harris (D) among voters overall, 56% - 41%, and among voters 50 and older, 60% - 37%. <br><br>On the issues, 78% of voters ages 50 and older say that candidate positions on Social Security are very important to making their decision in November, followed by Medicare (71%), the cost of housing (62%), and policies that help seniors live independently at home (61%). And the vast majority (79%) of older Montanans prefer a member of Congress who wants Medicare to continue negotiating for lower prescription drug prices. <br><br>Other key takeaways from the poll <b>among voters 50 and older</b> include:<br></p><ul><li>Ninety-five percent of Montana voters 50+ support the state legislature providing lasting property tax relief that would make it easier for older Montanans to remain in their homes as they age.</li><li>Three quarters of Montana voters 50+ favor renewing the Medicaid expansion program before it ends next June. This includes support from 64% of Republicans 50+.</li><li>Seventy-four percent also support Montana funding a state tax credit to help with out of pocket expenses for unpaid family caregivers taking care of aging loved ones.</li><li>Immigration and border security (40%) is the most important issue when deciding who to vote for in November, followed by inflation and rising prices (24%), and the economy and jobs (23%).</li><li>A majority (56%) say Social Security is or will be a major source of their income.</li><li>Twenty-five percent of older voters identify as family caregivers, with 29% of older women and 28% of rural residents over 50 saying the same. Older caregivers make up 14% of Montana’s electorate and support Sheehy over Tester by 17 points.</li><li>Sixty-one percent of older voters are worried about their personal financial situation, which is reflected in the issues that these voters care about: 53% rank personal economic issues as the most important issues in the election.</li><li>Twenty-five percent of voters over 50 are not straight ticket voters; Senator Tester leads narrowly among both these older swing and independent voters.</li></ul><p>AARP commissioned the bipartisan polling team of Fabrizio Ward (R) and David Binder Research (D) to conduct a survey of voters in Montana. The firms interviewed 1,064 likely voters, which includes a statewide representative sample of 600 likely voters, an oversample of 464 likely voters ages 50 and older. The survey was done between August 25-29, 2024. The interviews were conducted via live interviewer on landline (25%) and cellphone (35%), as well as SMS-to-web (40%). The sample was randomly drawn from the Montana voter list. The margin of sampling error at the 95% confidence level for the 600 statewide sample is ±4.0%; for the 800 total sample of voters 50+ is ±3.5%. <br><br>View the full survey results at <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/MTpolling" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">aarp.org/MTpolling</a></span></span> and find all of our state battleground polls at <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="https://www.aarp.org/voterpolls24" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">aarp.org/voterpolls24</a></span></span>. Read AARP’s coverage of the poll <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/MTpollresults" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">here</a></span></span>. <br><br>For more information on how, when, and where to vote in Montana, visit <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/mtvotes" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">aarp.org/MTvotes</a></span></span>.<br></p><p class="cms-textAlign-center"></p><p><b><u>Also of interest:</u></b><br></p><ul><li><span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="https://www.aarp.org/politics-society/government-elections/info-2024/montana-election-poll.html?cmp=RDRCT-MTPOLLRESULTS-09052024" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">AARP Poll: GOP Challenger Leads in Pivotal Montana U.S. Senate Race: Spotlight is on contest that could decide which party controls the Senate</a></span></span><br><br><b><u>📢)) </u></b><span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/d7/7b/1130dc614eb3a30c4699bba5b59d/voicesofmontanaseg1-friday.mp3" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer"><b><u>Listen to the Voices of Montana Segment - Q &A with the Pollsters 9/6/2024</u></b></a></span></span></li></ul><div class="Enhancement" > <div class="Enhancement-item"><figure class="Figure" data-alignment="left"> <img src="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/e8/2d/15d240f34cf9a0ee714c16570400/icon-voices-of-montana-poll.png" alt="Icon Voices of Montana - Poll.png" width="960" height="960" style="height: auto; max-width: 200px;"/> </figure> </div> </div><div class="Enhancement" > <div class="Enhancement-item"><audio controls> <source src="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/d7/7b/1130dc614eb3a30c4699bba5b59d/voicesofmontanaseg1-friday.mp3" type="audio/mpeg"> Your browser does not support the audio element. </audio></div> </div><p></p></div> </div> </p></span> </div> </div> <p><i>This story is provided by AARP Montana. Visit the <a href="https://states.aarp.org/region/montana/" target="_blank">AARP Montana</a> page for more news, events, and programs affecting retirement, health care, and more.</i></p> </div> </div><div class="module clearfix"><script src="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/resource/00000168-dd17-d487-a96e-df5fe3ee0000/styleguide/All.min.c85a242a55150cd195e494cd6e5b9c77.gz.js" async=""></script> <link rel="stylesheet" media="all" href="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/resource/00000168-dd17-d487-a96e-df5fe3ee0000/styleguide/All.min.bfe6eb5a8301841feef3af4e9bd1e26d.gz.css"> <!-- bypass --> <style> a:focus, a:hover { text-decoration: underline; } h1.article-headline { margin: 0 0 1rem; } </style> <!-- <style> .Enhancement-item .Figure { margin-bottom: 24px; } .RichTextArticleBody-body ul { margin-bottom: 24px; } .RichTextArticleBody-body p{ margin: 12px 0; } .RichTextModule-items { clear: both; display: table; width: 100%; margin-bottom: 12px; } .VideoEnhancement>* { color: var(--primaryTextColor); font-size: 13px; font-weight: 400; line-height: 1.4; font-style: italic; background: #f0efed } @media only screen and (min-width: 768px) { .VideoEnhancement>* { font-size:14px; font-weight: 400; line-height: 1.47 } } .VideoEnhancement-title { padding: 20px } @media only screen and (min-width: 768px) { .VideoEnhancement-title { padding:30px } } .VideoEnhancement-player>* { position: relative; width: 100%; height: 0; padding-bottom: 56.25% } .VideoEnhancement iframe { border: 0; position: absolute; top: 0; left: 0; width: 100%; height: 100% } [data-video-player] { display: block; padding-bottom: 56.25%; height: 0; margin: 0 auto; } [data-video-player][data-aspect-ratio="4x3"] { padding-bottom: 56.25%; } [data-video-player][data-aspect-ratio="16x9"] { padding-bottom: 56.25% } </style> --></div><div class="module clearfix"><div class="module-spacer tout-homefit-750"> <a data-formelementid="CSN-LOCAL-HC-NEWSSK-02272024" href="/james-city-pa/home-and-community/?intcmp=CSN-LOCAL-HC-NEWSSK-02272024"><img class="img-responsive" alt="Explore the free AARP HomeFit Guide" title="Explore the free AARP HomeFit Guide" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/touts/HomeFit_750x150.png"></a> </div></div></div> <div class="col-md-4 right-rail thin-rhs"><div class="module clearfix"><!--default--> <!-- module_RHS - AARP Events --> <pre class="cake-error"><a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74a511-trace').style.display = (document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74a511-trace').style.display == 'none' ? '' : 'none');"><b>Warning</b> (2)</a>: include(/var/www/vhosts/vcc_staging/app//Resource/experience.master.resource.root.html): failed to open stream: No such file or directory [<b>APP/Lib/Modules.php(13) : eval()'d code</b>, line <b>1</b>]<div id="cakeErr66e7cfd74a511-trace" class="cake-stack-trace" style="display: none;"><a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74a511-code').style.display = (document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74a511-code').style.display == 'none' ? '' : 'none')">Code</a> <a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74a511-context').style.display = (document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74a511-context').style.display == 'none' ? '' : 'none')">Context</a><pre id="cakeErr66e7cfd74a511-context" class="cake-context" style="display: none;">$module = array( '_id' => '66158db0e9dff2b1fd9cafcd', 'module_id' => '1098', 'name' => 'RHS - Events Experience', 'type' => 'php', 'data' => '<?php include(APP . "/Resource/experience.master.resource.root.html"); ?> <style type="text/css"> .recommenationSection {font-family: Lato, sans-serif} .recommendationSection h3 {font-size:30px!important; text-transform:none; letter-spacing:0.03em} .recommendationSection .js-mvc-offer-recommended-article-pack-category {color:#dd1200; font-family:Lato, sans-serif; font-size:15px; font-weight:700; text-transform:uppercase; margin:0} .recommendationSection h4 a {color:#121212; font-size:20px; font-weight:700} .recommendationSection .uxdia-c-featured-tile__content-wrapper {padding: 0 0 .5em 0; margin-bottom: 1.25em; border-bottom: 1px solid #000} </style>', 'css' => '.recommendationSection h3 {font-size:30px} .recommenadationSection .js-mvc-offer-recommended-article-pack-category {color:rgb(221,18,0); font-size:12px} .recommendationSection h4 a {color:#121212; font-size:20px} ', 'script' => '', 'cache_time' => '', 'localize' => '0' ) $obj = false</pre><pre class="stack-trace">include - APP/Lib/Modules.php(13) : eval()'d code, line 1 eval - APP/Lib/Modules.php(13) : eval()'d code, line 1 Modules::render() - APP/Lib/Modules.php, line 13 Modules::load() - APP/Lib/Modules.php, line 29 Localize::getModule() - APP/Lib/Localize.php, line 294 Localize::replace() - APP/Lib/Localize.php, line 219 Modules::render() - APP/Lib/Modules.php, line 9 include - APP/View/Elements/display.ctp, line 13 View::_evaluate() - CORE/Cake/View/View.php, line 971 View::_render() - CORE/Cake/View/View.php, line 933 View::render() - CORE/Cake/View/View.php, line 473 Controller::render() - CORE/Cake/Controller/Controller.php, line 963 AppController::renderPage() - APP/Controller/AppController.php, line 136 BlogsController::display() - APP/Controller/BlogsController.php, line 81 ReflectionMethod::invokeArgs() - [internal], line ?? Controller::invokeAction() - CORE/Cake/Controller/Controller.php, line 491 Dispatcher::_invoke() - CORE/Cake/Routing/Dispatcher.php, line 193 Dispatcher::dispatch() - CORE/Cake/Routing/Dispatcher.php, line 167</pre></div></pre><pre class="cake-error"><a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74bcdc-trace').style.display = (document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74bcdc-trace').style.display == 'none' ? '' : 'none');"><b>Warning</b> (2)</a>: include() [<a href='http://php.net/function.include'>function.include</a>]: Failed opening '/var/www/vhosts/vcc_staging/app//Resource/experience.master.resource.root.html' for inclusion (include_path='/var/www/vhosts/vcc_staging/lib:.:/usr/share/pear:/usr/share/php') [<b>APP/Lib/Modules.php(13) : eval()'d code</b>, line <b>1</b>]<div id="cakeErr66e7cfd74bcdc-trace" class="cake-stack-trace" style="display: none;"><a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74bcdc-code').style.display = (document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74bcdc-code').style.display == 'none' ? '' : 'none')">Code</a> <a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74bcdc-context').style.display = (document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74bcdc-context').style.display == 'none' ? 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Controller::invokeAction() - CORE/Cake/Controller/Controller.php, line 491 Dispatcher::_invoke() - CORE/Cake/Routing/Dispatcher.php, line 193 Dispatcher::dispatch() - CORE/Cake/Routing/Dispatcher.php, line 167</pre></div></pre><style type="text/css"> .recommenationSection {font-family: Lato, sans-serif} .recommendationSection h3 {font-size:30px!important; text-transform:none; letter-spacing:0.03em} .recommendationSection .js-mvc-offer-recommended-article-pack-category {color:#dd1200; font-family:Lato, sans-serif; font-size:15px; font-weight:700; text-transform:uppercase; margin:0} .recommendationSection h4 a {color:#121212; font-size:20px; font-weight:700} .recommendationSection .uxdia-c-featured-tile__content-wrapper {padding: 0 0 .5em 0; margin-bottom: 1.25em; border-bottom: 1px solid #000} </style> <div aria-hidden="true" class="aarpe-ad-wrapper"> <div class="aarpe-ad en clearfix" id="300x250_53475" data-adsize="300x250"> <script type="text/javascript"> if(typeof AARP.ads !== 'undefined'){ AARP.ads.slots({ id:'300x250_53475', size:'300x250'}); } </script> </div> </div> <div class="card-tout card-dark membership-tout" style="margin:0 0 30px 0;"> <img class="img-responsive image" title="image of two AARP membership cards" alt="image of two AARP membership cards" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/tout-two-cards.png"> <div class="title">Only $12 your first year with Automatic Renewal</div> <ul class="list"> <li>Immediate access to your <a href="https://www.aarp.org/benefits-discounts/">member benefits</a></li> <li>Discounts on travel and everyday savings</li> <li>Subscription to AARP The Magazine</li> <li>FREE second membership</li> </ul> <div class="action"> <a class="btn" href="https://appsec.aarp.org/mem/join?campaignid=UAJFT3&intcmp=LNK-CSN-AARPLOCAL-JRTOUT-RR-A-JAMESCITY-PA">Join AARP</a> <div class="body">Already a member? <a href="https://appsec.aarp.org/mem/renew?campaignid= UARFT3&intcmp=LNK-CSN-AARPLOCAL-JRTOUT-RR-A-JAMESCITY-PA">Renew</a> or <a href="https://www.aarp.org/benefits-discounts/my-membership/print-your-card/">Print Card</a></div> </div> </div> <style> .membership-tout {padding:16px 20px;} .membership-tout .list li { margin: 0; } </style> <div aria-hidden="true" class="aarpe-ad-wrapper"> <div class="aarpe-ad en clearfix" id="300x250_93505" data-adsize="300x250"> <script type="text/javascript"> if(typeof AARP.ads !== 'undefined'){ AARP.ads.slots({ id:'300x250_93505', size:'300x250'}); } </script> </div> </div> <div class="module-spacer text-center"> <div class="fb-page" alt="Image of AARP Pennsylvania Facebook Page" title="Image of AARP Pennsylvania Facebook Page" data-href="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA" data-tabs="timeline" width="320" height="" data-small-header="false" data-adapt-container-width="true" data-hide-cover="false" data-show-facepile="true" lazy="true"> <blockquote cite="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA" class="fb-xfbml-parse-ignore"><a href="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA">Facebook</a></blockquote> </div> </div> <div class="ar-basic-box module-spacer"> <header> <h2>Contact AARP<br />Pennsylvania</h2> </header> <div class="wrap"> <div class="ar-quick-list module-spacer"> <ul class="list-unstyled"> <li><i class="list-icon fa fa-envelope" alt="Email icon" title="Email icon" aria-hidden="true"></i><a href="mailto:PAAARP@aarp.org" target="_blank" rel="noopener">PAAARP@aarp.org</a></li> <li><i class="list-icon fa fa-globe" alt="Globe icon" title="Globe icon" aria-hidden="true"></i><a href="https://states.aarp.org/region/pennsylvania/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AARP Pennsylvania</a></li> <li><i class="list-icon fa fa-map-marker" alt="Map Marker icon" title="Map Marker icon" aria-hidden="true"></i><a href="https://states.aarp.org/your-local-aarp-office/?intcmp=SNG-LNK-AARPLOCAL-CONTACT-20140101-JAMESCITY-PA" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Contact Us</a></li> </ul> </div> <a href="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA" target="_blank" rel="noopener" aria-label="Open Facebook"><img alt="Facebook icon" title="Facebook icon" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/responsive/icons/48/facebook-dreamstale25.png"></a> <a href="https://twitter.com/AARPPA" target="_blank" rel="noopener" aria-label="Open Twitter"><img alt="Twitter icon" title="Twitter icon" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/responsive/icons/48/x-logo-black.png"></a> </div> </div> </div></div> <div class="col-md-8 left-rail left-bot"></div> <div class="col-md-4 right-rail right-bot thin-rhs"></div> </div> <div class="row oneColumnLayout"> </div> <div class="row oneColumnLayout"> <div class="col-md-12"><!-- script to activate navbar --> <script type="text/javascript"> jQuery(".channelBarMain ul.left li a").click(function() { window.location = jQuery(this).attr('href'); }); </script> </div> </div> ' $scripts_for_layout = '<title>New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. 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$viewFile = '/var/www/vhosts/vcc_staging/app/View/Layouts/aarp_2023.ctp' $dataForView = array( 'content_for_layout' => '<div class="row twoColumnLayout"> <div class="col-md-8 left-rail"><div class="module clearfix"><div class="ar-basic-box"> <div> <div class="module-spacer"> <header><h1 class="article-headline">New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. Jon Tester in Senate Race</h1></header> <div class="posted-on"> Posted on 09/05/24 </div> </div> <div class="module-spacer"> <span class="blog-content"><p><div class="RichTextArticleBody"> <div class="RichTextArticleBody-body"><p><b>For Immediate Release: Sept. 5, 2024</b><br><br><b>Contact:</b> Stacia Dahl | sdahl@aarp.org | 406-457-4704<br><br><span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><span class="Link"><b>New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. Jon Tester in Senate Race</b></span></span></span><br><br><b><i>Former President Donald Trump leads Vice President Harris by 15 points among voters overall and by 23 points among voters over 50</i></b><br><br><b>Helena, Mont., Sep. 05, 2024</b> — Today, AARP Montana released a 2024 statewide <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/MTpolling" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">election survey</a></span></span> revealing that candidates for president, U.S. Senate, and state races should pay close attention to Montanans ages 50 and older, who make up an outsized portion of the electorate. In the 2020 elections, older voters accounted for 56% of all Montana voters and in the 2022 mid-terms, they made up 65% of the state’s voters. Ninety-two percent of voters ages 50 and older say they are “extremely motivated” to cast a ballot in November, compared with 77% of voters ages 18-49 saying the same.<br><br>In the U.S. Senate race, Tim Sheehy (R) leads Senator Jon Tester (D) by 49% - 41% on the full ballot, with 5% of voters supporting a third-party candidate and 4% undecided; Sheehy’s lead widens among older voters, 55% to 39%. In the head-to-head ballot, Sheehy leads Tester among voters overall, 51% - 45% and even more among older voters, 57% - 40%. <br><br>“Voters over age 50 are the biggest and most enthusiastic voting bloc this election, and their votes will make a difference in the U.S. Senate race,” said Tim Summers, State Director, AARP Montana. “The candidate who wants to win in November should focus on the issues older voters care about most, from protecting Social Security and Medicare to supporting family caregivers.” <br><br>In the presidential contest, former President Donald Trump (R) holds a strong lead over Vice President Harris (D) among voters overall, 56% - 41%, and among voters 50 and older, 60% - 37%. <br><br>On the issues, 78% of voters ages 50 and older say that candidate positions on Social Security are very important to making their decision in November, followed by Medicare (71%), the cost of housing (62%), and policies that help seniors live independently at home (61%). And the vast majority (79%) of older Montanans prefer a member of Congress who wants Medicare to continue negotiating for lower prescription drug prices. <br><br>Other key takeaways from the poll <b>among voters 50 and older</b> include:<br></p><ul><li>Ninety-five percent of Montana voters 50+ support the state legislature providing lasting property tax relief that would make it easier for older Montanans to remain in their homes as they age.</li><li>Three quarters of Montana voters 50+ favor renewing the Medicaid expansion program before it ends next June. This includes support from 64% of Republicans 50+.</li><li>Seventy-four percent also support Montana funding a state tax credit to help with out of pocket expenses for unpaid family caregivers taking care of aging loved ones.</li><li>Immigration and border security (40%) is the most important issue when deciding who to vote for in November, followed by inflation and rising prices (24%), and the economy and jobs (23%).</li><li>A majority (56%) say Social Security is or will be a major source of their income.</li><li>Twenty-five percent of older voters identify as family caregivers, with 29% of older women and 28% of rural residents over 50 saying the same. Older caregivers make up 14% of Montana’s electorate and support Sheehy over Tester by 17 points.</li><li>Sixty-one percent of older voters are worried about their personal financial situation, which is reflected in the issues that these voters care about: 53% rank personal economic issues as the most important issues in the election.</li><li>Twenty-five percent of voters over 50 are not straight ticket voters; Senator Tester leads narrowly among both these older swing and independent voters.</li></ul><p>AARP commissioned the bipartisan polling team of Fabrizio Ward (R) and David Binder Research (D) to conduct a survey of voters in Montana. The firms interviewed 1,064 likely voters, which includes a statewide representative sample of 600 likely voters, an oversample of 464 likely voters ages 50 and older. The survey was done between August 25-29, 2024. The interviews were conducted via live interviewer on landline (25%) and cellphone (35%), as well as SMS-to-web (40%). The sample was randomly drawn from the Montana voter list. The margin of sampling error at the 95% confidence level for the 600 statewide sample is ±4.0%; for the 800 total sample of voters 50+ is ±3.5%. <br><br>View the full survey results at <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/MTpolling" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">aarp.org/MTpolling</a></span></span> and find all of our state battleground polls at <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="https://www.aarp.org/voterpolls24" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">aarp.org/voterpolls24</a></span></span>. Read AARP’s coverage of the poll <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/MTpollresults" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">here</a></span></span>. <br><br>For more information on how, when, and where to vote in Montana, visit <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/mtvotes" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">aarp.org/MTvotes</a></span></span>.<br></p><p class="cms-textAlign-center"></p><p><b><u>Also of interest:</u></b><br></p><ul><li><span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="https://www.aarp.org/politics-society/government-elections/info-2024/montana-election-poll.html?cmp=RDRCT-MTPOLLRESULTS-09052024" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">AARP Poll: GOP Challenger Leads in Pivotal Montana U.S. Senate Race: Spotlight is on contest that could decide which party controls the Senate</a></span></span><br><br><b><u>📢)) </u></b><span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/d7/7b/1130dc614eb3a30c4699bba5b59d/voicesofmontanaseg1-friday.mp3" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer"><b><u>Listen to the Voices of Montana Segment - Q &A with the Pollsters 9/6/2024</u></b></a></span></span></li></ul><div class="Enhancement" > <div class="Enhancement-item"><figure class="Figure" data-alignment="left"> <img src="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/e8/2d/15d240f34cf9a0ee714c16570400/icon-voices-of-montana-poll.png" alt="Icon Voices of Montana - Poll.png" width="960" height="960" style="height: auto; max-width: 200px;"/> </figure> </div> </div><div class="Enhancement" > <div class="Enhancement-item"><audio controls> <source src="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/d7/7b/1130dc614eb3a30c4699bba5b59d/voicesofmontanaseg1-friday.mp3" type="audio/mpeg"> Your browser does not support the audio element. </audio></div> </div><p></p></div> </div> </p></span> </div> </div> <p><i>This story is provided by AARP Montana. Visit the <a href="https://states.aarp.org/region/montana/" target="_blank">AARP Montana</a> page for more news, events, and programs affecting retirement, health care, and more.</i></p> </div> </div><div class="module clearfix"><script src="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/resource/00000168-dd17-d487-a96e-df5fe3ee0000/styleguide/All.min.c85a242a55150cd195e494cd6e5b9c77.gz.js" async=""></script> <link rel="stylesheet" media="all" href="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/resource/00000168-dd17-d487-a96e-df5fe3ee0000/styleguide/All.min.bfe6eb5a8301841feef3af4e9bd1e26d.gz.css"> <!-- bypass --> <style> a:focus, a:hover { text-decoration: underline; } h1.article-headline { margin: 0 0 1rem; } </style> <!-- <style> .Enhancement-item .Figure { margin-bottom: 24px; } .RichTextArticleBody-body ul { margin-bottom: 24px; } .RichTextArticleBody-body p{ margin: 12px 0; } .RichTextModule-items { clear: both; display: table; width: 100%; margin-bottom: 12px; } .VideoEnhancement>* { color: var(--primaryTextColor); font-size: 13px; font-weight: 400; line-height: 1.4; font-style: italic; background: #f0efed } @media only screen and (min-width: 768px) { .VideoEnhancement>* { font-size:14px; font-weight: 400; line-height: 1.47 } } .VideoEnhancement-title { padding: 20px } @media only screen and (min-width: 768px) { .VideoEnhancement-title { padding:30px } } .VideoEnhancement-player>* { position: relative; width: 100%; height: 0; padding-bottom: 56.25% } .VideoEnhancement iframe { border: 0; position: absolute; top: 0; left: 0; width: 100%; height: 100% } [data-video-player] { display: block; padding-bottom: 56.25%; height: 0; margin: 0 auto; } [data-video-player][data-aspect-ratio="4x3"] { padding-bottom: 56.25%; } [data-video-player][data-aspect-ratio="16x9"] { padding-bottom: 56.25% } </style> --></div><div class="module clearfix"><div class="module-spacer tout-homefit-750"> <a data-formelementid="CSN-LOCAL-HC-NEWSSK-02272024" href="/james-city-pa/home-and-community/?intcmp=CSN-LOCAL-HC-NEWSSK-02272024"><img class="img-responsive" alt="Explore the free AARP HomeFit Guide" title="Explore the free AARP HomeFit Guide" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/touts/HomeFit_750x150.png"></a> </div></div></div> <div class="col-md-4 right-rail thin-rhs"><div class="module clearfix"><!--default--> <!-- module_RHS - AARP Events --> <pre class="cake-error"><a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74a511-trace').style.display = (document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74a511-trace').style.display == 'none' ? 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Controller::invokeAction() - CORE/Cake/Controller/Controller.php, line 491 Dispatcher::_invoke() - CORE/Cake/Routing/Dispatcher.php, line 193 Dispatcher::dispatch() - CORE/Cake/Routing/Dispatcher.php, line 167</pre></div></pre><style type="text/css"> .recommenationSection {font-family: Lato, sans-serif} .recommendationSection h3 {font-size:30px!important; text-transform:none; letter-spacing:0.03em} .recommendationSection .js-mvc-offer-recommended-article-pack-category {color:#dd1200; font-family:Lato, sans-serif; font-size:15px; font-weight:700; text-transform:uppercase; margin:0} .recommendationSection h4 a {color:#121212; font-size:20px; font-weight:700} .recommendationSection .uxdia-c-featured-tile__content-wrapper {padding: 0 0 .5em 0; margin-bottom: 1.25em; border-bottom: 1px solid #000} </style> <div aria-hidden="true" class="aarpe-ad-wrapper"> <div class="aarpe-ad en clearfix" id="300x250_53475" data-adsize="300x250"> <script type="text/javascript"> if(typeof AARP.ads !== 'undefined'){ AARP.ads.slots({ id:'300x250_53475', size:'300x250'}); } </script> </div> </div> <div class="card-tout card-dark membership-tout" style="margin:0 0 30px 0;"> <img class="img-responsive image" title="image of two AARP membership cards" alt="image of two AARP membership cards" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/tout-two-cards.png"> <div class="title">Only $12 your first year with Automatic Renewal</div> <ul class="list"> <li>Immediate access to your <a href="https://www.aarp.org/benefits-discounts/">member benefits</a></li> <li>Discounts on travel and everyday savings</li> <li>Subscription to AARP The Magazine</li> <li>FREE second membership</li> </ul> <div class="action"> <a class="btn" href="https://appsec.aarp.org/mem/join?campaignid=UAJFT3&intcmp=LNK-CSN-AARPLOCAL-JRTOUT-RR-A-JAMESCITY-PA">Join AARP</a> <div class="body">Already a member? <a href="https://appsec.aarp.org/mem/renew?campaignid= UARFT3&intcmp=LNK-CSN-AARPLOCAL-JRTOUT-RR-A-JAMESCITY-PA">Renew</a> or <a href="https://www.aarp.org/benefits-discounts/my-membership/print-your-card/">Print Card</a></div> </div> </div> <style> .membership-tout {padding:16px 20px;} .membership-tout .list li { margin: 0; } </style> <div aria-hidden="true" class="aarpe-ad-wrapper"> <div class="aarpe-ad en clearfix" id="300x250_93505" data-adsize="300x250"> <script type="text/javascript"> if(typeof AARP.ads !== 'undefined'){ AARP.ads.slots({ id:'300x250_93505', size:'300x250'}); } </script> </div> </div> <div class="module-spacer text-center"> <div class="fb-page" alt="Image of AARP Pennsylvania Facebook Page" title="Image of AARP Pennsylvania Facebook Page" data-href="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA" data-tabs="timeline" width="320" height="" data-small-header="false" data-adapt-container-width="true" data-hide-cover="false" data-show-facepile="true" lazy="true"> <blockquote cite="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA" class="fb-xfbml-parse-ignore"><a href="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA">Facebook</a></blockquote> </div> </div> <div class="ar-basic-box module-spacer"> <header> <h2>Contact AARP<br />Pennsylvania</h2> </header> <div class="wrap"> <div class="ar-quick-list module-spacer"> <ul class="list-unstyled"> <li><i class="list-icon fa fa-envelope" alt="Email icon" title="Email icon" aria-hidden="true"></i><a href="mailto:PAAARP@aarp.org" target="_blank" rel="noopener">PAAARP@aarp.org</a></li> <li><i class="list-icon fa fa-globe" alt="Globe icon" title="Globe icon" aria-hidden="true"></i><a href="https://states.aarp.org/region/pennsylvania/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AARP Pennsylvania</a></li> <li><i class="list-icon fa fa-map-marker" alt="Map Marker icon" title="Map Marker icon" aria-hidden="true"></i><a href="https://states.aarp.org/your-local-aarp-office/?intcmp=SNG-LNK-AARPLOCAL-CONTACT-20140101-JAMESCITY-PA" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Contact Us</a></li> </ul> </div> <a href="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA" target="_blank" rel="noopener" aria-label="Open Facebook"><img alt="Facebook icon" title="Facebook icon" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/responsive/icons/48/facebook-dreamstale25.png"></a> <a href="https://twitter.com/AARPPA" target="_blank" rel="noopener" aria-label="Open Twitter"><img alt="Twitter icon" title="Twitter icon" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/responsive/icons/48/x-logo-black.png"></a> </div> </div> </div></div> <div class="col-md-8 left-rail left-bot"></div> <div class="col-md-4 right-rail right-bot thin-rhs"></div> </div> <div class="row oneColumnLayout"> </div> <div class="row oneColumnLayout"> <div class="col-md-12"><!-- script to activate navbar --> <script type="text/javascript"> jQuery(".channelBarMain ul.left li a").click(function() { window.location = jQuery(this).attr('href'); }); </script> </div> </div> ', 'scripts_for_layout' => '<title>New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. Jon Tester in Senate Race</title> <meta name="page_title" content="New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. Jon Tester in Senate Race"/> <meta name="robots" content="noindex, nofollow"/> <meta content="For Immediate Release: Sept. 5, 2024Contact: Stacia Dahl | sdahl@aarp.org | 406-457-4704New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. Jon Tester in Senate" name="description"/> <meta content="New, AARP, Montana, Poll, Tim, Sheehy, Leads, Sen, Jon, Tester, in, Senate, Race" name="keywords"/> <link rel="canonical" href="https://states.aarp.org/montana/mtpoll" /> <meta property="og:url" content="https://vccstaging.local.aarp.org/news/new-aarp-montana-poll-tim-sheehy-leads-sen-jon-tester-in-senate-race-mt-2024-09-05.html"/> <meta name="twitter:card" content="summary_large_image"/> <meta name="twitter:title" content="New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. 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Jon Tester in Senate Race</h1></header> <div class="posted-on"> Posted on 09/05/24 </div> </div> <div class="module-spacer"> <span class="blog-content"><p><div class="RichTextArticleBody"> <div class="RichTextArticleBody-body"><p><b>For Immediate Release: Sept. 5, 2024</b><br><br><b>Contact:</b> Stacia Dahl | sdahl@aarp.org | 406-457-4704<br><br><span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><span class="Link"><b>New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. Jon Tester in Senate Race</b></span></span></span><br><br><b><i>Former President Donald Trump leads Vice President Harris by 15 points among voters overall and by 23 points among voters over 50</i></b><br><br><b>Helena, Mont., Sep. 05, 2024</b> — Today, AARP Montana released a 2024 statewide <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/MTpolling" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">election survey</a></span></span> revealing that candidates for president, U.S. Senate, and state races should pay close attention to Montanans ages 50 and older, who make up an outsized portion of the electorate. In the 2020 elections, older voters accounted for 56% of all Montana voters and in the 2022 mid-terms, they made up 65% of the state’s voters. Ninety-two percent of voters ages 50 and older say they are “extremely motivated” to cast a ballot in November, compared with 77% of voters ages 18-49 saying the same.<br><br>In the U.S. Senate race, Tim Sheehy (R) leads Senator Jon Tester (D) by 49% - 41% on the full ballot, with 5% of voters supporting a third-party candidate and 4% undecided; Sheehy’s lead widens among older voters, 55% to 39%. In the head-to-head ballot, Sheehy leads Tester among voters overall, 51% - 45% and even more among older voters, 57% - 40%. <br><br>“Voters over age 50 are the biggest and most enthusiastic voting bloc this election, and their votes will make a difference in the U.S. Senate race,” said Tim Summers, State Director, AARP Montana. “The candidate who wants to win in November should focus on the issues older voters care about most, from protecting Social Security and Medicare to supporting family caregivers.” <br><br>In the presidential contest, former President Donald Trump (R) holds a strong lead over Vice President Harris (D) among voters overall, 56% - 41%, and among voters 50 and older, 60% - 37%. <br><br>On the issues, 78% of voters ages 50 and older say that candidate positions on Social Security are very important to making their decision in November, followed by Medicare (71%), the cost of housing (62%), and policies that help seniors live independently at home (61%). And the vast majority (79%) of older Montanans prefer a member of Congress who wants Medicare to continue negotiating for lower prescription drug prices. <br><br>Other key takeaways from the poll <b>among voters 50 and older</b> include:<br></p><ul><li>Ninety-five percent of Montana voters 50+ support the state legislature providing lasting property tax relief that would make it easier for older Montanans to remain in their homes as they age.</li><li>Three quarters of Montana voters 50+ favor renewing the Medicaid expansion program before it ends next June. This includes support from 64% of Republicans 50+.</li><li>Seventy-four percent also support Montana funding a state tax credit to help with out of pocket expenses for unpaid family caregivers taking care of aging loved ones.</li><li>Immigration and border security (40%) is the most important issue when deciding who to vote for in November, followed by inflation and rising prices (24%), and the economy and jobs (23%).</li><li>A majority (56%) say Social Security is or will be a major source of their income.</li><li>Twenty-five percent of older voters identify as family caregivers, with 29% of older women and 28% of rural residents over 50 saying the same. Older caregivers make up 14% of Montana’s electorate and support Sheehy over Tester by 17 points.</li><li>Sixty-one percent of older voters are worried about their personal financial situation, which is reflected in the issues that these voters care about: 53% rank personal economic issues as the most important issues in the election.</li><li>Twenty-five percent of voters over 50 are not straight ticket voters; Senator Tester leads narrowly among both these older swing and independent voters.</li></ul><p>AARP commissioned the bipartisan polling team of Fabrizio Ward (R) and David Binder Research (D) to conduct a survey of voters in Montana. The firms interviewed 1,064 likely voters, which includes a statewide representative sample of 600 likely voters, an oversample of 464 likely voters ages 50 and older. The survey was done between August 25-29, 2024. The interviews were conducted via live interviewer on landline (25%) and cellphone (35%), as well as SMS-to-web (40%). The sample was randomly drawn from the Montana voter list. The margin of sampling error at the 95% confidence level for the 600 statewide sample is ±4.0%; for the 800 total sample of voters 50+ is ±3.5%. <br><br>View the full survey results at <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/MTpolling" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">aarp.org/MTpolling</a></span></span> and find all of our state battleground polls at <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="https://www.aarp.org/voterpolls24" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">aarp.org/voterpolls24</a></span></span>. Read AARP’s coverage of the poll <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/MTpollresults" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">here</a></span></span>. <br><br>For more information on how, when, and where to vote in Montana, visit <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/mtvotes" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">aarp.org/MTvotes</a></span></span>.<br></p><p class="cms-textAlign-center"></p><p><b><u>Also of interest:</u></b><br></p><ul><li><span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="https://www.aarp.org/politics-society/government-elections/info-2024/montana-election-poll.html?cmp=RDRCT-MTPOLLRESULTS-09052024" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">AARP Poll: GOP Challenger Leads in Pivotal Montana U.S. Senate Race: Spotlight is on contest that could decide which party controls the Senate</a></span></span><br><br><b><u>📢)) </u></b><span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/d7/7b/1130dc614eb3a30c4699bba5b59d/voicesofmontanaseg1-friday.mp3" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer"><b><u>Listen to the Voices of Montana Segment - Q &A with the Pollsters 9/6/2024</u></b></a></span></span></li></ul><div class="Enhancement" > <div class="Enhancement-item"><figure class="Figure" data-alignment="left"> <img src="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/e8/2d/15d240f34cf9a0ee714c16570400/icon-voices-of-montana-poll.png" alt="Icon Voices of Montana - Poll.png" width="960" height="960" style="height: auto; max-width: 200px;"/> </figure> </div> </div><div class="Enhancement" > <div class="Enhancement-item"><audio controls> <source src="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/d7/7b/1130dc614eb3a30c4699bba5b59d/voicesofmontanaseg1-friday.mp3" type="audio/mpeg"> Your browser does not support the audio element. </audio></div> </div><p></p></div> </div> </p></span> </div> </div> <p><i>This story is provided by AARP Montana. Visit the <a href="https://states.aarp.org/region/montana/" target="_blank">AARP Montana</a> page for more news, events, and programs affecting retirement, health care, and more.</i></p> </div> </div><div class="module clearfix"><script src="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/resource/00000168-dd17-d487-a96e-df5fe3ee0000/styleguide/All.min.c85a242a55150cd195e494cd6e5b9c77.gz.js" async=""></script> <link rel="stylesheet" media="all" href="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/resource/00000168-dd17-d487-a96e-df5fe3ee0000/styleguide/All.min.bfe6eb5a8301841feef3af4e9bd1e26d.gz.css"> <!-- bypass --> <style> a:focus, a:hover { text-decoration: underline; } h1.article-headline { margin: 0 0 1rem; } </style> <!-- <style> .Enhancement-item .Figure { margin-bottom: 24px; } .RichTextArticleBody-body ul { margin-bottom: 24px; } .RichTextArticleBody-body p{ margin: 12px 0; } .RichTextModule-items { clear: both; display: table; width: 100%; margin-bottom: 12px; } .VideoEnhancement>* { color: var(--primaryTextColor); font-size: 13px; font-weight: 400; line-height: 1.4; font-style: italic; background: #f0efed } @media only screen and (min-width: 768px) { .VideoEnhancement>* { font-size:14px; font-weight: 400; line-height: 1.47 } } .VideoEnhancement-title { padding: 20px } @media only screen and (min-width: 768px) { .VideoEnhancement-title { padding:30px } } .VideoEnhancement-player>* { position: relative; width: 100%; height: 0; padding-bottom: 56.25% } .VideoEnhancement iframe { border: 0; position: absolute; top: 0; left: 0; width: 100%; height: 100% } [data-video-player] { display: block; padding-bottom: 56.25%; height: 0; margin: 0 auto; } [data-video-player][data-aspect-ratio="4x3"] { padding-bottom: 56.25%; } [data-video-player][data-aspect-ratio="16x9"] { padding-bottom: 56.25% } </style> --></div><div class="module clearfix"><div class="module-spacer tout-homefit-750"> <a data-formelementid="CSN-LOCAL-HC-NEWSSK-02272024" href="/james-city-pa/home-and-community/?intcmp=CSN-LOCAL-HC-NEWSSK-02272024"><img class="img-responsive" alt="Explore the free AARP HomeFit Guide" title="Explore the free AARP HomeFit Guide" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/touts/HomeFit_750x150.png"></a> </div></div></div> <div class="col-md-4 right-rail thin-rhs"><div class="module clearfix"><!--default--> <!-- module_RHS - AARP Events --> <pre class="cake-error"><a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74a511-trace').style.display = (document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74a511-trace').style.display == 'none' ? 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Controller::invokeAction() - CORE/Cake/Controller/Controller.php, line 491 Dispatcher::_invoke() - CORE/Cake/Routing/Dispatcher.php, line 193 Dispatcher::dispatch() - CORE/Cake/Routing/Dispatcher.php, line 167</pre></div></pre><style type="text/css"> .recommenationSection {font-family: Lato, sans-serif} .recommendationSection h3 {font-size:30px!important; text-transform:none; letter-spacing:0.03em} .recommendationSection .js-mvc-offer-recommended-article-pack-category {color:#dd1200; font-family:Lato, sans-serif; font-size:15px; font-weight:700; text-transform:uppercase; margin:0} .recommendationSection h4 a {color:#121212; font-size:20px; font-weight:700} .recommendationSection .uxdia-c-featured-tile__content-wrapper {padding: 0 0 .5em 0; margin-bottom: 1.25em; border-bottom: 1px solid #000} </style> <div aria-hidden="true" class="aarpe-ad-wrapper"> <div class="aarpe-ad en clearfix" id="300x250_53475" data-adsize="300x250"> <script type="text/javascript"> if(typeof AARP.ads !== 'undefined'){ AARP.ads.slots({ id:'300x250_53475', size:'300x250'}); } </script> </div> </div> <div class="card-tout card-dark membership-tout" style="margin:0 0 30px 0;"> <img class="img-responsive image" title="image of two AARP membership cards" alt="image of two AARP membership cards" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/tout-two-cards.png"> <div class="title">Only $12 your first year with Automatic Renewal</div> <ul class="list"> <li>Immediate access to your <a href="https://www.aarp.org/benefits-discounts/">member benefits</a></li> <li>Discounts on travel and everyday savings</li> <li>Subscription to AARP The Magazine</li> <li>FREE second membership</li> </ul> <div class="action"> <a class="btn" href="https://appsec.aarp.org/mem/join?campaignid=UAJFT3&intcmp=LNK-CSN-AARPLOCAL-JRTOUT-RR-A-JAMESCITY-PA">Join AARP</a> <div class="body">Already a member? <a href="https://appsec.aarp.org/mem/renew?campaignid= UARFT3&intcmp=LNK-CSN-AARPLOCAL-JRTOUT-RR-A-JAMESCITY-PA">Renew</a> or <a href="https://www.aarp.org/benefits-discounts/my-membership/print-your-card/">Print Card</a></div> </div> </div> <style> .membership-tout {padding:16px 20px;} .membership-tout .list li { margin: 0; } </style> <div aria-hidden="true" class="aarpe-ad-wrapper"> <div class="aarpe-ad en clearfix" id="300x250_93505" data-adsize="300x250"> <script type="text/javascript"> if(typeof AARP.ads !== 'undefined'){ AARP.ads.slots({ id:'300x250_93505', size:'300x250'}); } </script> </div> </div> <div class="module-spacer text-center"> <div class="fb-page" alt="Image of AARP Pennsylvania Facebook Page" title="Image of AARP Pennsylvania Facebook Page" data-href="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA" data-tabs="timeline" width="320" height="" data-small-header="false" data-adapt-container-width="true" data-hide-cover="false" data-show-facepile="true" lazy="true"> <blockquote cite="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA" class="fb-xfbml-parse-ignore"><a href="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA">Facebook</a></blockquote> </div> </div> <div class="ar-basic-box module-spacer"> <header> <h2>Contact AARP<br />Pennsylvania</h2> </header> <div class="wrap"> <div class="ar-quick-list module-spacer"> <ul class="list-unstyled"> <li><i class="list-icon fa fa-envelope" alt="Email icon" title="Email icon" aria-hidden="true"></i><a href="mailto:PAAARP@aarp.org" target="_blank" rel="noopener">PAAARP@aarp.org</a></li> <li><i class="list-icon fa fa-globe" alt="Globe icon" title="Globe icon" aria-hidden="true"></i><a href="https://states.aarp.org/region/pennsylvania/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AARP Pennsylvania</a></li> <li><i class="list-icon fa fa-map-marker" alt="Map Marker icon" title="Map Marker icon" aria-hidden="true"></i><a href="https://states.aarp.org/your-local-aarp-office/?intcmp=SNG-LNK-AARPLOCAL-CONTACT-20140101-JAMESCITY-PA" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Contact Us</a></li> </ul> </div> <a href="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA" target="_blank" rel="noopener" aria-label="Open Facebook"><img alt="Facebook icon" title="Facebook icon" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/responsive/icons/48/facebook-dreamstale25.png"></a> <a href="https://twitter.com/AARPPA" target="_blank" rel="noopener" aria-label="Open Twitter"><img alt="Twitter icon" title="Twitter icon" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/responsive/icons/48/x-logo-black.png"></a> </div> </div> </div></div> <div class="col-md-8 left-rail left-bot"></div> <div class="col-md-4 right-rail right-bot thin-rhs"></div> </div> <div class="row oneColumnLayout"> </div> <div class="row oneColumnLayout"> <div class="col-md-12"><!-- script to activate navbar --> <script type="text/javascript"> jQuery(".channelBarMain ul.left li a").click(function() { window.location = jQuery(this).attr('href'); }); </script> </div> </div> ' $scripts_for_layout = '<title>New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. 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$viewFile = '/var/www/vhosts/vcc_staging/app/View/Layouts/aarp_2023.ctp' $dataForView = array( 'content_for_layout' => '<div class="row twoColumnLayout"> <div class="col-md-8 left-rail"><div class="module clearfix"><div class="ar-basic-box"> <div> <div class="module-spacer"> <header><h1 class="article-headline">New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. Jon Tester in Senate Race</h1></header> <div class="posted-on"> Posted on 09/05/24 </div> </div> <div class="module-spacer"> <span class="blog-content"><p><div class="RichTextArticleBody"> <div class="RichTextArticleBody-body"><p><b>For Immediate Release: Sept. 5, 2024</b><br><br><b>Contact:</b> Stacia Dahl | sdahl@aarp.org | 406-457-4704<br><br><span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><span class="Link"><b>New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. Jon Tester in Senate Race</b></span></span></span><br><br><b><i>Former President Donald Trump leads Vice President Harris by 15 points among voters overall and by 23 points among voters over 50</i></b><br><br><b>Helena, Mont., Sep. 05, 2024</b> — Today, AARP Montana released a 2024 statewide <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/MTpolling" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">election survey</a></span></span> revealing that candidates for president, U.S. Senate, and state races should pay close attention to Montanans ages 50 and older, who make up an outsized portion of the electorate. In the 2020 elections, older voters accounted for 56% of all Montana voters and in the 2022 mid-terms, they made up 65% of the state’s voters. Ninety-two percent of voters ages 50 and older say they are “extremely motivated” to cast a ballot in November, compared with 77% of voters ages 18-49 saying the same.<br><br>In the U.S. Senate race, Tim Sheehy (R) leads Senator Jon Tester (D) by 49% - 41% on the full ballot, with 5% of voters supporting a third-party candidate and 4% undecided; Sheehy’s lead widens among older voters, 55% to 39%. In the head-to-head ballot, Sheehy leads Tester among voters overall, 51% - 45% and even more among older voters, 57% - 40%. <br><br>“Voters over age 50 are the biggest and most enthusiastic voting bloc this election, and their votes will make a difference in the U.S. Senate race,” said Tim Summers, State Director, AARP Montana. “The candidate who wants to win in November should focus on the issues older voters care about most, from protecting Social Security and Medicare to supporting family caregivers.” <br><br>In the presidential contest, former President Donald Trump (R) holds a strong lead over Vice President Harris (D) among voters overall, 56% - 41%, and among voters 50 and older, 60% - 37%. <br><br>On the issues, 78% of voters ages 50 and older say that candidate positions on Social Security are very important to making their decision in November, followed by Medicare (71%), the cost of housing (62%), and policies that help seniors live independently at home (61%). And the vast majority (79%) of older Montanans prefer a member of Congress who wants Medicare to continue negotiating for lower prescription drug prices. <br><br>Other key takeaways from the poll <b>among voters 50 and older</b> include:<br></p><ul><li>Ninety-five percent of Montana voters 50+ support the state legislature providing lasting property tax relief that would make it easier for older Montanans to remain in their homes as they age.</li><li>Three quarters of Montana voters 50+ favor renewing the Medicaid expansion program before it ends next June. This includes support from 64% of Republicans 50+.</li><li>Seventy-four percent also support Montana funding a state tax credit to help with out of pocket expenses for unpaid family caregivers taking care of aging loved ones.</li><li>Immigration and border security (40%) is the most important issue when deciding who to vote for in November, followed by inflation and rising prices (24%), and the economy and jobs (23%).</li><li>A majority (56%) say Social Security is or will be a major source of their income.</li><li>Twenty-five percent of older voters identify as family caregivers, with 29% of older women and 28% of rural residents over 50 saying the same. Older caregivers make up 14% of Montana’s electorate and support Sheehy over Tester by 17 points.</li><li>Sixty-one percent of older voters are worried about their personal financial situation, which is reflected in the issues that these voters care about: 53% rank personal economic issues as the most important issues in the election.</li><li>Twenty-five percent of voters over 50 are not straight ticket voters; Senator Tester leads narrowly among both these older swing and independent voters.</li></ul><p>AARP commissioned the bipartisan polling team of Fabrizio Ward (R) and David Binder Research (D) to conduct a survey of voters in Montana. The firms interviewed 1,064 likely voters, which includes a statewide representative sample of 600 likely voters, an oversample of 464 likely voters ages 50 and older. The survey was done between August 25-29, 2024. The interviews were conducted via live interviewer on landline (25%) and cellphone (35%), as well as SMS-to-web (40%). The sample was randomly drawn from the Montana voter list. The margin of sampling error at the 95% confidence level for the 600 statewide sample is ±4.0%; for the 800 total sample of voters 50+ is ±3.5%. <br><br>View the full survey results at <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/MTpolling" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">aarp.org/MTpolling</a></span></span> and find all of our state battleground polls at <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="https://www.aarp.org/voterpolls24" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">aarp.org/voterpolls24</a></span></span>. Read AARP’s coverage of the poll <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/MTpollresults" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">here</a></span></span>. <br><br>For more information on how, when, and where to vote in Montana, visit <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/mtvotes" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">aarp.org/MTvotes</a></span></span>.<br></p><p class="cms-textAlign-center"></p><p><b><u>Also of interest:</u></b><br></p><ul><li><span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="https://www.aarp.org/politics-society/government-elections/info-2024/montana-election-poll.html?cmp=RDRCT-MTPOLLRESULTS-09052024" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">AARP Poll: GOP Challenger Leads in Pivotal Montana U.S. Senate Race: Spotlight is on contest that could decide which party controls the Senate</a></span></span><br><br><b><u>📢)) </u></b><span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/d7/7b/1130dc614eb3a30c4699bba5b59d/voicesofmontanaseg1-friday.mp3" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer"><b><u>Listen to the Voices of Montana Segment - Q &A with the Pollsters 9/6/2024</u></b></a></span></span></li></ul><div class="Enhancement" > <div class="Enhancement-item"><figure class="Figure" data-alignment="left"> <img src="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/e8/2d/15d240f34cf9a0ee714c16570400/icon-voices-of-montana-poll.png" alt="Icon Voices of Montana - Poll.png" width="960" height="960" style="height: auto; max-width: 200px;"/> </figure> </div> </div><div class="Enhancement" > <div class="Enhancement-item"><audio controls> <source src="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/d7/7b/1130dc614eb3a30c4699bba5b59d/voicesofmontanaseg1-friday.mp3" type="audio/mpeg"> Your browser does not support the audio element. </audio></div> </div><p></p></div> </div> </p></span> </div> </div> <p><i>This story is provided by AARP Montana. Visit the <a href="https://states.aarp.org/region/montana/" target="_blank">AARP Montana</a> page for more news, events, and programs affecting retirement, health care, and more.</i></p> </div> </div><div class="module clearfix"><script src="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/resource/00000168-dd17-d487-a96e-df5fe3ee0000/styleguide/All.min.c85a242a55150cd195e494cd6e5b9c77.gz.js" async=""></script> <link rel="stylesheet" media="all" href="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/resource/00000168-dd17-d487-a96e-df5fe3ee0000/styleguide/All.min.bfe6eb5a8301841feef3af4e9bd1e26d.gz.css"> <!-- bypass --> <style> a:focus, a:hover { text-decoration: underline; } h1.article-headline { margin: 0 0 1rem; } </style> <!-- <style> .Enhancement-item .Figure { margin-bottom: 24px; } .RichTextArticleBody-body ul { margin-bottom: 24px; } .RichTextArticleBody-body p{ margin: 12px 0; } .RichTextModule-items { clear: both; display: table; width: 100%; margin-bottom: 12px; } .VideoEnhancement>* { color: var(--primaryTextColor); font-size: 13px; font-weight: 400; line-height: 1.4; font-style: italic; background: #f0efed } @media only screen and (min-width: 768px) { .VideoEnhancement>* { font-size:14px; font-weight: 400; line-height: 1.47 } } .VideoEnhancement-title { padding: 20px } @media only screen and (min-width: 768px) { .VideoEnhancement-title { padding:30px } } .VideoEnhancement-player>* { position: relative; width: 100%; height: 0; padding-bottom: 56.25% } .VideoEnhancement iframe { border: 0; position: absolute; top: 0; left: 0; width: 100%; height: 100% } [data-video-player] { display: block; padding-bottom: 56.25%; height: 0; margin: 0 auto; } [data-video-player][data-aspect-ratio="4x3"] { padding-bottom: 56.25%; } [data-video-player][data-aspect-ratio="16x9"] { padding-bottom: 56.25% } </style> --></div><div class="module clearfix"><div class="module-spacer tout-homefit-750"> <a data-formelementid="CSN-LOCAL-HC-NEWSSK-02272024" href="/james-city-pa/home-and-community/?intcmp=CSN-LOCAL-HC-NEWSSK-02272024"><img class="img-responsive" alt="Explore the free AARP HomeFit Guide" title="Explore the free AARP HomeFit Guide" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/touts/HomeFit_750x150.png"></a> </div></div></div> <div class="col-md-4 right-rail thin-rhs"><div class="module clearfix"><!--default--> <!-- module_RHS - AARP Events --> <pre class="cake-error"><a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74a511-trace').style.display = (document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74a511-trace').style.display == 'none' ? 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'' : 'none')">Context</a><pre id="cakeErr66e7cfd74bcdc-context" class="cake-context" style="display: none;">$module = array( '_id' => '66158db0e9dff2b1fd9cafcd', 'module_id' => '1098', 'name' => 'RHS - Events Experience', 'type' => 'php', 'data' => '<?php include(APP . "/Resource/experience.master.resource.root.html"); ?> <style type="text/css"> .recommenationSection {font-family: Lato, sans-serif} .recommendationSection h3 {font-size:30px!important; text-transform:none; letter-spacing:0.03em} .recommendationSection .js-mvc-offer-recommended-article-pack-category {color:#dd1200; font-family:Lato, sans-serif; font-size:15px; font-weight:700; text-transform:uppercase; margin:0} .recommendationSection h4 a {color:#121212; font-size:20px; font-weight:700} .recommendationSection .uxdia-c-featured-tile__content-wrapper {padding: 0 0 .5em 0; margin-bottom: 1.25em; border-bottom: 1px solid #000} </style>', 'css' => '.recommendationSection h3 {font-size:30px} .recommenadationSection .js-mvc-offer-recommended-article-pack-category {color:rgb(221,18,0); font-size:12px} .recommendationSection h4 a {color:#121212; font-size:20px} ', 'script' => '', 'cache_time' => '', 'localize' => '0' ) $obj = false</pre><pre class="stack-trace">include - APP/Lib/Modules.php(13) : eval()'d code, line 1 eval - APP/Lib/Modules.php(13) : eval()'d code, line 1 Modules::render() - APP/Lib/Modules.php, line 13 Modules::load() - APP/Lib/Modules.php, line 29 Localize::getModule() - APP/Lib/Localize.php, line 294 Localize::replace() - APP/Lib/Localize.php, line 219 Modules::render() - APP/Lib/Modules.php, line 9 include - APP/View/Elements/display.ctp, line 13 View::_evaluate() - CORE/Cake/View/View.php, line 971 View::_render() - CORE/Cake/View/View.php, line 933 View::render() - CORE/Cake/View/View.php, line 473 Controller::render() - CORE/Cake/Controller/Controller.php, line 963 AppController::renderPage() - APP/Controller/AppController.php, line 136 BlogsController::display() - APP/Controller/BlogsController.php, line 81 ReflectionMethod::invokeArgs() - [internal], line ?? Controller::invokeAction() - CORE/Cake/Controller/Controller.php, line 491 Dispatcher::_invoke() - CORE/Cake/Routing/Dispatcher.php, line 193 Dispatcher::dispatch() - CORE/Cake/Routing/Dispatcher.php, line 167</pre></div></pre><style type="text/css"> .recommenationSection {font-family: Lato, sans-serif} .recommendationSection h3 {font-size:30px!important; text-transform:none; letter-spacing:0.03em} .recommendationSection .js-mvc-offer-recommended-article-pack-category {color:#dd1200; font-family:Lato, sans-serif; font-size:15px; font-weight:700; text-transform:uppercase; margin:0} .recommendationSection h4 a {color:#121212; font-size:20px; font-weight:700} .recommendationSection .uxdia-c-featured-tile__content-wrapper {padding: 0 0 .5em 0; margin-bottom: 1.25em; border-bottom: 1px solid #000} </style> <div aria-hidden="true" class="aarpe-ad-wrapper"> <div class="aarpe-ad en clearfix" id="300x250_53475" data-adsize="300x250"> <script type="text/javascript"> if(typeof AARP.ads !== 'undefined'){ AARP.ads.slots({ id:'300x250_53475', size:'300x250'}); } </script> </div> </div> <div class="card-tout card-dark membership-tout" style="margin:0 0 30px 0;"> <img class="img-responsive image" title="image of two AARP membership cards" alt="image of two AARP membership cards" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/tout-two-cards.png"> <div class="title">Only $12 your first year with Automatic Renewal</div> <ul class="list"> <li>Immediate access to your <a href="https://www.aarp.org/benefits-discounts/">member benefits</a></li> <li>Discounts on travel and everyday savings</li> <li>Subscription to AARP The Magazine</li> <li>FREE second membership</li> </ul> <div class="action"> <a class="btn" href="https://appsec.aarp.org/mem/join?campaignid=UAJFT3&intcmp=LNK-CSN-AARPLOCAL-JRTOUT-RR-A-JAMESCITY-PA">Join AARP</a> <div class="body">Already a member? <a href="https://appsec.aarp.org/mem/renew?campaignid= UARFT3&intcmp=LNK-CSN-AARPLOCAL-JRTOUT-RR-A-JAMESCITY-PA">Renew</a> or <a href="https://www.aarp.org/benefits-discounts/my-membership/print-your-card/">Print Card</a></div> </div> </div> <style> .membership-tout {padding:16px 20px;} .membership-tout .list li { margin: 0; } </style> <div aria-hidden="true" class="aarpe-ad-wrapper"> <div class="aarpe-ad en clearfix" id="300x250_93505" data-adsize="300x250"> <script type="text/javascript"> if(typeof AARP.ads !== 'undefined'){ AARP.ads.slots({ id:'300x250_93505', size:'300x250'}); } </script> </div> </div> <div class="module-spacer text-center"> <div class="fb-page" alt="Image of AARP Pennsylvania Facebook Page" title="Image of AARP Pennsylvania Facebook Page" data-href="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA" data-tabs="timeline" width="320" height="" data-small-header="false" data-adapt-container-width="true" data-hide-cover="false" data-show-facepile="true" lazy="true"> <blockquote cite="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA" class="fb-xfbml-parse-ignore"><a href="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA">Facebook</a></blockquote> </div> </div> <div class="ar-basic-box module-spacer"> <header> <h2>Contact AARP<br />Pennsylvania</h2> </header> <div class="wrap"> <div class="ar-quick-list module-spacer"> <ul class="list-unstyled"> <li><i class="list-icon fa fa-envelope" alt="Email icon" title="Email icon" aria-hidden="true"></i><a href="mailto:PAAARP@aarp.org" target="_blank" rel="noopener">PAAARP@aarp.org</a></li> <li><i class="list-icon fa fa-globe" alt="Globe icon" title="Globe icon" aria-hidden="true"></i><a href="https://states.aarp.org/region/pennsylvania/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AARP Pennsylvania</a></li> <li><i class="list-icon fa fa-map-marker" alt="Map Marker icon" title="Map Marker icon" aria-hidden="true"></i><a href="https://states.aarp.org/your-local-aarp-office/?intcmp=SNG-LNK-AARPLOCAL-CONTACT-20140101-JAMESCITY-PA" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Contact Us</a></li> </ul> </div> <a href="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA" target="_blank" rel="noopener" aria-label="Open Facebook"><img alt="Facebook icon" title="Facebook icon" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/responsive/icons/48/facebook-dreamstale25.png"></a> <a href="https://twitter.com/AARPPA" target="_blank" rel="noopener" aria-label="Open Twitter"><img alt="Twitter icon" title="Twitter icon" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/responsive/icons/48/x-logo-black.png"></a> </div> </div> </div></div> <div class="col-md-8 left-rail left-bot"></div> <div class="col-md-4 right-rail right-bot thin-rhs"></div> </div> <div class="row oneColumnLayout"> </div> <div class="row oneColumnLayout"> <div class="col-md-12"><!-- script to activate navbar --> <script type="text/javascript"> jQuery(".channelBarMain ul.left li a").click(function() { window.location = jQuery(this).attr('href'); }); </script> </div> </div> ', 'scripts_for_layout' => '<title>New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. Jon Tester in Senate Race</title> <meta name="page_title" content="New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. Jon Tester in Senate Race"/> <meta name="robots" content="noindex, nofollow"/> <meta content="For Immediate Release: Sept. 5, 2024Contact: Stacia Dahl | sdahl@aarp.org | 406-457-4704New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. Jon Tester in Senate" name="description"/> <meta content="New, AARP, Montana, Poll, Tim, Sheehy, Leads, Sen, Jon, Tester, in, Senate, Race" name="keywords"/> <link rel="canonical" href="https://states.aarp.org/montana/mtpoll" /> <meta property="og:url" content="https://vccstaging.local.aarp.org/news/new-aarp-montana-poll-tim-sheehy-leads-sen-jon-tester-in-senate-race-mt-2024-09-05.html"/> <meta name="twitter:card" content="summary_large_image"/> <meta name="twitter:title" content="New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. 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Jon Tester in Senate Race"/> <meta property="og:description" content="For Immediate Release: Sept. 5, 2024"/> <meta property="og:image" content="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/dims4/default/7f41879/2147483647/strip/true/crop/1019x655+61+0/resize/420x270!/quality/90/?url=http%3A%2F%2Faarp-brightspot.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fstates%2Fc6%2F3f%2Fbc2cc85240349193e041f5e25380%2Fmontana-issues.png"/> :root { --primaryColor: #ff1e3c; --primaryTextColor: #2a2a2a; --linkTextColor: #1f66bd; --linkHoverColor: #1f66bd; --secondaryTextColor: #000000; --secondaryColor2: #000000; --secondaryColor3: #000000; --secondaryColor4: #000000; --secondaryColor5: #000000; --black: #000000; --white: #ffffff; --grey: #f0efed; --gridGutters: 30px; --modulePadding: 60px; --pageWidth: 86.11%; --maxPageWidth: 1240px; --horizontalAlignment: center; --fontFamily: 'Roboto', sans-serif; --headerBackgroundColor:#000000; --headerTextColor:#FFFFFF; --headerHeight:50px; --footerbackgroundColor:#000000; --footerTextColor:#918883; }', 'title_for_layout' => '{local_city_c}, {local_state} Happenings - AARP' ) $content_for_layout = '<div class="row twoColumnLayout"> <div class="col-md-8 left-rail"><div class="module clearfix"><div class="ar-basic-box"> <div> <div class="module-spacer"> <header><h1 class="article-headline">New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. Jon Tester in Senate Race</h1></header> <div class="posted-on"> Posted on 09/05/24 </div> </div> <div class="module-spacer"> <span class="blog-content"><p><div class="RichTextArticleBody"> <div class="RichTextArticleBody-body"><p><b>For Immediate Release: Sept. 5, 2024</b><br><br><b>Contact:</b> Stacia Dahl | sdahl@aarp.org | 406-457-4704<br><br><span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><span class="Link"><b>New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. Jon Tester in Senate Race</b></span></span></span><br><br><b><i>Former President Donald Trump leads Vice President Harris by 15 points among voters overall and by 23 points among voters over 50</i></b><br><br><b>Helena, Mont., Sep. 05, 2024</b> — Today, AARP Montana released a 2024 statewide <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/MTpolling" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">election survey</a></span></span> revealing that candidates for president, U.S. Senate, and state races should pay close attention to Montanans ages 50 and older, who make up an outsized portion of the electorate. In the 2020 elections, older voters accounted for 56% of all Montana voters and in the 2022 mid-terms, they made up 65% of the state’s voters. Ninety-two percent of voters ages 50 and older say they are “extremely motivated” to cast a ballot in November, compared with 77% of voters ages 18-49 saying the same.<br><br>In the U.S. Senate race, Tim Sheehy (R) leads Senator Jon Tester (D) by 49% - 41% on the full ballot, with 5% of voters supporting a third-party candidate and 4% undecided; Sheehy’s lead widens among older voters, 55% to 39%. In the head-to-head ballot, Sheehy leads Tester among voters overall, 51% - 45% and even more among older voters, 57% - 40%. <br><br>“Voters over age 50 are the biggest and most enthusiastic voting bloc this election, and their votes will make a difference in the U.S. Senate race,” said Tim Summers, State Director, AARP Montana. “The candidate who wants to win in November should focus on the issues older voters care about most, from protecting Social Security and Medicare to supporting family caregivers.” <br><br>In the presidential contest, former President Donald Trump (R) holds a strong lead over Vice President Harris (D) among voters overall, 56% - 41%, and among voters 50 and older, 60% - 37%. <br><br>On the issues, 78% of voters ages 50 and older say that candidate positions on Social Security are very important to making their decision in November, followed by Medicare (71%), the cost of housing (62%), and policies that help seniors live independently at home (61%). And the vast majority (79%) of older Montanans prefer a member of Congress who wants Medicare to continue negotiating for lower prescription drug prices. <br><br>Other key takeaways from the poll <b>among voters 50 and older</b> include:<br></p><ul><li>Ninety-five percent of Montana voters 50+ support the state legislature providing lasting property tax relief that would make it easier for older Montanans to remain in their homes as they age.</li><li>Three quarters of Montana voters 50+ favor renewing the Medicaid expansion program before it ends next June. This includes support from 64% of Republicans 50+.</li><li>Seventy-four percent also support Montana funding a state tax credit to help with out of pocket expenses for unpaid family caregivers taking care of aging loved ones.</li><li>Immigration and border security (40%) is the most important issue when deciding who to vote for in November, followed by inflation and rising prices (24%), and the economy and jobs (23%).</li><li>A majority (56%) say Social Security is or will be a major source of their income.</li><li>Twenty-five percent of older voters identify as family caregivers, with 29% of older women and 28% of rural residents over 50 saying the same. Older caregivers make up 14% of Montana’s electorate and support Sheehy over Tester by 17 points.</li><li>Sixty-one percent of older voters are worried about their personal financial situation, which is reflected in the issues that these voters care about: 53% rank personal economic issues as the most important issues in the election.</li><li>Twenty-five percent of voters over 50 are not straight ticket voters; Senator Tester leads narrowly among both these older swing and independent voters.</li></ul><p>AARP commissioned the bipartisan polling team of Fabrizio Ward (R) and David Binder Research (D) to conduct a survey of voters in Montana. The firms interviewed 1,064 likely voters, which includes a statewide representative sample of 600 likely voters, an oversample of 464 likely voters ages 50 and older. The survey was done between August 25-29, 2024. The interviews were conducted via live interviewer on landline (25%) and cellphone (35%), as well as SMS-to-web (40%). The sample was randomly drawn from the Montana voter list. The margin of sampling error at the 95% confidence level for the 600 statewide sample is ±4.0%; for the 800 total sample of voters 50+ is ±3.5%. <br><br>View the full survey results at <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/MTpolling" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">aarp.org/MTpolling</a></span></span> and find all of our state battleground polls at <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="https://www.aarp.org/voterpolls24" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">aarp.org/voterpolls24</a></span></span>. Read AARP’s coverage of the poll <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/MTpollresults" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">here</a></span></span>. <br><br>For more information on how, when, and where to vote in Montana, visit <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/mtvotes" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">aarp.org/MTvotes</a></span></span>.<br></p><p class="cms-textAlign-center"></p><p><b><u>Also of interest:</u></b><br></p><ul><li><span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="https://www.aarp.org/politics-society/government-elections/info-2024/montana-election-poll.html?cmp=RDRCT-MTPOLLRESULTS-09052024" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">AARP Poll: GOP Challenger Leads in Pivotal Montana U.S. Senate Race: Spotlight is on contest that could decide which party controls the Senate</a></span></span><br><br><b><u>📢)) </u></b><span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/d7/7b/1130dc614eb3a30c4699bba5b59d/voicesofmontanaseg1-friday.mp3" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer"><b><u>Listen to the Voices of Montana Segment - Q &A with the Pollsters 9/6/2024</u></b></a></span></span></li></ul><div class="Enhancement" > <div class="Enhancement-item"><figure class="Figure" data-alignment="left"> <img src="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/e8/2d/15d240f34cf9a0ee714c16570400/icon-voices-of-montana-poll.png" alt="Icon Voices of Montana - Poll.png" width="960" height="960" style="height: auto; max-width: 200px;"/> </figure> </div> </div><div class="Enhancement" > <div class="Enhancement-item"><audio controls> <source src="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/d7/7b/1130dc614eb3a30c4699bba5b59d/voicesofmontanaseg1-friday.mp3" type="audio/mpeg"> Your browser does not support the audio element. </audio></div> </div><p></p></div> </div> </p></span> </div> </div> <p><i>This story is provided by AARP Montana. Visit the <a href="https://states.aarp.org/region/montana/" target="_blank">AARP Montana</a> page for more news, events, and programs affecting retirement, health care, and more.</i></p> </div> </div><div class="module clearfix"><script src="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/resource/00000168-dd17-d487-a96e-df5fe3ee0000/styleguide/All.min.c85a242a55150cd195e494cd6e5b9c77.gz.js" async=""></script> <link rel="stylesheet" media="all" href="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/resource/00000168-dd17-d487-a96e-df5fe3ee0000/styleguide/All.min.bfe6eb5a8301841feef3af4e9bd1e26d.gz.css"> <!-- bypass --> <style> a:focus, a:hover { text-decoration: underline; } h1.article-headline { margin: 0 0 1rem; } </style> <!-- <style> .Enhancement-item .Figure { margin-bottom: 24px; } .RichTextArticleBody-body ul { margin-bottom: 24px; } .RichTextArticleBody-body p{ margin: 12px 0; } .RichTextModule-items { clear: both; display: table; width: 100%; margin-bottom: 12px; } .VideoEnhancement>* { color: var(--primaryTextColor); font-size: 13px; font-weight: 400; line-height: 1.4; font-style: italic; background: #f0efed } @media only screen and (min-width: 768px) { .VideoEnhancement>* { font-size:14px; font-weight: 400; line-height: 1.47 } } .VideoEnhancement-title { padding: 20px } @media only screen and (min-width: 768px) { .VideoEnhancement-title { padding:30px } } .VideoEnhancement-player>* { position: relative; width: 100%; height: 0; padding-bottom: 56.25% } .VideoEnhancement iframe { border: 0; position: absolute; top: 0; left: 0; width: 100%; height: 100% } [data-video-player] { display: block; padding-bottom: 56.25%; height: 0; margin: 0 auto; } [data-video-player][data-aspect-ratio="4x3"] { padding-bottom: 56.25%; } [data-video-player][data-aspect-ratio="16x9"] { padding-bottom: 56.25% } </style> --></div><div class="module clearfix"><div class="module-spacer tout-homefit-750"> <a data-formelementid="CSN-LOCAL-HC-NEWSSK-02272024" href="/james-city-pa/home-and-community/?intcmp=CSN-LOCAL-HC-NEWSSK-02272024"><img class="img-responsive" alt="Explore the free AARP HomeFit Guide" title="Explore the free AARP HomeFit Guide" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/touts/HomeFit_750x150.png"></a> </div></div></div> <div class="col-md-4 right-rail thin-rhs"><div class="module clearfix"><!--default--> <!-- module_RHS - AARP Events --> <pre class="cake-error"><a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74a511-trace').style.display = (document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74a511-trace').style.display == 'none' ? '' : 'none');"><b>Warning</b> (2)</a>: include(/var/www/vhosts/vcc_staging/app//Resource/experience.master.resource.root.html): failed to open stream: No such file or directory [<b>APP/Lib/Modules.php(13) : eval()'d code</b>, line <b>1</b>]<div id="cakeErr66e7cfd74a511-trace" class="cake-stack-trace" style="display: none;"><a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74a511-code').style.display = (document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74a511-code').style.display == 'none' ? '' : 'none')">Code</a> <a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74a511-context').style.display = (document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74a511-context').style.display == 'none' ? '' : 'none')">Context</a><pre id="cakeErr66e7cfd74a511-context" class="cake-context" style="display: none;">$module = array( '_id' => '66158db0e9dff2b1fd9cafcd', 'module_id' => '1098', 'name' => 'RHS - Events Experience', 'type' => 'php', 'data' => '<?php include(APP . "/Resource/experience.master.resource.root.html"); ?> <style type="text/css"> .recommenationSection {font-family: Lato, sans-serif} .recommendationSection h3 {font-size:30px!important; text-transform:none; letter-spacing:0.03em} .recommendationSection .js-mvc-offer-recommended-article-pack-category {color:#dd1200; font-family:Lato, sans-serif; font-size:15px; font-weight:700; text-transform:uppercase; margin:0} .recommendationSection h4 a {color:#121212; font-size:20px; font-weight:700} .recommendationSection .uxdia-c-featured-tile__content-wrapper {padding: 0 0 .5em 0; margin-bottom: 1.25em; border-bottom: 1px solid #000} </style>', 'css' => '.recommendationSection h3 {font-size:30px} .recommenadationSection .js-mvc-offer-recommended-article-pack-category {color:rgb(221,18,0); font-size:12px} .recommendationSection h4 a {color:#121212; font-size:20px} ', 'script' => '', 'cache_time' => '', 'localize' => '0' ) $obj = false</pre><pre class="stack-trace">include - APP/Lib/Modules.php(13) : eval()'d code, line 1 eval - APP/Lib/Modules.php(13) : eval()'d code, line 1 Modules::render() - APP/Lib/Modules.php, line 13 Modules::load() - APP/Lib/Modules.php, line 29 Localize::getModule() - APP/Lib/Localize.php, line 294 Localize::replace() - APP/Lib/Localize.php, line 219 Modules::render() - APP/Lib/Modules.php, line 9 include - APP/View/Elements/display.ctp, line 13 View::_evaluate() - CORE/Cake/View/View.php, line 971 View::_render() - CORE/Cake/View/View.php, line 933 View::render() - CORE/Cake/View/View.php, line 473 Controller::render() - CORE/Cake/Controller/Controller.php, line 963 AppController::renderPage() - APP/Controller/AppController.php, line 136 BlogsController::display() - APP/Controller/BlogsController.php, line 81 ReflectionMethod::invokeArgs() - [internal], line ?? Controller::invokeAction() - CORE/Cake/Controller/Controller.php, line 491 Dispatcher::_invoke() - CORE/Cake/Routing/Dispatcher.php, line 193 Dispatcher::dispatch() - CORE/Cake/Routing/Dispatcher.php, line 167</pre></div></pre><pre class="cake-error"><a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74bcdc-trace').style.display = (document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74bcdc-trace').style.display == 'none' ? '' : 'none');"><b>Warning</b> (2)</a>: include() [<a href='http://php.net/function.include'>function.include</a>]: Failed opening '/var/www/vhosts/vcc_staging/app//Resource/experience.master.resource.root.html' for inclusion (include_path='/var/www/vhosts/vcc_staging/lib:.:/usr/share/pear:/usr/share/php') [<b>APP/Lib/Modules.php(13) : eval()'d code</b>, line <b>1</b>]<div id="cakeErr66e7cfd74bcdc-trace" class="cake-stack-trace" style="display: none;"><a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74bcdc-code').style.display = (document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74bcdc-code').style.display == 'none' ? '' : 'none')">Code</a> <a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74bcdc-context').style.display = (document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74bcdc-context').style.display == 'none' ? 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Controller::invokeAction() - CORE/Cake/Controller/Controller.php, line 491 Dispatcher::_invoke() - CORE/Cake/Routing/Dispatcher.php, line 193 Dispatcher::dispatch() - CORE/Cake/Routing/Dispatcher.php, line 167</pre></div></pre><style type="text/css"> .recommenationSection {font-family: Lato, sans-serif} .recommendationSection h3 {font-size:30px!important; text-transform:none; letter-spacing:0.03em} .recommendationSection .js-mvc-offer-recommended-article-pack-category {color:#dd1200; font-family:Lato, sans-serif; font-size:15px; font-weight:700; text-transform:uppercase; margin:0} .recommendationSection h4 a {color:#121212; font-size:20px; font-weight:700} .recommendationSection .uxdia-c-featured-tile__content-wrapper {padding: 0 0 .5em 0; margin-bottom: 1.25em; border-bottom: 1px solid #000} </style> <div aria-hidden="true" class="aarpe-ad-wrapper"> <div class="aarpe-ad en clearfix" id="300x250_53475" data-adsize="300x250"> <script type="text/javascript"> if(typeof AARP.ads !== 'undefined'){ AARP.ads.slots({ id:'300x250_53475', size:'300x250'}); } </script> </div> </div> <div class="card-tout card-dark membership-tout" style="margin:0 0 30px 0;"> <img class="img-responsive image" title="image of two AARP membership cards" alt="image of two AARP membership cards" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/tout-two-cards.png"> <div class="title">Only $12 your first year with Automatic Renewal</div> <ul class="list"> <li>Immediate access to your <a href="https://www.aarp.org/benefits-discounts/">member benefits</a></li> <li>Discounts on travel and everyday savings</li> <li>Subscription to AARP The Magazine</li> <li>FREE second membership</li> </ul> <div class="action"> <a class="btn" href="https://appsec.aarp.org/mem/join?campaignid=UAJFT3&intcmp=LNK-CSN-AARPLOCAL-JRTOUT-RR-A-JAMESCITY-PA">Join AARP</a> <div class="body">Already a member? <a href="https://appsec.aarp.org/mem/renew?campaignid= UARFT3&intcmp=LNK-CSN-AARPLOCAL-JRTOUT-RR-A-JAMESCITY-PA">Renew</a> or <a href="https://www.aarp.org/benefits-discounts/my-membership/print-your-card/">Print Card</a></div> </div> </div> <style> .membership-tout {padding:16px 20px;} .membership-tout .list li { margin: 0; } </style> <div aria-hidden="true" class="aarpe-ad-wrapper"> <div class="aarpe-ad en clearfix" id="300x250_93505" data-adsize="300x250"> <script type="text/javascript"> if(typeof AARP.ads !== 'undefined'){ AARP.ads.slots({ id:'300x250_93505', size:'300x250'}); } </script> </div> </div> <div class="module-spacer text-center"> <div class="fb-page" alt="Image of AARP Pennsylvania Facebook Page" title="Image of AARP Pennsylvania Facebook Page" data-href="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA" data-tabs="timeline" width="320" height="" data-small-header="false" data-adapt-container-width="true" data-hide-cover="false" data-show-facepile="true" lazy="true"> <blockquote cite="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA" class="fb-xfbml-parse-ignore"><a href="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA">Facebook</a></blockquote> </div> </div> <div class="ar-basic-box module-spacer"> <header> <h2>Contact AARP<br />Pennsylvania</h2> </header> <div class="wrap"> <div class="ar-quick-list module-spacer"> <ul class="list-unstyled"> <li><i class="list-icon fa fa-envelope" alt="Email icon" title="Email icon" aria-hidden="true"></i><a href="mailto:PAAARP@aarp.org" target="_blank" rel="noopener">PAAARP@aarp.org</a></li> <li><i class="list-icon fa fa-globe" alt="Globe icon" title="Globe icon" aria-hidden="true"></i><a href="https://states.aarp.org/region/pennsylvania/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AARP Pennsylvania</a></li> <li><i class="list-icon fa fa-map-marker" alt="Map Marker icon" title="Map Marker icon" aria-hidden="true"></i><a href="https://states.aarp.org/your-local-aarp-office/?intcmp=SNG-LNK-AARPLOCAL-CONTACT-20140101-JAMESCITY-PA" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Contact Us</a></li> </ul> </div> <a href="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA" target="_blank" rel="noopener" aria-label="Open Facebook"><img alt="Facebook icon" title="Facebook icon" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/responsive/icons/48/facebook-dreamstale25.png"></a> <a href="https://twitter.com/AARPPA" target="_blank" rel="noopener" aria-label="Open Twitter"><img alt="Twitter icon" title="Twitter icon" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/responsive/icons/48/x-logo-black.png"></a> </div> </div> </div></div> <div class="col-md-8 left-rail left-bot"></div> <div class="col-md-4 right-rail right-bot thin-rhs"></div> </div> <div class="row oneColumnLayout"> </div> <div class="row oneColumnLayout"> <div class="col-md-12"><!-- script to activate navbar --> <script type="text/javascript"> jQuery(".channelBarMain ul.left li a").click(function() { window.location = jQuery(this).attr('href'); }); </script> </div> </div> ' $scripts_for_layout = '<title>New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. 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$viewFile = '/var/www/vhosts/vcc_staging/app/View/Layouts/aarp_2023.ctp' $dataForView = array( 'content_for_layout' => '<div class="row twoColumnLayout"> <div class="col-md-8 left-rail"><div class="module clearfix"><div class="ar-basic-box"> <div> <div class="module-spacer"> <header><h1 class="article-headline">New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. Jon Tester in Senate Race</h1></header> <div class="posted-on"> Posted on 09/05/24 </div> </div> <div class="module-spacer"> <span class="blog-content"><p><div class="RichTextArticleBody"> <div class="RichTextArticleBody-body"><p><b>For Immediate Release: Sept. 5, 2024</b><br><br><b>Contact:</b> Stacia Dahl | sdahl@aarp.org | 406-457-4704<br><br><span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><span class="Link"><b>New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. Jon Tester in Senate Race</b></span></span></span><br><br><b><i>Former President Donald Trump leads Vice President Harris by 15 points among voters overall and by 23 points among voters over 50</i></b><br><br><b>Helena, Mont., Sep. 05, 2024</b> — Today, AARP Montana released a 2024 statewide <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/MTpolling" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">election survey</a></span></span> revealing that candidates for president, U.S. Senate, and state races should pay close attention to Montanans ages 50 and older, who make up an outsized portion of the electorate. In the 2020 elections, older voters accounted for 56% of all Montana voters and in the 2022 mid-terms, they made up 65% of the state’s voters. Ninety-two percent of voters ages 50 and older say they are “extremely motivated” to cast a ballot in November, compared with 77% of voters ages 18-49 saying the same.<br><br>In the U.S. Senate race, Tim Sheehy (R) leads Senator Jon Tester (D) by 49% - 41% on the full ballot, with 5% of voters supporting a third-party candidate and 4% undecided; Sheehy’s lead widens among older voters, 55% to 39%. In the head-to-head ballot, Sheehy leads Tester among voters overall, 51% - 45% and even more among older voters, 57% - 40%. <br><br>“Voters over age 50 are the biggest and most enthusiastic voting bloc this election, and their votes will make a difference in the U.S. Senate race,” said Tim Summers, State Director, AARP Montana. “The candidate who wants to win in November should focus on the issues older voters care about most, from protecting Social Security and Medicare to supporting family caregivers.” <br><br>In the presidential contest, former President Donald Trump (R) holds a strong lead over Vice President Harris (D) among voters overall, 56% - 41%, and among voters 50 and older, 60% - 37%. <br><br>On the issues, 78% of voters ages 50 and older say that candidate positions on Social Security are very important to making their decision in November, followed by Medicare (71%), the cost of housing (62%), and policies that help seniors live independently at home (61%). And the vast majority (79%) of older Montanans prefer a member of Congress who wants Medicare to continue negotiating for lower prescription drug prices. <br><br>Other key takeaways from the poll <b>among voters 50 and older</b> include:<br></p><ul><li>Ninety-five percent of Montana voters 50+ support the state legislature providing lasting property tax relief that would make it easier for older Montanans to remain in their homes as they age.</li><li>Three quarters of Montana voters 50+ favor renewing the Medicaid expansion program before it ends next June. This includes support from 64% of Republicans 50+.</li><li>Seventy-four percent also support Montana funding a state tax credit to help with out of pocket expenses for unpaid family caregivers taking care of aging loved ones.</li><li>Immigration and border security (40%) is the most important issue when deciding who to vote for in November, followed by inflation and rising prices (24%), and the economy and jobs (23%).</li><li>A majority (56%) say Social Security is or will be a major source of their income.</li><li>Twenty-five percent of older voters identify as family caregivers, with 29% of older women and 28% of rural residents over 50 saying the same. Older caregivers make up 14% of Montana’s electorate and support Sheehy over Tester by 17 points.</li><li>Sixty-one percent of older voters are worried about their personal financial situation, which is reflected in the issues that these voters care about: 53% rank personal economic issues as the most important issues in the election.</li><li>Twenty-five percent of voters over 50 are not straight ticket voters; Senator Tester leads narrowly among both these older swing and independent voters.</li></ul><p>AARP commissioned the bipartisan polling team of Fabrizio Ward (R) and David Binder Research (D) to conduct a survey of voters in Montana. The firms interviewed 1,064 likely voters, which includes a statewide representative sample of 600 likely voters, an oversample of 464 likely voters ages 50 and older. The survey was done between August 25-29, 2024. The interviews were conducted via live interviewer on landline (25%) and cellphone (35%), as well as SMS-to-web (40%). The sample was randomly drawn from the Montana voter list. The margin of sampling error at the 95% confidence level for the 600 statewide sample is ±4.0%; for the 800 total sample of voters 50+ is ±3.5%. <br><br>View the full survey results at <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/MTpolling" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">aarp.org/MTpolling</a></span></span> and find all of our state battleground polls at <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="https://www.aarp.org/voterpolls24" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">aarp.org/voterpolls24</a></span></span>. Read AARP’s coverage of the poll <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/MTpollresults" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">here</a></span></span>. <br><br>For more information on how, when, and where to vote in Montana, visit <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/mtvotes" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">aarp.org/MTvotes</a></span></span>.<br></p><p class="cms-textAlign-center"></p><p><b><u>Also of interest:</u></b><br></p><ul><li><span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="https://www.aarp.org/politics-society/government-elections/info-2024/montana-election-poll.html?cmp=RDRCT-MTPOLLRESULTS-09052024" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">AARP Poll: GOP Challenger Leads in Pivotal Montana U.S. Senate Race: Spotlight is on contest that could decide which party controls the Senate</a></span></span><br><br><b><u>📢)) </u></b><span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/d7/7b/1130dc614eb3a30c4699bba5b59d/voicesofmontanaseg1-friday.mp3" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer"><b><u>Listen to the Voices of Montana Segment - Q &A with the Pollsters 9/6/2024</u></b></a></span></span></li></ul><div class="Enhancement" > <div class="Enhancement-item"><figure class="Figure" data-alignment="left"> <img src="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/e8/2d/15d240f34cf9a0ee714c16570400/icon-voices-of-montana-poll.png" alt="Icon Voices of Montana - Poll.png" width="960" height="960" style="height: auto; max-width: 200px;"/> </figure> </div> </div><div class="Enhancement" > <div class="Enhancement-item"><audio controls> <source src="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/d7/7b/1130dc614eb3a30c4699bba5b59d/voicesofmontanaseg1-friday.mp3" type="audio/mpeg"> Your browser does not support the audio element. </audio></div> </div><p></p></div> </div> </p></span> </div> </div> <p><i>This story is provided by AARP Montana. Visit the <a href="https://states.aarp.org/region/montana/" target="_blank">AARP Montana</a> page for more news, events, and programs affecting retirement, health care, and more.</i></p> </div> </div><div class="module clearfix"><script src="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/resource/00000168-dd17-d487-a96e-df5fe3ee0000/styleguide/All.min.c85a242a55150cd195e494cd6e5b9c77.gz.js" async=""></script> <link rel="stylesheet" media="all" href="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/resource/00000168-dd17-d487-a96e-df5fe3ee0000/styleguide/All.min.bfe6eb5a8301841feef3af4e9bd1e26d.gz.css"> <!-- bypass --> <style> a:focus, a:hover { text-decoration: underline; } h1.article-headline { margin: 0 0 1rem; } </style> <!-- <style> .Enhancement-item .Figure { margin-bottom: 24px; } .RichTextArticleBody-body ul { margin-bottom: 24px; } .RichTextArticleBody-body p{ margin: 12px 0; } .RichTextModule-items { clear: both; display: table; width: 100%; margin-bottom: 12px; } .VideoEnhancement>* { color: var(--primaryTextColor); font-size: 13px; font-weight: 400; line-height: 1.4; font-style: italic; background: #f0efed } @media only screen and (min-width: 768px) { .VideoEnhancement>* { font-size:14px; font-weight: 400; line-height: 1.47 } } .VideoEnhancement-title { padding: 20px } @media only screen and (min-width: 768px) { .VideoEnhancement-title { padding:30px } } .VideoEnhancement-player>* { position: relative; width: 100%; height: 0; padding-bottom: 56.25% } .VideoEnhancement iframe { border: 0; position: absolute; top: 0; left: 0; width: 100%; height: 100% } [data-video-player] { display: block; padding-bottom: 56.25%; height: 0; margin: 0 auto; } [data-video-player][data-aspect-ratio="4x3"] { padding-bottom: 56.25%; } [data-video-player][data-aspect-ratio="16x9"] { padding-bottom: 56.25% } </style> --></div><div class="module clearfix"><div class="module-spacer tout-homefit-750"> <a data-formelementid="CSN-LOCAL-HC-NEWSSK-02272024" href="/james-city-pa/home-and-community/?intcmp=CSN-LOCAL-HC-NEWSSK-02272024"><img class="img-responsive" alt="Explore the free AARP HomeFit Guide" title="Explore the free AARP HomeFit Guide" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/touts/HomeFit_750x150.png"></a> </div></div></div> <div class="col-md-4 right-rail thin-rhs"><div class="module clearfix"><!--default--> <!-- module_RHS - AARP Events --> <pre class="cake-error"><a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74a511-trace').style.display = (document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74a511-trace').style.display == 'none' ? 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Controller::invokeAction() - CORE/Cake/Controller/Controller.php, line 491 Dispatcher::_invoke() - CORE/Cake/Routing/Dispatcher.php, line 193 Dispatcher::dispatch() - CORE/Cake/Routing/Dispatcher.php, line 167</pre></div></pre><style type="text/css"> .recommenationSection {font-family: Lato, sans-serif} .recommendationSection h3 {font-size:30px!important; text-transform:none; letter-spacing:0.03em} .recommendationSection .js-mvc-offer-recommended-article-pack-category {color:#dd1200; font-family:Lato, sans-serif; font-size:15px; font-weight:700; text-transform:uppercase; margin:0} .recommendationSection h4 a {color:#121212; font-size:20px; font-weight:700} .recommendationSection .uxdia-c-featured-tile__content-wrapper {padding: 0 0 .5em 0; margin-bottom: 1.25em; border-bottom: 1px solid #000} </style> <div aria-hidden="true" class="aarpe-ad-wrapper"> <div class="aarpe-ad en clearfix" id="300x250_53475" data-adsize="300x250"> <script type="text/javascript"> if(typeof AARP.ads !== 'undefined'){ AARP.ads.slots({ id:'300x250_53475', size:'300x250'}); } </script> </div> </div> <div class="card-tout card-dark membership-tout" style="margin:0 0 30px 0;"> <img class="img-responsive image" title="image of two AARP membership cards" alt="image of two AARP membership cards" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/tout-two-cards.png"> <div class="title">Only $12 your first year with Automatic Renewal</div> <ul class="list"> <li>Immediate access to your <a href="https://www.aarp.org/benefits-discounts/">member benefits</a></li> <li>Discounts on travel and everyday savings</li> <li>Subscription to AARP The Magazine</li> <li>FREE second membership</li> </ul> <div class="action"> <a class="btn" href="https://appsec.aarp.org/mem/join?campaignid=UAJFT3&intcmp=LNK-CSN-AARPLOCAL-JRTOUT-RR-A-JAMESCITY-PA">Join AARP</a> <div class="body">Already a member? <a href="https://appsec.aarp.org/mem/renew?campaignid= UARFT3&intcmp=LNK-CSN-AARPLOCAL-JRTOUT-RR-A-JAMESCITY-PA">Renew</a> or <a href="https://www.aarp.org/benefits-discounts/my-membership/print-your-card/">Print Card</a></div> </div> </div> <style> .membership-tout {padding:16px 20px;} .membership-tout .list li { margin: 0; } </style> <div aria-hidden="true" class="aarpe-ad-wrapper"> <div class="aarpe-ad en clearfix" id="300x250_93505" data-adsize="300x250"> <script type="text/javascript"> if(typeof AARP.ads !== 'undefined'){ AARP.ads.slots({ id:'300x250_93505', size:'300x250'}); } </script> </div> </div> <div class="module-spacer text-center"> <div class="fb-page" alt="Image of AARP Pennsylvania Facebook Page" title="Image of AARP Pennsylvania Facebook Page" data-href="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA" data-tabs="timeline" width="320" height="" data-small-header="false" data-adapt-container-width="true" data-hide-cover="false" data-show-facepile="true" lazy="true"> <blockquote cite="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA" class="fb-xfbml-parse-ignore"><a href="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA">Facebook</a></blockquote> </div> </div> <div class="ar-basic-box module-spacer"> <header> <h2>Contact AARP<br />Pennsylvania</h2> </header> <div class="wrap"> <div class="ar-quick-list module-spacer"> <ul class="list-unstyled"> <li><i class="list-icon fa fa-envelope" alt="Email icon" title="Email icon" aria-hidden="true"></i><a href="mailto:PAAARP@aarp.org" target="_blank" rel="noopener">PAAARP@aarp.org</a></li> <li><i class="list-icon fa fa-globe" alt="Globe icon" title="Globe icon" aria-hidden="true"></i><a href="https://states.aarp.org/region/pennsylvania/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AARP Pennsylvania</a></li> <li><i class="list-icon fa fa-map-marker" alt="Map Marker icon" title="Map Marker icon" aria-hidden="true"></i><a href="https://states.aarp.org/your-local-aarp-office/?intcmp=SNG-LNK-AARPLOCAL-CONTACT-20140101-JAMESCITY-PA" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Contact Us</a></li> </ul> </div> <a href="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA" target="_blank" rel="noopener" aria-label="Open Facebook"><img alt="Facebook icon" title="Facebook icon" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/responsive/icons/48/facebook-dreamstale25.png"></a> <a href="https://twitter.com/AARPPA" target="_blank" rel="noopener" aria-label="Open Twitter"><img alt="Twitter icon" title="Twitter icon" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/responsive/icons/48/x-logo-black.png"></a> </div> </div> </div></div> <div class="col-md-8 left-rail left-bot"></div> <div class="col-md-4 right-rail right-bot thin-rhs"></div> </div> <div class="row oneColumnLayout"> </div> <div class="row oneColumnLayout"> <div class="col-md-12"><!-- script to activate navbar --> <script type="text/javascript"> jQuery(".channelBarMain ul.left li a").click(function() { window.location = jQuery(this).attr('href'); }); </script> </div> </div> ', 'scripts_for_layout' => '<title>New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. Jon Tester in Senate Race</title> <meta name="page_title" content="New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. Jon Tester in Senate Race"/> <meta name="robots" content="noindex, nofollow"/> <meta content="For Immediate Release: Sept. 5, 2024Contact: Stacia Dahl | sdahl@aarp.org | 406-457-4704New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. Jon Tester in Senate" name="description"/> <meta content="New, AARP, Montana, Poll, Tim, Sheehy, Leads, Sen, Jon, Tester, in, Senate, Race" name="keywords"/> <link rel="canonical" href="https://states.aarp.org/montana/mtpoll" /> <meta property="og:url" content="https://vccstaging.local.aarp.org/news/new-aarp-montana-poll-tim-sheehy-leads-sen-jon-tester-in-senate-race-mt-2024-09-05.html"/> <meta name="twitter:card" content="summary_large_image"/> <meta name="twitter:title" content="New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. 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Jon Tester in Senate Race</h1></header> <div class="posted-on"> Posted on 09/05/24 </div> </div> <div class="module-spacer"> <span class="blog-content"><p><div class="RichTextArticleBody"> <div class="RichTextArticleBody-body"><p><b>For Immediate Release: Sept. 5, 2024</b><br><br><b>Contact:</b> Stacia Dahl | sdahl@aarp.org | 406-457-4704<br><br><span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><span class="Link"><b>New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. Jon Tester in Senate Race</b></span></span></span><br><br><b><i>Former President Donald Trump leads Vice President Harris by 15 points among voters overall and by 23 points among voters over 50</i></b><br><br><b>Helena, Mont., Sep. 05, 2024</b> — Today, AARP Montana released a 2024 statewide <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/MTpolling" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">election survey</a></span></span> revealing that candidates for president, U.S. Senate, and state races should pay close attention to Montanans ages 50 and older, who make up an outsized portion of the electorate. In the 2020 elections, older voters accounted for 56% of all Montana voters and in the 2022 mid-terms, they made up 65% of the state’s voters. Ninety-two percent of voters ages 50 and older say they are “extremely motivated” to cast a ballot in November, compared with 77% of voters ages 18-49 saying the same.<br><br>In the U.S. Senate race, Tim Sheehy (R) leads Senator Jon Tester (D) by 49% - 41% on the full ballot, with 5% of voters supporting a third-party candidate and 4% undecided; Sheehy’s lead widens among older voters, 55% to 39%. In the head-to-head ballot, Sheehy leads Tester among voters overall, 51% - 45% and even more among older voters, 57% - 40%. <br><br>“Voters over age 50 are the biggest and most enthusiastic voting bloc this election, and their votes will make a difference in the U.S. Senate race,” said Tim Summers, State Director, AARP Montana. “The candidate who wants to win in November should focus on the issues older voters care about most, from protecting Social Security and Medicare to supporting family caregivers.” <br><br>In the presidential contest, former President Donald Trump (R) holds a strong lead over Vice President Harris (D) among voters overall, 56% - 41%, and among voters 50 and older, 60% - 37%. <br><br>On the issues, 78% of voters ages 50 and older say that candidate positions on Social Security are very important to making their decision in November, followed by Medicare (71%), the cost of housing (62%), and policies that help seniors live independently at home (61%). And the vast majority (79%) of older Montanans prefer a member of Congress who wants Medicare to continue negotiating for lower prescription drug prices. <br><br>Other key takeaways from the poll <b>among voters 50 and older</b> include:<br></p><ul><li>Ninety-five percent of Montana voters 50+ support the state legislature providing lasting property tax relief that would make it easier for older Montanans to remain in their homes as they age.</li><li>Three quarters of Montana voters 50+ favor renewing the Medicaid expansion program before it ends next June. This includes support from 64% of Republicans 50+.</li><li>Seventy-four percent also support Montana funding a state tax credit to help with out of pocket expenses for unpaid family caregivers taking care of aging loved ones.</li><li>Immigration and border security (40%) is the most important issue when deciding who to vote for in November, followed by inflation and rising prices (24%), and the economy and jobs (23%).</li><li>A majority (56%) say Social Security is or will be a major source of their income.</li><li>Twenty-five percent of older voters identify as family caregivers, with 29% of older women and 28% of rural residents over 50 saying the same. Older caregivers make up 14% of Montana’s electorate and support Sheehy over Tester by 17 points.</li><li>Sixty-one percent of older voters are worried about their personal financial situation, which is reflected in the issues that these voters care about: 53% rank personal economic issues as the most important issues in the election.</li><li>Twenty-five percent of voters over 50 are not straight ticket voters; Senator Tester leads narrowly among both these older swing and independent voters.</li></ul><p>AARP commissioned the bipartisan polling team of Fabrizio Ward (R) and David Binder Research (D) to conduct a survey of voters in Montana. The firms interviewed 1,064 likely voters, which includes a statewide representative sample of 600 likely voters, an oversample of 464 likely voters ages 50 and older. The survey was done between August 25-29, 2024. The interviews were conducted via live interviewer on landline (25%) and cellphone (35%), as well as SMS-to-web (40%). The sample was randomly drawn from the Montana voter list. The margin of sampling error at the 95% confidence level for the 600 statewide sample is ±4.0%; for the 800 total sample of voters 50+ is ±3.5%. <br><br>View the full survey results at <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/MTpolling" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">aarp.org/MTpolling</a></span></span> and find all of our state battleground polls at <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="https://www.aarp.org/voterpolls24" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">aarp.org/voterpolls24</a></span></span>. Read AARP’s coverage of the poll <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/MTpollresults" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">here</a></span></span>. <br><br>For more information on how, when, and where to vote in Montana, visit <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/mtvotes" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">aarp.org/MTvotes</a></span></span>.<br></p><p class="cms-textAlign-center"></p><p><b><u>Also of interest:</u></b><br></p><ul><li><span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="https://www.aarp.org/politics-society/government-elections/info-2024/montana-election-poll.html?cmp=RDRCT-MTPOLLRESULTS-09052024" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">AARP Poll: GOP Challenger Leads in Pivotal Montana U.S. Senate Race: Spotlight is on contest that could decide which party controls the Senate</a></span></span><br><br><b><u>📢)) </u></b><span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/d7/7b/1130dc614eb3a30c4699bba5b59d/voicesofmontanaseg1-friday.mp3" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer"><b><u>Listen to the Voices of Montana Segment - Q &A with the Pollsters 9/6/2024</u></b></a></span></span></li></ul><div class="Enhancement" > <div class="Enhancement-item"><figure class="Figure" data-alignment="left"> <img src="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/e8/2d/15d240f34cf9a0ee714c16570400/icon-voices-of-montana-poll.png" alt="Icon Voices of Montana - Poll.png" width="960" height="960" style="height: auto; max-width: 200px;"/> </figure> </div> </div><div class="Enhancement" > <div class="Enhancement-item"><audio controls> <source src="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/d7/7b/1130dc614eb3a30c4699bba5b59d/voicesofmontanaseg1-friday.mp3" type="audio/mpeg"> Your browser does not support the audio element. </audio></div> </div><p></p></div> </div> </p></span> </div> </div> <p><i>This story is provided by AARP Montana. Visit the <a href="https://states.aarp.org/region/montana/" target="_blank">AARP Montana</a> page for more news, events, and programs affecting retirement, health care, and more.</i></p> </div> </div><div class="module clearfix"><script src="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/resource/00000168-dd17-d487-a96e-df5fe3ee0000/styleguide/All.min.c85a242a55150cd195e494cd6e5b9c77.gz.js" async=""></script> <link rel="stylesheet" media="all" href="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/resource/00000168-dd17-d487-a96e-df5fe3ee0000/styleguide/All.min.bfe6eb5a8301841feef3af4e9bd1e26d.gz.css"> <!-- bypass --> <style> a:focus, a:hover { text-decoration: underline; } h1.article-headline { margin: 0 0 1rem; } </style> <!-- <style> .Enhancement-item .Figure { margin-bottom: 24px; } .RichTextArticleBody-body ul { margin-bottom: 24px; } .RichTextArticleBody-body p{ margin: 12px 0; } .RichTextModule-items { clear: both; display: table; width: 100%; margin-bottom: 12px; } .VideoEnhancement>* { color: var(--primaryTextColor); font-size: 13px; font-weight: 400; line-height: 1.4; font-style: italic; background: #f0efed } @media only screen and (min-width: 768px) { .VideoEnhancement>* { font-size:14px; font-weight: 400; line-height: 1.47 } } .VideoEnhancement-title { padding: 20px } @media only screen and (min-width: 768px) { .VideoEnhancement-title { padding:30px } } .VideoEnhancement-player>* { position: relative; width: 100%; height: 0; padding-bottom: 56.25% } .VideoEnhancement iframe { border: 0; position: absolute; top: 0; left: 0; width: 100%; height: 100% } [data-video-player] { display: block; padding-bottom: 56.25%; height: 0; margin: 0 auto; } [data-video-player][data-aspect-ratio="4x3"] { padding-bottom: 56.25%; } [data-video-player][data-aspect-ratio="16x9"] { padding-bottom: 56.25% } </style> --></div><div class="module clearfix"><div class="module-spacer tout-homefit-750"> <a data-formelementid="CSN-LOCAL-HC-NEWSSK-02272024" href="/james-city-pa/home-and-community/?intcmp=CSN-LOCAL-HC-NEWSSK-02272024"><img class="img-responsive" alt="Explore the free AARP HomeFit Guide" title="Explore the free AARP HomeFit Guide" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/touts/HomeFit_750x150.png"></a> </div></div></div> <div class="col-md-4 right-rail thin-rhs"><div class="module clearfix"><!--default--> <!-- module_RHS - AARP Events --> <pre class="cake-error"><a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74a511-trace').style.display = (document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74a511-trace').style.display == 'none' ? 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Controller::invokeAction() - CORE/Cake/Controller/Controller.php, line 491 Dispatcher::_invoke() - CORE/Cake/Routing/Dispatcher.php, line 193 Dispatcher::dispatch() - CORE/Cake/Routing/Dispatcher.php, line 167</pre></div></pre><style type="text/css"> .recommenationSection {font-family: Lato, sans-serif} .recommendationSection h3 {font-size:30px!important; text-transform:none; letter-spacing:0.03em} .recommendationSection .js-mvc-offer-recommended-article-pack-category {color:#dd1200; font-family:Lato, sans-serif; font-size:15px; font-weight:700; text-transform:uppercase; margin:0} .recommendationSection h4 a {color:#121212; font-size:20px; font-weight:700} .recommendationSection .uxdia-c-featured-tile__content-wrapper {padding: 0 0 .5em 0; margin-bottom: 1.25em; border-bottom: 1px solid #000} </style> <div aria-hidden="true" class="aarpe-ad-wrapper"> <div class="aarpe-ad en clearfix" id="300x250_53475" data-adsize="300x250"> <script type="text/javascript"> if(typeof AARP.ads !== 'undefined'){ AARP.ads.slots({ id:'300x250_53475', size:'300x250'}); } </script> </div> </div> <div class="card-tout card-dark membership-tout" style="margin:0 0 30px 0;"> <img class="img-responsive image" title="image of two AARP membership cards" alt="image of two AARP membership cards" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/tout-two-cards.png"> <div class="title">Only $12 your first year with Automatic Renewal</div> <ul class="list"> <li>Immediate access to your <a href="https://www.aarp.org/benefits-discounts/">member benefits</a></li> <li>Discounts on travel and everyday savings</li> <li>Subscription to AARP The Magazine</li> <li>FREE second membership</li> </ul> <div class="action"> <a class="btn" href="https://appsec.aarp.org/mem/join?campaignid=UAJFT3&intcmp=LNK-CSN-AARPLOCAL-JRTOUT-RR-A-JAMESCITY-PA">Join AARP</a> <div class="body">Already a member? <a href="https://appsec.aarp.org/mem/renew?campaignid= UARFT3&intcmp=LNK-CSN-AARPLOCAL-JRTOUT-RR-A-JAMESCITY-PA">Renew</a> or <a href="https://www.aarp.org/benefits-discounts/my-membership/print-your-card/">Print Card</a></div> </div> </div> <style> .membership-tout {padding:16px 20px;} .membership-tout .list li { margin: 0; } </style> <div aria-hidden="true" class="aarpe-ad-wrapper"> <div class="aarpe-ad en clearfix" id="300x250_93505" data-adsize="300x250"> <script type="text/javascript"> if(typeof AARP.ads !== 'undefined'){ AARP.ads.slots({ id:'300x250_93505', size:'300x250'}); } </script> </div> </div> <div class="module-spacer text-center"> <div class="fb-page" alt="Image of AARP Pennsylvania Facebook Page" title="Image of AARP Pennsylvania Facebook Page" data-href="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA" data-tabs="timeline" width="320" height="" data-small-header="false" data-adapt-container-width="true" data-hide-cover="false" data-show-facepile="true" lazy="true"> <blockquote cite="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA" class="fb-xfbml-parse-ignore"><a href="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA">Facebook</a></blockquote> </div> </div> <div class="ar-basic-box module-spacer"> <header> <h2>Contact AARP<br />Pennsylvania</h2> </header> <div class="wrap"> <div class="ar-quick-list module-spacer"> <ul class="list-unstyled"> <li><i class="list-icon fa fa-envelope" alt="Email icon" title="Email icon" aria-hidden="true"></i><a href="mailto:PAAARP@aarp.org" target="_blank" rel="noopener">PAAARP@aarp.org</a></li> <li><i class="list-icon fa fa-globe" alt="Globe icon" title="Globe icon" aria-hidden="true"></i><a href="https://states.aarp.org/region/pennsylvania/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AARP Pennsylvania</a></li> <li><i class="list-icon fa fa-map-marker" alt="Map Marker icon" title="Map Marker icon" aria-hidden="true"></i><a href="https://states.aarp.org/your-local-aarp-office/?intcmp=SNG-LNK-AARPLOCAL-CONTACT-20140101-JAMESCITY-PA" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Contact Us</a></li> </ul> </div> <a href="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA" target="_blank" rel="noopener" aria-label="Open Facebook"><img alt="Facebook icon" title="Facebook icon" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/responsive/icons/48/facebook-dreamstale25.png"></a> <a href="https://twitter.com/AARPPA" target="_blank" rel="noopener" aria-label="Open Twitter"><img alt="Twitter icon" title="Twitter icon" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/responsive/icons/48/x-logo-black.png"></a> </div> </div> </div></div> <div class="col-md-8 left-rail left-bot"></div> <div class="col-md-4 right-rail right-bot thin-rhs"></div> </div> <div class="row oneColumnLayout"> </div> <div class="row oneColumnLayout"> <div class="col-md-12"><!-- script to activate navbar --> <script type="text/javascript"> jQuery(".channelBarMain ul.left li a").click(function() { window.location = jQuery(this).attr('href'); }); </script> </div> </div> ' $scripts_for_layout = '<title>New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. 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$viewFile = '/var/www/vhosts/vcc_staging/app/View/Layouts/aarp_2023.ctp' $dataForView = array( 'content_for_layout' => '<div class="row twoColumnLayout"> <div class="col-md-8 left-rail"><div class="module clearfix"><div class="ar-basic-box"> <div> <div class="module-spacer"> <header><h1 class="article-headline">New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. Jon Tester in Senate Race</h1></header> <div class="posted-on"> Posted on 09/05/24 </div> </div> <div class="module-spacer"> <span class="blog-content"><p><div class="RichTextArticleBody"> <div class="RichTextArticleBody-body"><p><b>For Immediate Release: Sept. 5, 2024</b><br><br><b>Contact:</b> Stacia Dahl | sdahl@aarp.org | 406-457-4704<br><br><span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><span class="Link"><b>New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. Jon Tester in Senate Race</b></span></span></span><br><br><b><i>Former President Donald Trump leads Vice President Harris by 15 points among voters overall and by 23 points among voters over 50</i></b><br><br><b>Helena, Mont., Sep. 05, 2024</b> — Today, AARP Montana released a 2024 statewide <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/MTpolling" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">election survey</a></span></span> revealing that candidates for president, U.S. Senate, and state races should pay close attention to Montanans ages 50 and older, who make up an outsized portion of the electorate. In the 2020 elections, older voters accounted for 56% of all Montana voters and in the 2022 mid-terms, they made up 65% of the state’s voters. Ninety-two percent of voters ages 50 and older say they are “extremely motivated” to cast a ballot in November, compared with 77% of voters ages 18-49 saying the same.<br><br>In the U.S. Senate race, Tim Sheehy (R) leads Senator Jon Tester (D) by 49% - 41% on the full ballot, with 5% of voters supporting a third-party candidate and 4% undecided; Sheehy’s lead widens among older voters, 55% to 39%. In the head-to-head ballot, Sheehy leads Tester among voters overall, 51% - 45% and even more among older voters, 57% - 40%. <br><br>“Voters over age 50 are the biggest and most enthusiastic voting bloc this election, and their votes will make a difference in the U.S. Senate race,” said Tim Summers, State Director, AARP Montana. “The candidate who wants to win in November should focus on the issues older voters care about most, from protecting Social Security and Medicare to supporting family caregivers.” <br><br>In the presidential contest, former President Donald Trump (R) holds a strong lead over Vice President Harris (D) among voters overall, 56% - 41%, and among voters 50 and older, 60% - 37%. <br><br>On the issues, 78% of voters ages 50 and older say that candidate positions on Social Security are very important to making their decision in November, followed by Medicare (71%), the cost of housing (62%), and policies that help seniors live independently at home (61%). And the vast majority (79%) of older Montanans prefer a member of Congress who wants Medicare to continue negotiating for lower prescription drug prices. <br><br>Other key takeaways from the poll <b>among voters 50 and older</b> include:<br></p><ul><li>Ninety-five percent of Montana voters 50+ support the state legislature providing lasting property tax relief that would make it easier for older Montanans to remain in their homes as they age.</li><li>Three quarters of Montana voters 50+ favor renewing the Medicaid expansion program before it ends next June. This includes support from 64% of Republicans 50+.</li><li>Seventy-four percent also support Montana funding a state tax credit to help with out of pocket expenses for unpaid family caregivers taking care of aging loved ones.</li><li>Immigration and border security (40%) is the most important issue when deciding who to vote for in November, followed by inflation and rising prices (24%), and the economy and jobs (23%).</li><li>A majority (56%) say Social Security is or will be a major source of their income.</li><li>Twenty-five percent of older voters identify as family caregivers, with 29% of older women and 28% of rural residents over 50 saying the same. Older caregivers make up 14% of Montana’s electorate and support Sheehy over Tester by 17 points.</li><li>Sixty-one percent of older voters are worried about their personal financial situation, which is reflected in the issues that these voters care about: 53% rank personal economic issues as the most important issues in the election.</li><li>Twenty-five percent of voters over 50 are not straight ticket voters; Senator Tester leads narrowly among both these older swing and independent voters.</li></ul><p>AARP commissioned the bipartisan polling team of Fabrizio Ward (R) and David Binder Research (D) to conduct a survey of voters in Montana. The firms interviewed 1,064 likely voters, which includes a statewide representative sample of 600 likely voters, an oversample of 464 likely voters ages 50 and older. The survey was done between August 25-29, 2024. The interviews were conducted via live interviewer on landline (25%) and cellphone (35%), as well as SMS-to-web (40%). The sample was randomly drawn from the Montana voter list. The margin of sampling error at the 95% confidence level for the 600 statewide sample is ±4.0%; for the 800 total sample of voters 50+ is ±3.5%. <br><br>View the full survey results at <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/MTpolling" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">aarp.org/MTpolling</a></span></span> and find all of our state battleground polls at <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="https://www.aarp.org/voterpolls24" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">aarp.org/voterpolls24</a></span></span>. Read AARP’s coverage of the poll <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/MTpollresults" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">here</a></span></span>. <br><br>For more information on how, when, and where to vote in Montana, visit <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/mtvotes" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">aarp.org/MTvotes</a></span></span>.<br></p><p class="cms-textAlign-center"></p><p><b><u>Also of interest:</u></b><br></p><ul><li><span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="https://www.aarp.org/politics-society/government-elections/info-2024/montana-election-poll.html?cmp=RDRCT-MTPOLLRESULTS-09052024" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">AARP Poll: GOP Challenger Leads in Pivotal Montana U.S. Senate Race: Spotlight is on contest that could decide which party controls the Senate</a></span></span><br><br><b><u>📢)) </u></b><span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/d7/7b/1130dc614eb3a30c4699bba5b59d/voicesofmontanaseg1-friday.mp3" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer"><b><u>Listen to the Voices of Montana Segment - Q &A with the Pollsters 9/6/2024</u></b></a></span></span></li></ul><div class="Enhancement" > <div class="Enhancement-item"><figure class="Figure" data-alignment="left"> <img src="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/e8/2d/15d240f34cf9a0ee714c16570400/icon-voices-of-montana-poll.png" alt="Icon Voices of Montana - Poll.png" width="960" height="960" style="height: auto; max-width: 200px;"/> </figure> </div> </div><div class="Enhancement" > <div class="Enhancement-item"><audio controls> <source src="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/d7/7b/1130dc614eb3a30c4699bba5b59d/voicesofmontanaseg1-friday.mp3" type="audio/mpeg"> Your browser does not support the audio element. </audio></div> </div><p></p></div> </div> </p></span> </div> </div> <p><i>This story is provided by AARP Montana. Visit the <a href="https://states.aarp.org/region/montana/" target="_blank">AARP Montana</a> page for more news, events, and programs affecting retirement, health care, and more.</i></p> </div> </div><div class="module clearfix"><script src="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/resource/00000168-dd17-d487-a96e-df5fe3ee0000/styleguide/All.min.c85a242a55150cd195e494cd6e5b9c77.gz.js" async=""></script> <link rel="stylesheet" media="all" href="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/resource/00000168-dd17-d487-a96e-df5fe3ee0000/styleguide/All.min.bfe6eb5a8301841feef3af4e9bd1e26d.gz.css"> <!-- bypass --> <style> a:focus, a:hover { text-decoration: underline; } h1.article-headline { margin: 0 0 1rem; } </style> <!-- <style> .Enhancement-item .Figure { margin-bottom: 24px; } .RichTextArticleBody-body ul { margin-bottom: 24px; } .RichTextArticleBody-body p{ margin: 12px 0; } .RichTextModule-items { clear: both; display: table; width: 100%; margin-bottom: 12px; } .VideoEnhancement>* { color: var(--primaryTextColor); font-size: 13px; font-weight: 400; line-height: 1.4; font-style: italic; background: #f0efed } @media only screen and (min-width: 768px) { .VideoEnhancement>* { font-size:14px; font-weight: 400; line-height: 1.47 } } .VideoEnhancement-title { padding: 20px } @media only screen and (min-width: 768px) { .VideoEnhancement-title { padding:30px } } .VideoEnhancement-player>* { position: relative; width: 100%; height: 0; padding-bottom: 56.25% } .VideoEnhancement iframe { border: 0; position: absolute; top: 0; left: 0; width: 100%; height: 100% } [data-video-player] { display: block; padding-bottom: 56.25%; height: 0; margin: 0 auto; } [data-video-player][data-aspect-ratio="4x3"] { padding-bottom: 56.25%; } [data-video-player][data-aspect-ratio="16x9"] { padding-bottom: 56.25% } </style> --></div><div class="module clearfix"><div class="module-spacer tout-homefit-750"> <a data-formelementid="CSN-LOCAL-HC-NEWSSK-02272024" href="/james-city-pa/home-and-community/?intcmp=CSN-LOCAL-HC-NEWSSK-02272024"><img class="img-responsive" alt="Explore the free AARP HomeFit Guide" title="Explore the free AARP HomeFit Guide" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/touts/HomeFit_750x150.png"></a> </div></div></div> <div class="col-md-4 right-rail thin-rhs"><div class="module clearfix"><!--default--> <!-- module_RHS - AARP Events --> <pre class="cake-error"><a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74a511-trace').style.display = (document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74a511-trace').style.display == 'none' ? 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'' : 'none')">Context</a><pre id="cakeErr66e7cfd74bcdc-context" class="cake-context" style="display: none;">$module = array( '_id' => '66158db0e9dff2b1fd9cafcd', 'module_id' => '1098', 'name' => 'RHS - Events Experience', 'type' => 'php', 'data' => '<?php include(APP . 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Controller::invokeAction() - CORE/Cake/Controller/Controller.php, line 491 Dispatcher::_invoke() - CORE/Cake/Routing/Dispatcher.php, line 193 Dispatcher::dispatch() - CORE/Cake/Routing/Dispatcher.php, line 167</pre></div></pre><style type="text/css"> .recommenationSection {font-family: Lato, sans-serif} .recommendationSection h3 {font-size:30px!important; text-transform:none; letter-spacing:0.03em} .recommendationSection .js-mvc-offer-recommended-article-pack-category {color:#dd1200; font-family:Lato, sans-serif; font-size:15px; font-weight:700; text-transform:uppercase; margin:0} .recommendationSection h4 a {color:#121212; font-size:20px; font-weight:700} .recommendationSection .uxdia-c-featured-tile__content-wrapper {padding: 0 0 .5em 0; margin-bottom: 1.25em; border-bottom: 1px solid #000} </style> <div aria-hidden="true" class="aarpe-ad-wrapper"> <div class="aarpe-ad en clearfix" id="300x250_53475" data-adsize="300x250"> <script type="text/javascript"> if(typeof AARP.ads !== 'undefined'){ AARP.ads.slots({ id:'300x250_53475', size:'300x250'}); } </script> </div> </div> <div class="card-tout card-dark membership-tout" style="margin:0 0 30px 0;"> <img class="img-responsive image" title="image of two AARP membership cards" alt="image of two AARP membership cards" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/tout-two-cards.png"> <div class="title">Only $12 your first year with Automatic Renewal</div> <ul class="list"> <li>Immediate access to your <a href="https://www.aarp.org/benefits-discounts/">member benefits</a></li> <li>Discounts on travel and everyday savings</li> <li>Subscription to AARP The Magazine</li> <li>FREE second membership</li> </ul> <div class="action"> <a class="btn" href="https://appsec.aarp.org/mem/join?campaignid=UAJFT3&intcmp=LNK-CSN-AARPLOCAL-JRTOUT-RR-A-JAMESCITY-PA">Join AARP</a> <div class="body">Already a member? <a href="https://appsec.aarp.org/mem/renew?campaignid= UARFT3&intcmp=LNK-CSN-AARPLOCAL-JRTOUT-RR-A-JAMESCITY-PA">Renew</a> or <a href="https://www.aarp.org/benefits-discounts/my-membership/print-your-card/">Print Card</a></div> </div> </div> <style> .membership-tout {padding:16px 20px;} .membership-tout .list li { margin: 0; } </style> <div aria-hidden="true" class="aarpe-ad-wrapper"> <div class="aarpe-ad en clearfix" id="300x250_93505" data-adsize="300x250"> <script type="text/javascript"> if(typeof AARP.ads !== 'undefined'){ AARP.ads.slots({ id:'300x250_93505', size:'300x250'}); } </script> </div> </div> <div class="module-spacer text-center"> <div class="fb-page" alt="Image of AARP Pennsylvania Facebook Page" title="Image of AARP Pennsylvania Facebook Page" data-href="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA" data-tabs="timeline" width="320" height="" data-small-header="false" data-adapt-container-width="true" data-hide-cover="false" data-show-facepile="true" lazy="true"> <blockquote cite="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA" class="fb-xfbml-parse-ignore"><a href="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA">Facebook</a></blockquote> </div> </div> <div class="ar-basic-box module-spacer"> <header> <h2>Contact AARP<br />Pennsylvania</h2> </header> <div class="wrap"> <div class="ar-quick-list module-spacer"> <ul class="list-unstyled"> <li><i class="list-icon fa fa-envelope" alt="Email icon" title="Email icon" aria-hidden="true"></i><a href="mailto:PAAARP@aarp.org" target="_blank" rel="noopener">PAAARP@aarp.org</a></li> <li><i class="list-icon fa fa-globe" alt="Globe icon" title="Globe icon" aria-hidden="true"></i><a href="https://states.aarp.org/region/pennsylvania/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AARP Pennsylvania</a></li> <li><i class="list-icon fa fa-map-marker" alt="Map Marker icon" title="Map Marker icon" aria-hidden="true"></i><a href="https://states.aarp.org/your-local-aarp-office/?intcmp=SNG-LNK-AARPLOCAL-CONTACT-20140101-JAMESCITY-PA" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Contact Us</a></li> </ul> </div> <a href="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA" target="_blank" rel="noopener" aria-label="Open Facebook"><img alt="Facebook icon" title="Facebook icon" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/responsive/icons/48/facebook-dreamstale25.png"></a> <a href="https://twitter.com/AARPPA" target="_blank" rel="noopener" aria-label="Open Twitter"><img alt="Twitter icon" title="Twitter icon" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/responsive/icons/48/x-logo-black.png"></a> </div> </div> </div></div> <div class="col-md-8 left-rail left-bot"></div> <div class="col-md-4 right-rail right-bot thin-rhs"></div> </div> <div class="row oneColumnLayout"> </div> <div class="row oneColumnLayout"> <div class="col-md-12"><!-- script to activate navbar --> <script type="text/javascript"> jQuery(".channelBarMain ul.left li a").click(function() { window.location = jQuery(this).attr('href'); }); </script> </div> </div> ', 'scripts_for_layout' => '<title>New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. Jon Tester in Senate Race</title> <meta name="page_title" content="New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. Jon Tester in Senate Race"/> <meta name="robots" content="noindex, nofollow"/> <meta content="For Immediate Release: Sept. 5, 2024Contact: Stacia Dahl | sdahl@aarp.org | 406-457-4704New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. Jon Tester in Senate" name="description"/> <meta content="New, AARP, Montana, Poll, Tim, Sheehy, Leads, Sen, Jon, Tester, in, Senate, Race" name="keywords"/> <link rel="canonical" href="https://states.aarp.org/montana/mtpoll" /> <meta property="og:url" content="https://vccstaging.local.aarp.org/news/new-aarp-montana-poll-tim-sheehy-leads-sen-jon-tester-in-senate-race-mt-2024-09-05.html"/> <meta name="twitter:card" content="summary_large_image"/> <meta name="twitter:title" content="New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. 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Jon Tester in Senate Race"/> <meta property="og:description" content="For Immediate Release: Sept. 5, 2024"/> <meta property="og:image" content="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/dims4/default/7f41879/2147483647/strip/true/crop/1019x655+61+0/resize/420x270!/quality/90/?url=http%3A%2F%2Faarp-brightspot.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fstates%2Fc6%2F3f%2Fbc2cc85240349193e041f5e25380%2Fmontana-issues.png"/> :root { --primaryColor: #ff1e3c; --primaryTextColor: #2a2a2a; --linkTextColor: #1f66bd; --linkHoverColor: #1f66bd; --secondaryTextColor: #000000; --secondaryColor2: #000000; --secondaryColor3: #000000; --secondaryColor4: #000000; --secondaryColor5: #000000; --black: #000000; --white: #ffffff; --grey: #f0efed; --gridGutters: 30px; --modulePadding: 60px; --pageWidth: 86.11%; --maxPageWidth: 1240px; --horizontalAlignment: center; --fontFamily: 'Roboto', sans-serif; --headerBackgroundColor:#000000; --headerTextColor:#FFFFFF; --headerHeight:50px; --footerbackgroundColor:#000000; --footerTextColor:#918883; }', 'title_for_layout' => '{local_city_c}, {local_state} Happenings - AARP' ) $content_for_layout = '<div class="row twoColumnLayout"> <div class="col-md-8 left-rail"><div class="module clearfix"><div class="ar-basic-box"> <div> <div class="module-spacer"> <header><h1 class="article-headline">New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. Jon Tester in Senate Race</h1></header> <div class="posted-on"> Posted on 09/05/24 </div> </div> <div class="module-spacer"> <span class="blog-content"><p><div class="RichTextArticleBody"> <div class="RichTextArticleBody-body"><p><b>For Immediate Release: Sept. 5, 2024</b><br><br><b>Contact:</b> Stacia Dahl | sdahl@aarp.org | 406-457-4704<br><br><span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><span class="Link"><b>New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. Jon Tester in Senate Race</b></span></span></span><br><br><b><i>Former President Donald Trump leads Vice President Harris by 15 points among voters overall and by 23 points among voters over 50</i></b><br><br><b>Helena, Mont., Sep. 05, 2024</b> — Today, AARP Montana released a 2024 statewide <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/MTpolling" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">election survey</a></span></span> revealing that candidates for president, U.S. Senate, and state races should pay close attention to Montanans ages 50 and older, who make up an outsized portion of the electorate. In the 2020 elections, older voters accounted for 56% of all Montana voters and in the 2022 mid-terms, they made up 65% of the state’s voters. Ninety-two percent of voters ages 50 and older say they are “extremely motivated” to cast a ballot in November, compared with 77% of voters ages 18-49 saying the same.<br><br>In the U.S. Senate race, Tim Sheehy (R) leads Senator Jon Tester (D) by 49% - 41% on the full ballot, with 5% of voters supporting a third-party candidate and 4% undecided; Sheehy’s lead widens among older voters, 55% to 39%. In the head-to-head ballot, Sheehy leads Tester among voters overall, 51% - 45% and even more among older voters, 57% - 40%. <br><br>“Voters over age 50 are the biggest and most enthusiastic voting bloc this election, and their votes will make a difference in the U.S. Senate race,” said Tim Summers, State Director, AARP Montana. “The candidate who wants to win in November should focus on the issues older voters care about most, from protecting Social Security and Medicare to supporting family caregivers.” <br><br>In the presidential contest, former President Donald Trump (R) holds a strong lead over Vice President Harris (D) among voters overall, 56% - 41%, and among voters 50 and older, 60% - 37%. <br><br>On the issues, 78% of voters ages 50 and older say that candidate positions on Social Security are very important to making their decision in November, followed by Medicare (71%), the cost of housing (62%), and policies that help seniors live independently at home (61%). And the vast majority (79%) of older Montanans prefer a member of Congress who wants Medicare to continue negotiating for lower prescription drug prices. <br><br>Other key takeaways from the poll <b>among voters 50 and older</b> include:<br></p><ul><li>Ninety-five percent of Montana voters 50+ support the state legislature providing lasting property tax relief that would make it easier for older Montanans to remain in their homes as they age.</li><li>Three quarters of Montana voters 50+ favor renewing the Medicaid expansion program before it ends next June. This includes support from 64% of Republicans 50+.</li><li>Seventy-four percent also support Montana funding a state tax credit to help with out of pocket expenses for unpaid family caregivers taking care of aging loved ones.</li><li>Immigration and border security (40%) is the most important issue when deciding who to vote for in November, followed by inflation and rising prices (24%), and the economy and jobs (23%).</li><li>A majority (56%) say Social Security is or will be a major source of their income.</li><li>Twenty-five percent of older voters identify as family caregivers, with 29% of older women and 28% of rural residents over 50 saying the same. Older caregivers make up 14% of Montana’s electorate and support Sheehy over Tester by 17 points.</li><li>Sixty-one percent of older voters are worried about their personal financial situation, which is reflected in the issues that these voters care about: 53% rank personal economic issues as the most important issues in the election.</li><li>Twenty-five percent of voters over 50 are not straight ticket voters; Senator Tester leads narrowly among both these older swing and independent voters.</li></ul><p>AARP commissioned the bipartisan polling team of Fabrizio Ward (R) and David Binder Research (D) to conduct a survey of voters in Montana. The firms interviewed 1,064 likely voters, which includes a statewide representative sample of 600 likely voters, an oversample of 464 likely voters ages 50 and older. The survey was done between August 25-29, 2024. The interviews were conducted via live interviewer on landline (25%) and cellphone (35%), as well as SMS-to-web (40%). The sample was randomly drawn from the Montana voter list. The margin of sampling error at the 95% confidence level for the 600 statewide sample is ±4.0%; for the 800 total sample of voters 50+ is ±3.5%. <br><br>View the full survey results at <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/MTpolling" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">aarp.org/MTpolling</a></span></span> and find all of our state battleground polls at <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="https://www.aarp.org/voterpolls24" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">aarp.org/voterpolls24</a></span></span>. Read AARP’s coverage of the poll <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/MTpollresults" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">here</a></span></span>. <br><br>For more information on how, when, and where to vote in Montana, visit <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/mtvotes" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">aarp.org/MTvotes</a></span></span>.<br></p><p class="cms-textAlign-center"></p><p><b><u>Also of interest:</u></b><br></p><ul><li><span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="https://www.aarp.org/politics-society/government-elections/info-2024/montana-election-poll.html?cmp=RDRCT-MTPOLLRESULTS-09052024" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">AARP Poll: GOP Challenger Leads in Pivotal Montana U.S. Senate Race: Spotlight is on contest that could decide which party controls the Senate</a></span></span><br><br><b><u>📢)) </u></b><span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/d7/7b/1130dc614eb3a30c4699bba5b59d/voicesofmontanaseg1-friday.mp3" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer"><b><u>Listen to the Voices of Montana Segment - Q &A with the Pollsters 9/6/2024</u></b></a></span></span></li></ul><div class="Enhancement" > <div class="Enhancement-item"><figure class="Figure" data-alignment="left"> <img src="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/e8/2d/15d240f34cf9a0ee714c16570400/icon-voices-of-montana-poll.png" alt="Icon Voices of Montana - Poll.png" width="960" height="960" style="height: auto; max-width: 200px;"/> </figure> </div> </div><div class="Enhancement" > <div class="Enhancement-item"><audio controls> <source src="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/d7/7b/1130dc614eb3a30c4699bba5b59d/voicesofmontanaseg1-friday.mp3" type="audio/mpeg"> Your browser does not support the audio element. </audio></div> </div><p></p></div> </div> </p></span> </div> </div> <p><i>This story is provided by AARP Montana. Visit the <a href="https://states.aarp.org/region/montana/" target="_blank">AARP Montana</a> page for more news, events, and programs affecting retirement, health care, and more.</i></p> </div> </div><div class="module clearfix"><script src="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/resource/00000168-dd17-d487-a96e-df5fe3ee0000/styleguide/All.min.c85a242a55150cd195e494cd6e5b9c77.gz.js" async=""></script> <link rel="stylesheet" media="all" href="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/resource/00000168-dd17-d487-a96e-df5fe3ee0000/styleguide/All.min.bfe6eb5a8301841feef3af4e9bd1e26d.gz.css"> <!-- bypass --> <style> a:focus, a:hover { text-decoration: underline; } h1.article-headline { margin: 0 0 1rem; } </style> <!-- <style> .Enhancement-item .Figure { margin-bottom: 24px; } .RichTextArticleBody-body ul { margin-bottom: 24px; } .RichTextArticleBody-body p{ margin: 12px 0; } .RichTextModule-items { clear: both; display: table; width: 100%; margin-bottom: 12px; } .VideoEnhancement>* { color: var(--primaryTextColor); font-size: 13px; font-weight: 400; line-height: 1.4; font-style: italic; background: #f0efed } @media only screen and (min-width: 768px) { .VideoEnhancement>* { font-size:14px; font-weight: 400; line-height: 1.47 } } .VideoEnhancement-title { padding: 20px } @media only screen and (min-width: 768px) { .VideoEnhancement-title { padding:30px } } .VideoEnhancement-player>* { position: relative; width: 100%; height: 0; padding-bottom: 56.25% } .VideoEnhancement iframe { border: 0; position: absolute; top: 0; left: 0; width: 100%; height: 100% } [data-video-player] { display: block; padding-bottom: 56.25%; height: 0; margin: 0 auto; } [data-video-player][data-aspect-ratio="4x3"] { padding-bottom: 56.25%; } [data-video-player][data-aspect-ratio="16x9"] { padding-bottom: 56.25% } </style> --></div><div class="module clearfix"><div class="module-spacer tout-homefit-750"> <a data-formelementid="CSN-LOCAL-HC-NEWSSK-02272024" href="/james-city-pa/home-and-community/?intcmp=CSN-LOCAL-HC-NEWSSK-02272024"><img class="img-responsive" alt="Explore the free AARP HomeFit Guide" title="Explore the free AARP HomeFit Guide" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/touts/HomeFit_750x150.png"></a> </div></div></div> <div class="col-md-4 right-rail thin-rhs"><div class="module clearfix"><!--default--> <!-- module_RHS - AARP Events --> <pre class="cake-error"><a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74a511-trace').style.display = (document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74a511-trace').style.display == 'none' ? '' : 'none');"><b>Warning</b> (2)</a>: include(/var/www/vhosts/vcc_staging/app//Resource/experience.master.resource.root.html): failed to open stream: No such file or directory [<b>APP/Lib/Modules.php(13) : eval()'d code</b>, line <b>1</b>]<div id="cakeErr66e7cfd74a511-trace" class="cake-stack-trace" style="display: none;"><a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74a511-code').style.display = (document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74a511-code').style.display == 'none' ? '' : 'none')">Code</a> <a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74a511-context').style.display = (document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74a511-context').style.display == 'none' ? '' : 'none')">Context</a><pre id="cakeErr66e7cfd74a511-context" class="cake-context" style="display: none;">$module = array( '_id' => '66158db0e9dff2b1fd9cafcd', 'module_id' => '1098', 'name' => 'RHS - Events Experience', 'type' => 'php', 'data' => '<?php include(APP . "/Resource/experience.master.resource.root.html"); ?> <style type="text/css"> .recommenationSection {font-family: Lato, sans-serif} .recommendationSection h3 {font-size:30px!important; text-transform:none; letter-spacing:0.03em} .recommendationSection .js-mvc-offer-recommended-article-pack-category {color:#dd1200; font-family:Lato, sans-serif; font-size:15px; font-weight:700; text-transform:uppercase; margin:0} .recommendationSection h4 a {color:#121212; font-size:20px; font-weight:700} .recommendationSection .uxdia-c-featured-tile__content-wrapper {padding: 0 0 .5em 0; margin-bottom: 1.25em; border-bottom: 1px solid #000} </style>', 'css' => '.recommendationSection h3 {font-size:30px} .recommenadationSection .js-mvc-offer-recommended-article-pack-category {color:rgb(221,18,0); font-size:12px} .recommendationSection h4 a {color:#121212; font-size:20px} ', 'script' => '', 'cache_time' => '', 'localize' => '0' ) $obj = false</pre><pre class="stack-trace">include - APP/Lib/Modules.php(13) : eval()'d code, line 1 eval - APP/Lib/Modules.php(13) : eval()'d code, line 1 Modules::render() - APP/Lib/Modules.php, line 13 Modules::load() - APP/Lib/Modules.php, line 29 Localize::getModule() - APP/Lib/Localize.php, line 294 Localize::replace() - APP/Lib/Localize.php, line 219 Modules::render() - APP/Lib/Modules.php, line 9 include - APP/View/Elements/display.ctp, line 13 View::_evaluate() - CORE/Cake/View/View.php, line 971 View::_render() - CORE/Cake/View/View.php, line 933 View::render() - CORE/Cake/View/View.php, line 473 Controller::render() - CORE/Cake/Controller/Controller.php, line 963 AppController::renderPage() - APP/Controller/AppController.php, line 136 BlogsController::display() - APP/Controller/BlogsController.php, line 81 ReflectionMethod::invokeArgs() - [internal], line ?? Controller::invokeAction() - CORE/Cake/Controller/Controller.php, line 491 Dispatcher::_invoke() - CORE/Cake/Routing/Dispatcher.php, line 193 Dispatcher::dispatch() - CORE/Cake/Routing/Dispatcher.php, line 167</pre></div></pre><pre class="cake-error"><a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74bcdc-trace').style.display = (document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74bcdc-trace').style.display == 'none' ? '' : 'none');"><b>Warning</b> (2)</a>: include() [<a href='http://php.net/function.include'>function.include</a>]: Failed opening '/var/www/vhosts/vcc_staging/app//Resource/experience.master.resource.root.html' for inclusion (include_path='/var/www/vhosts/vcc_staging/lib:.:/usr/share/pear:/usr/share/php') [<b>APP/Lib/Modules.php(13) : eval()'d code</b>, line <b>1</b>]<div id="cakeErr66e7cfd74bcdc-trace" class="cake-stack-trace" style="display: none;"><a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74bcdc-code').style.display = (document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74bcdc-code').style.display == 'none' ? '' : 'none')">Code</a> <a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74bcdc-context').style.display = (document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74bcdc-context').style.display == 'none' ? 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Controller::invokeAction() - CORE/Cake/Controller/Controller.php, line 491 Dispatcher::_invoke() - CORE/Cake/Routing/Dispatcher.php, line 193 Dispatcher::dispatch() - CORE/Cake/Routing/Dispatcher.php, line 167</pre></div></pre><style type="text/css"> .recommenationSection {font-family: Lato, sans-serif} .recommendationSection h3 {font-size:30px!important; text-transform:none; letter-spacing:0.03em} .recommendationSection .js-mvc-offer-recommended-article-pack-category {color:#dd1200; font-family:Lato, sans-serif; font-size:15px; font-weight:700; text-transform:uppercase; margin:0} .recommendationSection h4 a {color:#121212; font-size:20px; font-weight:700} .recommendationSection .uxdia-c-featured-tile__content-wrapper {padding: 0 0 .5em 0; margin-bottom: 1.25em; border-bottom: 1px solid #000} </style> <div aria-hidden="true" class="aarpe-ad-wrapper"> <div class="aarpe-ad en clearfix" id="300x250_53475" data-adsize="300x250"> <script type="text/javascript"> if(typeof AARP.ads !== 'undefined'){ AARP.ads.slots({ id:'300x250_53475', size:'300x250'}); } </script> </div> </div> <div class="card-tout card-dark membership-tout" style="margin:0 0 30px 0;"> <img class="img-responsive image" title="image of two AARP membership cards" alt="image of two AARP membership cards" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/tout-two-cards.png"> <div class="title">Only $12 your first year with Automatic Renewal</div> <ul class="list"> <li>Immediate access to your <a href="https://www.aarp.org/benefits-discounts/">member benefits</a></li> <li>Discounts on travel and everyday savings</li> <li>Subscription to AARP The Magazine</li> <li>FREE second membership</li> </ul> <div class="action"> <a class="btn" href="https://appsec.aarp.org/mem/join?campaignid=UAJFT3&intcmp=LNK-CSN-AARPLOCAL-JRTOUT-RR-A-JAMESCITY-PA">Join AARP</a> <div class="body">Already a member? <a href="https://appsec.aarp.org/mem/renew?campaignid= UARFT3&intcmp=LNK-CSN-AARPLOCAL-JRTOUT-RR-A-JAMESCITY-PA">Renew</a> or <a href="https://www.aarp.org/benefits-discounts/my-membership/print-your-card/">Print Card</a></div> </div> </div> <style> .membership-tout {padding:16px 20px;} .membership-tout .list li { margin: 0; } </style> <div aria-hidden="true" class="aarpe-ad-wrapper"> <div class="aarpe-ad en clearfix" id="300x250_93505" data-adsize="300x250"> <script type="text/javascript"> if(typeof AARP.ads !== 'undefined'){ AARP.ads.slots({ id:'300x250_93505', size:'300x250'}); } </script> </div> </div> <div class="module-spacer text-center"> <div class="fb-page" alt="Image of AARP Pennsylvania Facebook Page" title="Image of AARP Pennsylvania Facebook Page" data-href="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA" data-tabs="timeline" width="320" height="" data-small-header="false" data-adapt-container-width="true" data-hide-cover="false" data-show-facepile="true" lazy="true"> <blockquote cite="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA" class="fb-xfbml-parse-ignore"><a href="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA">Facebook</a></blockquote> </div> </div> <div class="ar-basic-box module-spacer"> <header> <h2>Contact AARP<br />Pennsylvania</h2> </header> <div class="wrap"> <div class="ar-quick-list module-spacer"> <ul class="list-unstyled"> <li><i class="list-icon fa fa-envelope" alt="Email icon" title="Email icon" aria-hidden="true"></i><a href="mailto:PAAARP@aarp.org" target="_blank" rel="noopener">PAAARP@aarp.org</a></li> <li><i class="list-icon fa fa-globe" alt="Globe icon" title="Globe icon" aria-hidden="true"></i><a href="https://states.aarp.org/region/pennsylvania/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AARP Pennsylvania</a></li> <li><i class="list-icon fa fa-map-marker" alt="Map Marker icon" title="Map Marker icon" aria-hidden="true"></i><a href="https://states.aarp.org/your-local-aarp-office/?intcmp=SNG-LNK-AARPLOCAL-CONTACT-20140101-JAMESCITY-PA" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Contact Us</a></li> </ul> </div> <a href="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA" target="_blank" rel="noopener" aria-label="Open Facebook"><img alt="Facebook icon" title="Facebook icon" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/responsive/icons/48/facebook-dreamstale25.png"></a> <a href="https://twitter.com/AARPPA" target="_blank" rel="noopener" aria-label="Open Twitter"><img alt="Twitter icon" title="Twitter icon" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/responsive/icons/48/x-logo-black.png"></a> </div> </div> </div></div> <div class="col-md-8 left-rail left-bot"></div> <div class="col-md-4 right-rail right-bot thin-rhs"></div> </div> <div class="row oneColumnLayout"> </div> <div class="row oneColumnLayout"> <div class="col-md-12"><!-- script to activate navbar --> <script type="text/javascript"> jQuery(".channelBarMain ul.left li a").click(function() { window.location = jQuery(this).attr('href'); }); </script> </div> </div> ' $scripts_for_layout = '<title>New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. 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$viewFile = '/var/www/vhosts/vcc_staging/app/View/Layouts/aarp_2023.ctp' $dataForView = array( 'content_for_layout' => '<div class="row twoColumnLayout"> <div class="col-md-8 left-rail"><div class="module clearfix"><div class="ar-basic-box"> <div> <div class="module-spacer"> <header><h1 class="article-headline">New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. Jon Tester in Senate Race</h1></header> <div class="posted-on"> Posted on 09/05/24 </div> </div> <div class="module-spacer"> <span class="blog-content"><p><div class="RichTextArticleBody"> <div class="RichTextArticleBody-body"><p><b>For Immediate Release: Sept. 5, 2024</b><br><br><b>Contact:</b> Stacia Dahl | sdahl@aarp.org | 406-457-4704<br><br><span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><span class="Link"><b>New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. Jon Tester in Senate Race</b></span></span></span><br><br><b><i>Former President Donald Trump leads Vice President Harris by 15 points among voters overall and by 23 points among voters over 50</i></b><br><br><b>Helena, Mont., Sep. 05, 2024</b> — Today, AARP Montana released a 2024 statewide <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/MTpolling" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">election survey</a></span></span> revealing that candidates for president, U.S. Senate, and state races should pay close attention to Montanans ages 50 and older, who make up an outsized portion of the electorate. In the 2020 elections, older voters accounted for 56% of all Montana voters and in the 2022 mid-terms, they made up 65% of the state’s voters. Ninety-two percent of voters ages 50 and older say they are “extremely motivated” to cast a ballot in November, compared with 77% of voters ages 18-49 saying the same.<br><br>In the U.S. Senate race, Tim Sheehy (R) leads Senator Jon Tester (D) by 49% - 41% on the full ballot, with 5% of voters supporting a third-party candidate and 4% undecided; Sheehy’s lead widens among older voters, 55% to 39%. In the head-to-head ballot, Sheehy leads Tester among voters overall, 51% - 45% and even more among older voters, 57% - 40%. <br><br>“Voters over age 50 are the biggest and most enthusiastic voting bloc this election, and their votes will make a difference in the U.S. Senate race,” said Tim Summers, State Director, AARP Montana. “The candidate who wants to win in November should focus on the issues older voters care about most, from protecting Social Security and Medicare to supporting family caregivers.” <br><br>In the presidential contest, former President Donald Trump (R) holds a strong lead over Vice President Harris (D) among voters overall, 56% - 41%, and among voters 50 and older, 60% - 37%. <br><br>On the issues, 78% of voters ages 50 and older say that candidate positions on Social Security are very important to making their decision in November, followed by Medicare (71%), the cost of housing (62%), and policies that help seniors live independently at home (61%). And the vast majority (79%) of older Montanans prefer a member of Congress who wants Medicare to continue negotiating for lower prescription drug prices. <br><br>Other key takeaways from the poll <b>among voters 50 and older</b> include:<br></p><ul><li>Ninety-five percent of Montana voters 50+ support the state legislature providing lasting property tax relief that would make it easier for older Montanans to remain in their homes as they age.</li><li>Three quarters of Montana voters 50+ favor renewing the Medicaid expansion program before it ends next June. This includes support from 64% of Republicans 50+.</li><li>Seventy-four percent also support Montana funding a state tax credit to help with out of pocket expenses for unpaid family caregivers taking care of aging loved ones.</li><li>Immigration and border security (40%) is the most important issue when deciding who to vote for in November, followed by inflation and rising prices (24%), and the economy and jobs (23%).</li><li>A majority (56%) say Social Security is or will be a major source of their income.</li><li>Twenty-five percent of older voters identify as family caregivers, with 29% of older women and 28% of rural residents over 50 saying the same. Older caregivers make up 14% of Montana’s electorate and support Sheehy over Tester by 17 points.</li><li>Sixty-one percent of older voters are worried about their personal financial situation, which is reflected in the issues that these voters care about: 53% rank personal economic issues as the most important issues in the election.</li><li>Twenty-five percent of voters over 50 are not straight ticket voters; Senator Tester leads narrowly among both these older swing and independent voters.</li></ul><p>AARP commissioned the bipartisan polling team of Fabrizio Ward (R) and David Binder Research (D) to conduct a survey of voters in Montana. The firms interviewed 1,064 likely voters, which includes a statewide representative sample of 600 likely voters, an oversample of 464 likely voters ages 50 and older. The survey was done between August 25-29, 2024. The interviews were conducted via live interviewer on landline (25%) and cellphone (35%), as well as SMS-to-web (40%). The sample was randomly drawn from the Montana voter list. The margin of sampling error at the 95% confidence level for the 600 statewide sample is ±4.0%; for the 800 total sample of voters 50+ is ±3.5%. <br><br>View the full survey results at <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/MTpolling" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">aarp.org/MTpolling</a></span></span> and find all of our state battleground polls at <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="https://www.aarp.org/voterpolls24" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">aarp.org/voterpolls24</a></span></span>. Read AARP’s coverage of the poll <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/MTpollresults" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">here</a></span></span>. <br><br>For more information on how, when, and where to vote in Montana, visit <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/mtvotes" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">aarp.org/MTvotes</a></span></span>.<br></p><p class="cms-textAlign-center"></p><p><b><u>Also of interest:</u></b><br></p><ul><li><span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="https://www.aarp.org/politics-society/government-elections/info-2024/montana-election-poll.html?cmp=RDRCT-MTPOLLRESULTS-09052024" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">AARP Poll: GOP Challenger Leads in Pivotal Montana U.S. Senate Race: Spotlight is on contest that could decide which party controls the Senate</a></span></span><br><br><b><u>📢)) </u></b><span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/d7/7b/1130dc614eb3a30c4699bba5b59d/voicesofmontanaseg1-friday.mp3" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer"><b><u>Listen to the Voices of Montana Segment - Q &A with the Pollsters 9/6/2024</u></b></a></span></span></li></ul><div class="Enhancement" > <div class="Enhancement-item"><figure class="Figure" data-alignment="left"> <img src="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/e8/2d/15d240f34cf9a0ee714c16570400/icon-voices-of-montana-poll.png" alt="Icon Voices of Montana - Poll.png" width="960" height="960" style="height: auto; max-width: 200px;"/> </figure> </div> </div><div class="Enhancement" > <div class="Enhancement-item"><audio controls> <source src="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/d7/7b/1130dc614eb3a30c4699bba5b59d/voicesofmontanaseg1-friday.mp3" type="audio/mpeg"> Your browser does not support the audio element. </audio></div> </div><p></p></div> </div> </p></span> </div> </div> <p><i>This story is provided by AARP Montana. Visit the <a href="https://states.aarp.org/region/montana/" target="_blank">AARP Montana</a> page for more news, events, and programs affecting retirement, health care, and more.</i></p> </div> </div><div class="module clearfix"><script src="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/resource/00000168-dd17-d487-a96e-df5fe3ee0000/styleguide/All.min.c85a242a55150cd195e494cd6e5b9c77.gz.js" async=""></script> <link rel="stylesheet" media="all" href="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/resource/00000168-dd17-d487-a96e-df5fe3ee0000/styleguide/All.min.bfe6eb5a8301841feef3af4e9bd1e26d.gz.css"> <!-- bypass --> <style> a:focus, a:hover { text-decoration: underline; } h1.article-headline { margin: 0 0 1rem; } </style> <!-- <style> .Enhancement-item .Figure { margin-bottom: 24px; } .RichTextArticleBody-body ul { margin-bottom: 24px; } .RichTextArticleBody-body p{ margin: 12px 0; } .RichTextModule-items { clear: both; display: table; width: 100%; margin-bottom: 12px; } .VideoEnhancement>* { color: var(--primaryTextColor); font-size: 13px; font-weight: 400; line-height: 1.4; font-style: italic; background: #f0efed } @media only screen and (min-width: 768px) { .VideoEnhancement>* { font-size:14px; font-weight: 400; line-height: 1.47 } } .VideoEnhancement-title { padding: 20px } @media only screen and (min-width: 768px) { .VideoEnhancement-title { padding:30px } } .VideoEnhancement-player>* { position: relative; width: 100%; height: 0; padding-bottom: 56.25% } .VideoEnhancement iframe { border: 0; position: absolute; top: 0; left: 0; width: 100%; height: 100% } [data-video-player] { display: block; padding-bottom: 56.25%; height: 0; margin: 0 auto; } [data-video-player][data-aspect-ratio="4x3"] { padding-bottom: 56.25%; } [data-video-player][data-aspect-ratio="16x9"] { padding-bottom: 56.25% } </style> --></div><div class="module clearfix"><div class="module-spacer tout-homefit-750"> <a data-formelementid="CSN-LOCAL-HC-NEWSSK-02272024" href="/james-city-pa/home-and-community/?intcmp=CSN-LOCAL-HC-NEWSSK-02272024"><img class="img-responsive" alt="Explore the free AARP HomeFit Guide" title="Explore the free AARP HomeFit Guide" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/touts/HomeFit_750x150.png"></a> </div></div></div> <div class="col-md-4 right-rail thin-rhs"><div class="module clearfix"><!--default--> <!-- module_RHS - AARP Events --> <pre class="cake-error"><a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74a511-trace').style.display = (document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74a511-trace').style.display == 'none' ? 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Controller::invokeAction() - CORE/Cake/Controller/Controller.php, line 491 Dispatcher::_invoke() - CORE/Cake/Routing/Dispatcher.php, line 193 Dispatcher::dispatch() - CORE/Cake/Routing/Dispatcher.php, line 167</pre></div></pre><style type="text/css"> .recommenationSection {font-family: Lato, sans-serif} .recommendationSection h3 {font-size:30px!important; text-transform:none; letter-spacing:0.03em} .recommendationSection .js-mvc-offer-recommended-article-pack-category {color:#dd1200; font-family:Lato, sans-serif; font-size:15px; font-weight:700; text-transform:uppercase; margin:0} .recommendationSection h4 a {color:#121212; font-size:20px; font-weight:700} .recommendationSection .uxdia-c-featured-tile__content-wrapper {padding: 0 0 .5em 0; margin-bottom: 1.25em; border-bottom: 1px solid #000} </style> <div aria-hidden="true" class="aarpe-ad-wrapper"> <div class="aarpe-ad en clearfix" id="300x250_53475" data-adsize="300x250"> <script type="text/javascript"> if(typeof AARP.ads !== 'undefined'){ AARP.ads.slots({ id:'300x250_53475', size:'300x250'}); } </script> </div> </div> <div class="card-tout card-dark membership-tout" style="margin:0 0 30px 0;"> <img class="img-responsive image" title="image of two AARP membership cards" alt="image of two AARP membership cards" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/tout-two-cards.png"> <div class="title">Only $12 your first year with Automatic Renewal</div> <ul class="list"> <li>Immediate access to your <a href="https://www.aarp.org/benefits-discounts/">member benefits</a></li> <li>Discounts on travel and everyday savings</li> <li>Subscription to AARP The Magazine</li> <li>FREE second membership</li> </ul> <div class="action"> <a class="btn" href="https://appsec.aarp.org/mem/join?campaignid=UAJFT3&intcmp=LNK-CSN-AARPLOCAL-JRTOUT-RR-A-JAMESCITY-PA">Join AARP</a> <div class="body">Already a member? <a href="https://appsec.aarp.org/mem/renew?campaignid= UARFT3&intcmp=LNK-CSN-AARPLOCAL-JRTOUT-RR-A-JAMESCITY-PA">Renew</a> or <a href="https://www.aarp.org/benefits-discounts/my-membership/print-your-card/">Print Card</a></div> </div> </div> <style> .membership-tout {padding:16px 20px;} .membership-tout .list li { margin: 0; } </style> <div aria-hidden="true" class="aarpe-ad-wrapper"> <div class="aarpe-ad en clearfix" id="300x250_93505" data-adsize="300x250"> <script type="text/javascript"> if(typeof AARP.ads !== 'undefined'){ AARP.ads.slots({ id:'300x250_93505', size:'300x250'}); } </script> </div> </div> <div class="module-spacer text-center"> <div class="fb-page" alt="Image of AARP Pennsylvania Facebook Page" title="Image of AARP Pennsylvania Facebook Page" data-href="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA" data-tabs="timeline" width="320" height="" data-small-header="false" data-adapt-container-width="true" data-hide-cover="false" data-show-facepile="true" lazy="true"> <blockquote cite="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA" class="fb-xfbml-parse-ignore"><a href="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA">Facebook</a></blockquote> </div> </div> <div class="ar-basic-box module-spacer"> <header> <h2>Contact AARP<br />Pennsylvania</h2> </header> <div class="wrap"> <div class="ar-quick-list module-spacer"> <ul class="list-unstyled"> <li><i class="list-icon fa fa-envelope" alt="Email icon" title="Email icon" aria-hidden="true"></i><a href="mailto:PAAARP@aarp.org" target="_blank" rel="noopener">PAAARP@aarp.org</a></li> <li><i class="list-icon fa fa-globe" alt="Globe icon" title="Globe icon" aria-hidden="true"></i><a href="https://states.aarp.org/region/pennsylvania/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AARP Pennsylvania</a></li> <li><i class="list-icon fa fa-map-marker" alt="Map Marker icon" title="Map Marker icon" aria-hidden="true"></i><a href="https://states.aarp.org/your-local-aarp-office/?intcmp=SNG-LNK-AARPLOCAL-CONTACT-20140101-JAMESCITY-PA" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Contact Us</a></li> </ul> </div> <a href="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA" target="_blank" rel="noopener" aria-label="Open Facebook"><img alt="Facebook icon" title="Facebook icon" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/responsive/icons/48/facebook-dreamstale25.png"></a> <a href="https://twitter.com/AARPPA" target="_blank" rel="noopener" aria-label="Open Twitter"><img alt="Twitter icon" title="Twitter icon" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/responsive/icons/48/x-logo-black.png"></a> </div> </div> </div></div> <div class="col-md-8 left-rail left-bot"></div> <div class="col-md-4 right-rail right-bot thin-rhs"></div> </div> <div class="row oneColumnLayout"> </div> <div class="row oneColumnLayout"> <div class="col-md-12"><!-- script to activate navbar --> <script type="text/javascript"> jQuery(".channelBarMain ul.left li a").click(function() { window.location = jQuery(this).attr('href'); }); </script> </div> </div> ', 'scripts_for_layout' => '<title>New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. Jon Tester in Senate Race</title> <meta name="page_title" content="New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. Jon Tester in Senate Race"/> <meta name="robots" content="noindex, nofollow"/> <meta content="For Immediate Release: Sept. 5, 2024Contact: Stacia Dahl | sdahl@aarp.org | 406-457-4704New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. Jon Tester in Senate" name="description"/> <meta content="New, AARP, Montana, Poll, Tim, Sheehy, Leads, Sen, Jon, Tester, in, Senate, Race" name="keywords"/> <link rel="canonical" href="https://states.aarp.org/montana/mtpoll" /> <meta property="og:url" content="https://vccstaging.local.aarp.org/news/new-aarp-montana-poll-tim-sheehy-leads-sen-jon-tester-in-senate-race-mt-2024-09-05.html"/> <meta name="twitter:card" content="summary_large_image"/> <meta name="twitter:title" content="New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. 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Jon Tester in Senate Race</h1></header> <div class="posted-on"> Posted on 09/05/24 </div> </div> <div class="module-spacer"> <span class="blog-content"><p><div class="RichTextArticleBody"> <div class="RichTextArticleBody-body"><p><b>For Immediate Release: Sept. 5, 2024</b><br><br><b>Contact:</b> Stacia Dahl | sdahl@aarp.org | 406-457-4704<br><br><span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><span class="Link"><b>New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. Jon Tester in Senate Race</b></span></span></span><br><br><b><i>Former President Donald Trump leads Vice President Harris by 15 points among voters overall and by 23 points among voters over 50</i></b><br><br><b>Helena, Mont., Sep. 05, 2024</b> — Today, AARP Montana released a 2024 statewide <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/MTpolling" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">election survey</a></span></span> revealing that candidates for president, U.S. Senate, and state races should pay close attention to Montanans ages 50 and older, who make up an outsized portion of the electorate. In the 2020 elections, older voters accounted for 56% of all Montana voters and in the 2022 mid-terms, they made up 65% of the state’s voters. Ninety-two percent of voters ages 50 and older say they are “extremely motivated” to cast a ballot in November, compared with 77% of voters ages 18-49 saying the same.<br><br>In the U.S. Senate race, Tim Sheehy (R) leads Senator Jon Tester (D) by 49% - 41% on the full ballot, with 5% of voters supporting a third-party candidate and 4% undecided; Sheehy’s lead widens among older voters, 55% to 39%. In the head-to-head ballot, Sheehy leads Tester among voters overall, 51% - 45% and even more among older voters, 57% - 40%. <br><br>“Voters over age 50 are the biggest and most enthusiastic voting bloc this election, and their votes will make a difference in the U.S. Senate race,” said Tim Summers, State Director, AARP Montana. “The candidate who wants to win in November should focus on the issues older voters care about most, from protecting Social Security and Medicare to supporting family caregivers.” <br><br>In the presidential contest, former President Donald Trump (R) holds a strong lead over Vice President Harris (D) among voters overall, 56% - 41%, and among voters 50 and older, 60% - 37%. <br><br>On the issues, 78% of voters ages 50 and older say that candidate positions on Social Security are very important to making their decision in November, followed by Medicare (71%), the cost of housing (62%), and policies that help seniors live independently at home (61%). And the vast majority (79%) of older Montanans prefer a member of Congress who wants Medicare to continue negotiating for lower prescription drug prices. <br><br>Other key takeaways from the poll <b>among voters 50 and older</b> include:<br></p><ul><li>Ninety-five percent of Montana voters 50+ support the state legislature providing lasting property tax relief that would make it easier for older Montanans to remain in their homes as they age.</li><li>Three quarters of Montana voters 50+ favor renewing the Medicaid expansion program before it ends next June. This includes support from 64% of Republicans 50+.</li><li>Seventy-four percent also support Montana funding a state tax credit to help with out of pocket expenses for unpaid family caregivers taking care of aging loved ones.</li><li>Immigration and border security (40%) is the most important issue when deciding who to vote for in November, followed by inflation and rising prices (24%), and the economy and jobs (23%).</li><li>A majority (56%) say Social Security is or will be a major source of their income.</li><li>Twenty-five percent of older voters identify as family caregivers, with 29% of older women and 28% of rural residents over 50 saying the same. Older caregivers make up 14% of Montana’s electorate and support Sheehy over Tester by 17 points.</li><li>Sixty-one percent of older voters are worried about their personal financial situation, which is reflected in the issues that these voters care about: 53% rank personal economic issues as the most important issues in the election.</li><li>Twenty-five percent of voters over 50 are not straight ticket voters; Senator Tester leads narrowly among both these older swing and independent voters.</li></ul><p>AARP commissioned the bipartisan polling team of Fabrizio Ward (R) and David Binder Research (D) to conduct a survey of voters in Montana. The firms interviewed 1,064 likely voters, which includes a statewide representative sample of 600 likely voters, an oversample of 464 likely voters ages 50 and older. The survey was done between August 25-29, 2024. The interviews were conducted via live interviewer on landline (25%) and cellphone (35%), as well as SMS-to-web (40%). The sample was randomly drawn from the Montana voter list. The margin of sampling error at the 95% confidence level for the 600 statewide sample is ±4.0%; for the 800 total sample of voters 50+ is ±3.5%. <br><br>View the full survey results at <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/MTpolling" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">aarp.org/MTpolling</a></span></span> and find all of our state battleground polls at <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="https://www.aarp.org/voterpolls24" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">aarp.org/voterpolls24</a></span></span>. Read AARP’s coverage of the poll <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/MTpollresults" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">here</a></span></span>. <br><br>For more information on how, when, and where to vote in Montana, visit <span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="http://www.aarp.org/mtvotes" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">aarp.org/MTvotes</a></span></span>.<br></p><p class="cms-textAlign-center"></p><p><b><u>Also of interest:</u></b><br></p><ul><li><span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="https://www.aarp.org/politics-society/government-elections/info-2024/montana-election-poll.html?cmp=RDRCT-MTPOLLRESULTS-09052024" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">AARP Poll: GOP Challenger Leads in Pivotal Montana U.S. Senate Race: Spotlight is on contest that could decide which party controls the Senate</a></span></span><br><br><b><u>📢)) </u></b><span class="Enhancement" ><span class="Enhancement-item"><a class="Link" href="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/d7/7b/1130dc614eb3a30c4699bba5b59d/voicesofmontanaseg1-friday.mp3" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer"><b><u>Listen to the Voices of Montana Segment - Q &A with the Pollsters 9/6/2024</u></b></a></span></span></li></ul><div class="Enhancement" > <div class="Enhancement-item"><figure class="Figure" data-alignment="left"> <img src="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/e8/2d/15d240f34cf9a0ee714c16570400/icon-voices-of-montana-poll.png" alt="Icon Voices of Montana - Poll.png" width="960" height="960" style="height: auto; max-width: 200px;"/> </figure> </div> </div><div class="Enhancement" > <div class="Enhancement-item"><audio controls> <source src="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/d7/7b/1130dc614eb3a30c4699bba5b59d/voicesofmontanaseg1-friday.mp3" type="audio/mpeg"> Your browser does not support the audio element. </audio></div> </div><p></p></div> </div> </p></span> </div> </div> <p><i>This story is provided by AARP Montana. Visit the <a href="https://states.aarp.org/region/montana/" target="_blank">AARP Montana</a> page for more news, events, and programs affecting retirement, health care, and more.</i></p> </div> </div><div class="module clearfix"><script src="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/resource/00000168-dd17-d487-a96e-df5fe3ee0000/styleguide/All.min.c85a242a55150cd195e494cd6e5b9c77.gz.js" async=""></script> <link rel="stylesheet" media="all" href="https://aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/resource/00000168-dd17-d487-a96e-df5fe3ee0000/styleguide/All.min.bfe6eb5a8301841feef3af4e9bd1e26d.gz.css"> <!-- bypass --> <style> a:focus, a:hover { text-decoration: underline; } h1.article-headline { margin: 0 0 1rem; } </style> <!-- <style> .Enhancement-item .Figure { margin-bottom: 24px; } .RichTextArticleBody-body ul { margin-bottom: 24px; } .RichTextArticleBody-body p{ margin: 12px 0; } .RichTextModule-items { clear: both; display: table; width: 100%; margin-bottom: 12px; } .VideoEnhancement>* { color: var(--primaryTextColor); font-size: 13px; font-weight: 400; line-height: 1.4; font-style: italic; background: #f0efed } @media only screen and (min-width: 768px) { .VideoEnhancement>* { font-size:14px; font-weight: 400; line-height: 1.47 } } .VideoEnhancement-title { padding: 20px } @media only screen and (min-width: 768px) { .VideoEnhancement-title { padding:30px } } .VideoEnhancement-player>* { position: relative; width: 100%; height: 0; padding-bottom: 56.25% } .VideoEnhancement iframe { border: 0; position: absolute; top: 0; left: 0; width: 100%; height: 100% } [data-video-player] { display: block; padding-bottom: 56.25%; height: 0; margin: 0 auto; } [data-video-player][data-aspect-ratio="4x3"] { padding-bottom: 56.25%; } [data-video-player][data-aspect-ratio="16x9"] { padding-bottom: 56.25% } </style> --></div><div class="module clearfix"><div class="module-spacer tout-homefit-750"> <a data-formelementid="CSN-LOCAL-HC-NEWSSK-02272024" href="/james-city-pa/home-and-community/?intcmp=CSN-LOCAL-HC-NEWSSK-02272024"><img class="img-responsive" alt="Explore the free AARP HomeFit Guide" title="Explore the free AARP HomeFit Guide" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/touts/HomeFit_750x150.png"></a> </div></div></div> <div class="col-md-4 right-rail thin-rhs"><div class="module clearfix"><!--default--> <!-- module_RHS - AARP Events --> <pre class="cake-error"><a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74a511-trace').style.display = (document.getElementById('cakeErr66e7cfd74a511-trace').style.display == 'none' ? 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Controller::invokeAction() - CORE/Cake/Controller/Controller.php, line 491 Dispatcher::_invoke() - CORE/Cake/Routing/Dispatcher.php, line 193 Dispatcher::dispatch() - CORE/Cake/Routing/Dispatcher.php, line 167</pre></div></pre><style type="text/css"> .recommenationSection {font-family: Lato, sans-serif} .recommendationSection h3 {font-size:30px!important; text-transform:none; letter-spacing:0.03em} .recommendationSection .js-mvc-offer-recommended-article-pack-category {color:#dd1200; font-family:Lato, sans-serif; font-size:15px; font-weight:700; text-transform:uppercase; margin:0} .recommendationSection h4 a {color:#121212; font-size:20px; font-weight:700} .recommendationSection .uxdia-c-featured-tile__content-wrapper {padding: 0 0 .5em 0; margin-bottom: 1.25em; border-bottom: 1px solid #000} </style> <div aria-hidden="true" class="aarpe-ad-wrapper"> <div class="aarpe-ad en clearfix" id="300x250_53475" data-adsize="300x250"> <script type="text/javascript"> if(typeof AARP.ads !== 'undefined'){ AARP.ads.slots({ id:'300x250_53475', size:'300x250'}); } </script> </div> </div> <div class="card-tout card-dark membership-tout" style="margin:0 0 30px 0;"> <img class="img-responsive image" title="image of two AARP membership cards" alt="image of two AARP membership cards" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/tout-two-cards.png"> <div class="title">Only $12 your first year with Automatic Renewal</div> <ul class="list"> <li>Immediate access to your <a href="https://www.aarp.org/benefits-discounts/">member benefits</a></li> <li>Discounts on travel and everyday savings</li> <li>Subscription to AARP The Magazine</li> <li>FREE second membership</li> </ul> <div class="action"> <a class="btn" href="https://appsec.aarp.org/mem/join?campaignid=UAJFT3&intcmp=LNK-CSN-AARPLOCAL-JRTOUT-RR-A-JAMESCITY-PA">Join AARP</a> <div class="body">Already a member? <a href="https://appsec.aarp.org/mem/renew?campaignid= UARFT3&intcmp=LNK-CSN-AARPLOCAL-JRTOUT-RR-A-JAMESCITY-PA">Renew</a> or <a href="https://www.aarp.org/benefits-discounts/my-membership/print-your-card/">Print Card</a></div> </div> </div> <style> .membership-tout {padding:16px 20px;} .membership-tout .list li { margin: 0; } </style> <div aria-hidden="true" class="aarpe-ad-wrapper"> <div class="aarpe-ad en clearfix" id="300x250_93505" data-adsize="300x250"> <script type="text/javascript"> if(typeof AARP.ads !== 'undefined'){ AARP.ads.slots({ id:'300x250_93505', size:'300x250'}); } </script> </div> </div> <div class="module-spacer text-center"> <div class="fb-page" alt="Image of AARP Pennsylvania Facebook Page" title="Image of AARP Pennsylvania Facebook Page" data-href="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA" data-tabs="timeline" width="320" height="" data-small-header="false" data-adapt-container-width="true" data-hide-cover="false" data-show-facepile="true" lazy="true"> <blockquote cite="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA" class="fb-xfbml-parse-ignore"><a href="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA">Facebook</a></blockquote> </div> </div> <div class="ar-basic-box module-spacer"> <header> <h2>Contact AARP<br />Pennsylvania</h2> </header> <div class="wrap"> <div class="ar-quick-list module-spacer"> <ul class="list-unstyled"> <li><i class="list-icon fa fa-envelope" alt="Email icon" title="Email icon" aria-hidden="true"></i><a href="mailto:PAAARP@aarp.org" target="_blank" rel="noopener">PAAARP@aarp.org</a></li> <li><i class="list-icon fa fa-globe" alt="Globe icon" title="Globe icon" aria-hidden="true"></i><a href="https://states.aarp.org/region/pennsylvania/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AARP Pennsylvania</a></li> <li><i class="list-icon fa fa-map-marker" alt="Map Marker icon" title="Map Marker icon" aria-hidden="true"></i><a href="https://states.aarp.org/your-local-aarp-office/?intcmp=SNG-LNK-AARPLOCAL-CONTACT-20140101-JAMESCITY-PA" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Contact Us</a></li> </ul> </div> <a href="https://www.facebook.com/AARPPA" target="_blank" rel="noopener" aria-label="Open Facebook"><img alt="Facebook icon" title="Facebook icon" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/responsive/icons/48/facebook-dreamstale25.png"></a> <a href="https://twitter.com/AARPPA" target="_blank" rel="noopener" aria-label="Open Twitter"><img alt="Twitter icon" title="Twitter icon" src="https://cdn-aarp.americantowns.com/img/responsive/icons/48/x-logo-black.png"></a> </div> </div> </div></div> <div class="col-md-8 left-rail left-bot"></div> <div class="col-md-4 right-rail right-bot thin-rhs"></div> </div> <div class="row oneColumnLayout"> </div> <div class="row oneColumnLayout"> <div class="col-md-12"><!-- script to activate navbar --> <script type="text/javascript"> jQuery(".channelBarMain ul.left li a").click(function() { window.location = jQuery(this).attr('href'); }); </script> </div> </div> ' $scripts_for_layout = '<title>New AARP Montana Poll: Tim Sheehy Leads Sen. 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}' $title_for_layout = '{local_city_c}, {local_state} Happenings - AARP' $asset_version = '230831' $min = true $nowrapper = false $css = ' :root { --primaryColor: #ff1e3c; --primaryTextColor: #2a2a2a; --linkTextColor: #1f66bd; --linkHoverColor: #1f66bd; --secondaryTextColor: #000000; --secondaryColor2: #000000; --secondaryColor3: #000000; --secondaryColor4: #000000; --secondaryColor5: #000000; --black: #000000; --white: #ffffff; --grey: #f0efed; --gridGutters: 30px; --modulePadding: 60px; --pageWidth: 86.11%; --maxPageWidth: 1240px; --horizontalAlignment: center; --fontFamily: 'Roboto', sans-serif; --headerBackgroundColor:#000000; --headerTextColor:#FFFFFF; --headerHeight:50px; --footerbackgroundColor:#000000; --footerTextColor:#918883; }' $highlighting = '' $location = '<a href="/james-city-pa/?intcmp=CSN-LOCAL-NAV-HOME">James City, PA</a>' $no_header = false $header_title = '<a href="/james-city-pa/happenings/">News Feed</a>' $header_subtitle = '' $isPR = false $navbar = '<nav class="section" role="button" aria-expanded="false" aria-controls="collapse"> <div class="section-toggle">Sections <i class="fas fa-chevron-down"></i></div> <ul class="secondary-menu" id="secondary-menu" role="menu" aria-busy="true"> <li role="presentation" class=""><a role="menuitem" class="menuitem" href="/james-city-pa/aarp-events/?intcmp=CSN-LOCAL-NAV-OLE" data-formelementid="LOCAL-LNK-CLK-EVENTS">Online & Local Events</a> </li> <li role="presentation" class=""><a role="menuitem" class="menuitem" href="/james-city-pa/things-to-do/?intcmp=CSN-LOCAL-NAV-TTD" data-formelementid="LOCAL-LNK-CLK-THINGSTODO">Things to Do</a></li> <li role="presentation" class="active"><a role="menuitem" class="menuitem" href="/james-city-pa/happenings/?intcmp=CSN-LOCAL-NAV-NF" data-formelementid="LOCAL-LNK-CLK-HAPPENINGS">News Feed</a> </li> <li role="presentation" class=""><a role="menuitem" class="menuitem" href="/james-city-pa/volunteering/?intcmp=CSN-LOCAL-NAV-VOL" data-formelementid="LOCAL-LNK-CLK-VOLUNTEERING">Volunteering</a> </li> <li role="presentation" class=""><a role="menuitem" class="menuitem" href="/james-city-pa/home-and-community/?intcmp=CSN-LOCAL-NAV-HC" data-formelementid="LOCAL-LNK-CLK-HC">Home & Community</a> </li> <li role="presentation" class=""><a role="menuitem" class="menuitem" href="/james-city-pa/movies/?intcmp=CSN-LOCAL-NAV-MFG" data-formelementid="LOCAL-LNK-CLK-MOVIESFORGROWNUPS">Movies for Grownups</a> </li> <li role="presentation" class="more nosep " id="submenu-more"> <span role="menuitem" class="menuitem" data-formelementid="LOCAL-LNK-CLK-MORE">More<i class="fas fa-chevron-down"></i></span> <ul class="secondary-submenu animate slide-in" id="secondary-submenu"> <li role="presentation"><a role="menuitem" class="menuitem " href="/james-city-pa/discounts/?intcmp=CSN-LOCAL-NAV-LO" data-formelementid="LOCAL-LNK-CLK-OFFERS">Local Offers</a></li> <li role="presentation"><a role="menuitem" class="menuitem " href="/james-city-pa/local-resources/?intcmp=CSN-LOCAL-NAV-LR" data-formelementid="LOCAL-LNK-CLK-LOCALRESOURCES">Local Resources</a> </li> <li role="presentation"><a role="menuitem" class="menuitem " href="/james-city-pa/jobs/?intcmp=CSN-LOCAL-NAV-WJ" data-formelementid="LOCAL-LNK-CLK-WORK&JOBS">Work & Jobs</a></li> <li role="presentation"><a role="menuitem" class="menuitem " href="/james-city-pa/events/?intcmp=CSN-LOCAL-NAV-CC" data-formelementid="LOCAL-LNK-CLK-EVENTS">Community Calendar</a></li> <!-- <li role="presentation"><a role="menuitem" class="menuitem " href="/james-city-pa/healthy-living/?intcmp=CSN-LOCAL-NAV-HEALTHY_LIVING" data-formelementid="LOCAL-LNK-CLK-HEALTHY_LIVING">Healthy Living</a></li> <li role="presentation"><a role="menuitem" class="menuitem " href="/james-city-pa/arts-entertainment/?intcmp=CSN-LOCAL-NAV-ARTS_ENT" data-formelementid="LOCAL-LNK-CLK-ARTS_ENT">Arts & Entertainment</a></li> <li role="presentation"><a role="menuitem" class="menuitem " href="/james-city-pa/museums/?intcmp=CSN-LOCAL-NAV-MUSEUMS" data-formelementid="LOCAL-LNK-CLK-MUSEUMS">Museums</a></li> --> </ul> </li> </ul> </nav>' $header_custom = '' $breadcrumbs = array( (int) 0 => array( 'title' => 'News Feed', 'slug' => 'happenings' ) ) $row = array( 'title' => 'Back to News Feed', 'slug' => 'happenings' ) $i = (int) 0include - APP/View/Layouts/aarp_2023.ctp, line 244 include - APP/View/Layouts/aarp_2023.ctp, line 244 View::_evaluate() - CORE/Cake/View/View.php, line 971 View::_render() - CORE/Cake/View/View.php, line 933 View::renderLayout() - CORE/Cake/View/View.php, line 546 View::render() - CORE/Cake/View/View.php, line 481 Controller::render() - CORE/Cake/Controller/Controller.php, line 963 AppController::renderPage() - APP/Controller/AppController.php, line 136 BlogsController::display() - APP/Controller/BlogsController.php, line 81 ReflectionMethod::invokeArgs() - [internal], line ?? 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